We missed some breakthroughs, but we dodged some disasters.
They see several causes at work – including some out of Biden’s control.
Several factors can foil conflict negotiations. The Russian war in Ukraine has them all.
Two experts discuss the broader impact of the Israel-Hamas war.
Voters generally focused on domestic politics, not foreign policy – or Ukraine.
He may never stand trial, but that’s not all that matters.
A number of countries refuse to support Ukraine in the United Nations – especially countries that import arms from Russia.
International relations scholars have a ‘good chat’ about U.S. elections and foreign policy.
The Monkey Cage 2022 roundup: Top 10
The TMC 2022 roundups: The international beat
The TMC 2022 roundups: Russia and Ukraine
The oil price cap makes it harder for Russia to use oil money to buy weapons and pay soldiers.
It’s not just a terrorist tactic any more.
It’s not just about energy costs, our research finds. Germans have a deep cultural aversion toward military intervention.
Ukraine’s allies can use their own courts to investigate war crimes
Russia’s defeat is starting to look inevitable. Here’s what that means for Putin and his inner circle.
The Kremlin seems to be trolling for support among U.S. voters on the far right
Here’s what the NATO treaty actually does — and doesn’t — require
Even before the latest surge in tensions, the risk of conflict in the Taiwan Strait was on the rise
We surveyed people in Argentina, China, India, Russia, Spain and the U.S. to gauge public support for changes to the U.N. system
The United States and its allies plan to embargo Russian crude oil shipments — and impose a price cap on Russian oil. That might backfire.
Authoritarians use propaganda not just to persuade — but also to silence dissent. Here’s how it works.
Our research finds evidence of Russian ‘stealth resistance’ to the war in Ukraine — including acts of sabotage, resistance art and other forms of activism
E.U. diplomat Josep Borrell warned the Russian army will be ‘annihilated’ if it launches a nuclear attack. These words suggest a more assertive European Union.
This book tells you what you need to know about Saudi Arabia, OPEC, and global oil politics
Four things to know about Bulgaria’s fourth time at the polls in 18 months
When leaders bend the rules to stay in power, it’s a red flag for democracy
Mobilization and resistance in Russia.
Here’s what we know about how autocratic regimes die.
Neither country was inclined to defend a global order that denies their status aspirations, but the war’s impact may be forcing a rethink
What is the risk of Russian nuclear use in Ukraine? Here’s what you need to know.
Ill-trained, unwilling reservists may hamper Russia’s efforts in Ukraine.
If Putin were truly desperate, he might have turned to ‘non-strategic’ nuclear weapons
The survey data suggests that young married men may start opposing the Ukraine war
Russia continues to expand lessons in “patriotic” values, this research finds
Fighting Russia’s war would not help Lukashenko stay in power
The former Soviet leader learned the hard way that reining in political changes is harder than making them
A new survey reveals how people on the front lines process the tradeoffs of war
If Germany had been nicer to Mediterranean countries when they needed help, they might be nicer now in return.
Public risk perceptions in NATO countries shifted after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, our surveys found
Putin’s invasion of Ukraine complicates discussions of the alliance’s new Strategic Concept
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the far-left party La France Insoumise,
A new survey examines the conversations between Ukrainians and their Russian relatives
The social divisions of Russia’s imperial age still hamper opposition today
The research on similar tactics in Spain and Latin America helps explain Putin’s logic
It’s a humanitarian move, but there’s more to the calculations.
Shifting Russian troops away from Syria risks opening up new threats
Countries are now focused on Russia vs. Europe, rather than internal corruption
A new survey shows what citizens think about NATO — and what they would do if attacked
Eurovision songs and voting are sometimes war by other means
Putin can’t reconstruct the regime that Stalin built — or save Russia from chaos
Here’s what we know about one group
In Ukraine and beyond, skills, determination and tactics matter more than the mix of weapons
Why did a brand-new party win the parliamentary election?
Marine Le Pen shifted toward a more socialist economic policy and focused less on far-right rhetoric
Arms control helped ensure that this was a ‘nonevent’
Women are less likely to support populist radical-right parties because they seem risky, research finds, but Le Pen no longer seems so risky
We surveyed people in Ukraine’s contested eastern region to see what they wanted. Here’s what we found.
Russia sees itself at the global forefront of the culture wars, leading the resistance to gay parades, ‘cancel culture,’ and liberal values more generally
A new survey finds that the public in Russia believes President Vladimir Putin’s rationale for the ‘military operation’ in Ukraine.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s power rests in part on how he distributes E.U. funds to oligarchs and local authorities in exchange for support
The image of Putin’s popularity bolsters his actual popularity, our research finds. But staged perceptions of popularity can be fragile.
They can fall through the cracks in standard humanitarian responses — but through social media, individuals and groups are finding ways to help
What is the Council of Europe, and why does expulsion matter?
How committed is Russia to embracing Slavic migrants from Ukraine and beyond?
Some companies are only making vague commitments to get out of Russia
The U.S. Treasury’s recent actions will force Russia to choose between using its scarce dollars for debt repayment or facing a sovereign default.
Autocrats make things like protests illegal so they can blame individuals for breaking the law — while avoiding blame for passing unjust laws.
Here’s how Kyiv is wielding humor in its information war against Moscow
Here’s how Orban’s Fidesz party won 53 percent of the vote — but 83 percent of the districts.
Pakistan’s Supreme Court will rule on the constitutionality of the prime minister’s moves
That wasn’t the case in 2014.
Encouraged by some of their leaders, more Republicans disapprove of Biden than Democrats disapprove of Trump.
Invading Ukraine may have left him weaker than he has been in a decade
Like Putin, dictators tend to start risky wars, our research shows
Consider how hard it was to lift sanctions after Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait
Many will be activists in exile, our research suggests
He is suggesting that anyone with a Western lifestyle could be a traitor
Procurement changes addressed corruption and boosted Ukraine’s ability to defend itself
As Stalin learned in Finland, small countries can inflict serious damage on invading superpowers
The Kremlin is juggling the stability of the ruble — and surging inflation
My research examined how the country learned to craft a powerful national narrative — and limit Russian misinformation
Here’s what might happen next within the ‘BRICS’ bloc
Both Russia and Ukraine have accused the other of committing genocide.
Here’s the downside to prosecuting former leaders
Here are three big hurdles to a lasting peace settlement
They’ve done so in Ukraine in the past. Five factors make it likely this time as well.
Here’s what Russia may have learned about globalization and corruption
The history of the West suggests something else entirely
The ICC can investigate Russia even though it’s not a member.
People who fled the war in Ukraine wait for relocation
Patriotic attitudes run high in Russia, our research finds
Their ‘unlimited’ partnership may have some limits after all
Within Ukraine, Russia and elsewhere, here’s what we know about civil resistance
Here’s what the European Union might offer instead
Neutral countries today are nonaligned — and well-armed
The research shows that Russian speakers across much of Ukraine identify as Ukrainian
Cyber operations don’t win wars, our research finds.
Sovereignty is a key issue for French voters.
Many German politicians were convinced that the Russian president was bluffing about Ukraine