America is less polarized by race – but more polarized about race John Sides and Michael Tesler - April 3, 2024 The pro-GOP shift among people of color is making racial attitudes more important to politics, not less.
A viral poll result got debunked. People are learning the wrong lesson. John Sides - March 11, 2024 Are all polls with opt-in samples wrong? Not quite.
How Black women get their political news matters for this election Nadia E. Brown, Camille Burge, and Christine M. Slaughter - February 29, 2024 A new study investigates the ways Black women use social media, TV news, and other sources to engage with politics.
Young Americans are dovish on China Alexandra Guisinger and Anurag Jain - September 25, 2023 They don’t prioritize TikTok regulation – or other measures pushing back against China.
The problem with “select-all-that-apply” survey questions, graphed John Sides - September 22, 2023 A wonky little polling nugget for your weekend.
Biden’s marijuana policy may change attitudes toward immigrants Melissa R. Michelson and Joe R. Tafoya - December 1, 2022 As states decriminalize cannabis, Republicans soften toward immigrants, our research finds
In a first, House Democrats elected a Black leader. Here’s what that means. Katherine Tate, Jennifer Garcia, and Christopher Stout - November 30, 2022 Hakeem Jeffries will be the next House minority leader. That could affect national politics in these four ways.
The new Supreme Court doctrine against religious discrimination Andrew Lewis - July 6, 2022 Conservative justices favor religious liberty over the separation of church and state.
In many states with antiabortion laws, majorities favor abortion rights Jake Grumbach and Christopher Warshaw / Managing Editor - June 25, 2022 Will purple states’ laws eventually reflect their voters’ views?
How will the end of Roe affect IVF? Nicole Kalaf-Hughes, Heather Mohamed, and Erin Heidt-Forsythe - June 16, 2022 Our research suggests that Republicans and Democrats want to preserve infertility care – although some laws could have unintended consequences.
How the U.S. census ignores Afro-Latinos Michelle Bueno Vásquez - June 2, 2022 Afro-Latinos are the most vulnerable to discrimination, but their official invisibility makes them harder to serve
How LGBT refugees from Ukraine are highly vulnerable Yvonne Su and Samuel Ritholtz - April 12, 2022 They can fall through the cracks in standard humanitarian responses — but through social media, individuals and groups are finding ways to help
Muslim women in hijab get the brunt of discrimination. I asked them what that’s like. Nura Sediqe - March 27, 2022 In the past few years, in schools across the country, girls wearing hijab have been targeted by fellow classmates and teachers
The House might pass a long-ignored bill to study reparations for slavery. Why now? Katherine Tate - March 22, 2022 My research looks at how Black legislators changed the Democratic Party — and how becoming party insiders changed them.
The German economy depends on Russian gas. There’s a long history behind that. Marina E. Henke - February 18, 2022 What happens now to the Nord Stream 2 project?
Most Americans support Biden’s expanded child tax credit, our research finds. But there are caveats. Mariely Lopez-Santana and Lucas Núñez - November 10, 2021 They are even keener on supporting disabled or elderly Americans. But support for child benefits may grow.
Biden wants more wind energy. Those projects should help local politicians, our research finds. Oksan Bayulgen, Mary Buchanan, Lyle Scruggs, and Carol Atkinson-Palombo - October 19, 2021 Wind turbines don’t just deliver clean energy; they help both Republican and Democratic incumbents win reelection.
Critics claim BLM protests were more violent than 1960s civil rights ones. That’s just not true. Kerby Goff and John D. McCarthy - October 12, 2021 But the media coverage of the two eras was quite different
Virginia’s upcoming election pits rural voters against urban ones. Why is there such a divide? Zachary L. Hertz, Lucas B. Pyle, and Brian F. Schaffner - September 21, 2021 The key factor is their different attitudes about race, our research finds
The Jan. 6 riot at the Capitol hurt the Republican Party, new research finds Peter Thisted Dinesen, Gregory Eady, and Frederik Hjorth - July 16, 2021 We found a sharp and persistent drop in Twitter users identifying as Republicans.
Does ‘faith-based’ include people without a religious faith? Mark Brockway - July 11, 2021 Secularists are organizing. Their activism could begin to influence the Democratic Party.
Americans are divided over boycotting the 2022 Beijing Olympics. Here’s the data. Craig Kafura - April 11, 2021 Many Americans later regretted the decision not to participate in the 1980 Moscow Summer Olympics
Asian American women legislators have been speaking out against anti-Asian violence Maneesh Arora and Hannah June Kim - March 19, 2021 On social media and in other communications, they’ve been speaking out since the former president began calling covid-19 “the China virus.”
On Twitter, Trump is more popular than Jesus Nick Rogers and Jason J. Jones - March 10, 2021 Twitter users’ bios suggest they now identify more with politics than religion
How did U.S. television news networks cover the pandemic? Here’s a scorecard. Natalie (Talia) Stroud, Ceren Budak, and Ashley Muddiman - February 2, 2021 The cable networks’ coverage followed their partisan leanings in a number of ways
Biden just rescinded the ‘global gag rule.’ The next Republican president will restore it. Jennifer D. Sciubba - January 29, 2021 Policies about family planning once had bipartisan support. Here’s what changed.
Biden ended the Muslim travel ban. A much tougher problem persists. Brian Calfano, Nazita Lajevardi, and Melissa R. Michelson - January 26, 2021 American Muslims continue to face bias, even when they uphold democratic ideals
Biden will inherit Trump’s trade war with China. What do Americans really think about tariffs? Richard Clark and Don Casler - December 7, 2020 New research suggests that free trade may be far more popular than many politicians want to believe.
Pompeo just visited the West Bank. That’s likely to deepen the partisan division over Israel-Palestine. Jeremy Pressman and Dov Waxman - November 19, 2020 Trump administration decisions on Israel marked a shift away from decades of U.S. policy.
Don’t trust the exit polls. This explains why. Robert Griffin - November 9, 2020 Analysts using the National Exit Poll to understand how various groups voted might want to be cautious.
Americans hate the ‘other side’ in politics. But so do Europeans. Will Horne, Noam Gidron, and James Adams - November 5, 2020 That dislike is becoming worse in the United States faster than elsewhere.
One in four Latinos voted for Trump last time. They’ll likely do so again. David Leal and Álvaro J. Corral - November 1, 2020 The Latino groups that lean Republican are the segments that are growing
Identity politics can help Biden win in November Christopher Stout - September 16, 2020 Appeals for racial equity can motivate Democrats to vote.
Kamala Harris is likely to bring in Indian American voters, this research finds Sara Sadhwani - August 14, 2020 Indian Americans are especially likely to vote when another Indian American is on the ballot — more so than people of other minority racial or ethnic identities.
Who supports QAnon? Here’s what our poll finds. Justin Stoler, Joseph E. Uscinski, and Casey Klofstad - August 2, 2020 Its appeal is not really based on traditional left-right, Democratic-Republican politics.
Are the Dreamers safe now that the Supreme Court ruled? Not exactly. Here’s what’s still up in the air. Ming Hsu Chen - June 19, 2020 Their lives are still in flux, depending on where they live and what the courts decide next.
The Floyd protests will likely change public attitudes about race and policing. Here’s why. Michael Tesler - June 4, 2020 The last wave of Black Lives Matter protests did — especially among young people.
Why Trump has received a much smaller approval bump than other world leaders during the pandemic Shane Markowitz - April 7, 2020 The country’s highly polarized two-party system discourages ‘rallying around the flag’
Facing covid-19, low-wage service workers are striking across the country. Here’s why — and why it matters. Suresh Naidu, Patrick Youngblood, Alexander Hertel-Fernandez, and Adam Reich - April 5, 2020 Our research into the recent teacher strikes offers insights for today’s coronavirus strikes
Asians are stereotyped as ‘competent but cold.’ Here’s how that increases backlash from the coronavirus pandemic. Yuhua Wang - April 5, 2020 Leaders can make this better — or worse
Coronavirus restrictions on movement may jeopardize the lives of the most vulnerable Lorenzo Piccoli - April 5, 2020 Government decisions involve trade-offs and new challenges
Democrats and Republicans both worry about foreign misinformation campaigns. But Republicans also blame journalists. Kimberly Gross and Danny Hayes - February 28, 2020 Here’s what our new poll found.
Are Democrats really in disarray? Don’t underestimate their unity. John Sides - January 31, 2020 A new survey shows that Democrats like their candidates and — surprise! — don’t like Trump
What to expect when you’re expecting a Senate impeachment trial Steven Smith - January 10, 2020 Yes, there are some rules. The Senate can change them.
The Democratic Party has moved left — but so has the U.S. This explains how and why. Lane Kenworthy - November 26, 2019 Let’s look at the data.
Was Rep. Katie Hill held to a higher standard than men in Congress? This research suggests she was. Michael Tesler - November 4, 2019 Society expects women to be more honest and ethical than men — and punishes them more when they’re not
Canada votes on Monday. Why aren’t Trudeau’s troubles helping the far right? Cas Mudde - October 17, 2019 Because immigrants and multiculturalism are so popular.
Most U.S. Muslims are patriots. Asking them to choose between faith and nation has a pernicious consequence. Nazita Lajevardi and Brian Calfano - August 21, 2019 New research shows that simply asking about their national identity can lower Muslims’ political engagement.
Most Americans thought Trump encouraged white supremacists — even before the debate Michael Tesler - August 5, 2019 Far-right groups agree he helps their cause
Will Trump’s Fourth of July speech soften — or sharpen — Americans’ partisan divisions? Matthew Levendusky - July 3, 2019 The holiday can evoke a shared identity that reduces dislike of the ‘other’ party.
Women who’ve been pregnant are more likely to support abortion rights — if you remind them of their pregnancies Eleanor Schiff and Anne Whitesell - June 2, 2019 But does that stay with them when they vote?
Planning a summer trip? 3 U.S. destinations to see before they change forever. Mike Gunter Jr. - May 27, 2019 From lobsters to glaciers, what a firsthand look teaches us about climate change
No, Americans don’t support airstrikes that kill civilians, even when they target terrorists. Shannon Golden, James Ron, and Howard Lavine - May 6, 2019 Polls that show Americans support airstrikes against suspected terrorists ignore some very large caveats.
Sorry, President Trump. Here’s why American Jews aren’t abandoning the Democratic Party. Michael Tesler - March 21, 2019 These three factors mean a “Jexodus” is unlikely any time soon.
In 2018, the turnout gap between young and old people didn’t really shrink at all Martin Wattenberg - February 11, 2019 [caption id="attachment_83591" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Voters cast ballots at Hoyt Park
Many Americans say they want politicians to compromise. But maybe they don’t. John Sides - January 16, 2019 [caption id="attachment_67086" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump, accompanied by Vice President
Why U.S. universities are shutting down China-funded Confucius Institutes Samuel Brazys and Alexander Dukalskis - January 11, 2019 [caption id="attachment_82470" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In January 2011, Chinese President Hu
Why men support marijuana legalization more than women do Steven Greene and Laurel Elder - December 21, 2018 [caption id="attachment_81826" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The Four Twenty Games in Santa
Since Trump’s election, the U.S. image abroad has plummeted. But is it really just about Trump? Yusaku Horiuchi and Alexander Agadjanian - December 19, 2018 [caption id="attachment_81743" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump meets with Japanese Prime
What’s the strategy of Russia’s Internet trolls? We analyzed their tweets to find out. Richard Bonneau, Leon Yin, Joshua Tucker, Jonathan Nagler, and Franziska Roescher - November 19, 2018 [caption id="attachment_80380" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The Twitter app on a smartphone.
Here’s why the Vatican stopped American bishops from voting on responses to sexual abuse Bill McCormick - November 15, 2018 [caption id="attachment_80205" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Cardinal Daniel DiNardo, archbishop of Galveston-Houston and
Most news coverage of Muslims is negative. But not when it’s about devotion. Julien Souffrant, Erik Bleich, Emily Stabler, and der Veen - October 17, 2018 [caption id="attachment_78999" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A family prays on the first
Trying to understand how Jeff Flake is leaning? We analyzed his Twitter feed — and were surprised. Joshua Tucker, Jonathan Nagler, Jan Zilinsky, and Gregory Eady - October 5, 2018 [caption id="attachment_78576" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), right, and
Five takeaways about the Swedish election — and the far-right wave across Europe Sheri Berman - September 12, 2018 In Sweden’s general election on Sept. 9, 2018, voters reduced
Trump makes longtime allies nervous. Here’s how we measured this. Michael Bailey, Cathy Lee, and Erik Voeten - August 31, 2018 President Trump spent a lot of time on diplomacy this
Climate change brought down another prime minister in Australia. Here’s what happened. Joshua Busby - August 27, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77124" align="aligncenter" width="960"] This 2016 photo shows dead coral
This survey shows why there’s never been a better time for women to run for office - August 27, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77113" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Stacey Abrams is the Democratic nominee
A new poll shows 5 big challenges facing the Republicans in November John Sides - August 23, 2018 [caption id="attachment_72219" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump in the Cabinet Room
What do Americans really think about the U.S.-E.U. trade tiff? Bruce Stokes - July 30, 2018 [caption id="attachment_76157" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Protesters launch the “Trump Baby” blimp
Experts don’t like Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran deal — or his foreign policy in general Susan Peterson, Michael Tierney, and Ryan Powers - May 16, 2018 [caption id="attachment_73397" align="alignnone" width="960"] Iranians prepare to burn American flags
The politics of assisted reproduction, explained Heather Mohamed and Erin Heidt-Forsythe - May 13, 2018 [caption id="attachment_46700" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (iStock)[/caption] This Mother’s Day, many women
Malala is building more schools in Pakistan. That’s not likely to reduce support for extremism. Madiha Afzal - April 7, 2018 [caption id="attachment_71862" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Nobel Peace Prize laureate Malala Yousafzai walks
Americans are more protectionist — and nativist — in places where trade has cost people their jobs James Bisbee - April 4, 2018 [caption id="attachment_71796" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Shipping containers in a terminal at the
Despite porn stars and Playboy models, white evangelicals aren’t rejecting Trump. This is why. Samuel Perry, Joseph Baker, and Andrew Whitehead - March 26, 2018 A porn actress says she had sex with Donald Trump,
How election forecasts confuse Americans — and may lead them not to vote at all Solomon Messing - March 22, 2018 [caption id="attachment_64714" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (David Goldman/AP)[/caption] Where were you on
New poll: Most teenagers and adults think arming teachers is dangerous, favor minimum age for buying assault rifles John Sides - March 9, 2018 In the wake of the mass shooting in Parkland, Fla.,
Here’s how little Americans have learned about Donald Trump Larry Bartels - February 21, 2018 [caption id="attachment_69469" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump departs the White House
Free trade is becoming more popular — especially among Republicans Diana Mutz - November 17, 2017 [caption id="attachment_66375" align="aligncenter" width="960"] U.S. Trade Representative Robert E. Lighthizer,
Having fewer veterans in Congress makes it less likely to restrain the president’s use of force Danielle Lupton - November 10, 2017 [caption id="attachment_66027" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Research shows that military veterans in
Venezuela’s latest elections are likely to trigger a regional migration crisis Olga Onuch and Jeanmiguel Uva - October 19, 2017 On Oct. 15, Venezuelans went to the polls to elect
Does the Republican Party really have a young person problem? Deborah Schildkraut - October 6, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64614" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Students in the Congressional Page program
Trump’s tax proposals are wildly out of sync with what most Americans would do, our new study shows John D'Attoma and Kim-Lee Tuxhorn - September 20, 2017 It’s no secret that the Trump administration needs a win.
Months before Charlottesville violence, minorities were already feeling alienated and excluded Jonathan Collins - August 18, 2017 The violence in Charlottesville this past weekend — and President Trump’s
Republicans are increasingly antagonistic toward experts. Here’s why that matters. Matt Motta - August 11, 2017 Since 2015, according to a new Pew Research Center poll,
Trump’s proposed budget does the opposite of what most U.S. taxpayers want Steven Kull - May 26, 2017 [caption id="attachment_58904" align="alignleft" width="960"] Budget director Mick Mulvaney speaks to
Could Trump set off a constitutional crisis? Here’s what we can learn from Latin America. Gretchen Helmke - April 25, 2017 [caption id="attachment_57263" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The White House as seen from
States with more Planned Parenthood clinics have fewer teen births and sexually transmitted diseases Miranda Yaver - March 27, 2017 [caption id="attachment_55900" align="alignleft" width="960"] Activists participate in a rally to
Happy 60th anniversary to the European Union. (Okay, maybe not so happy.) John Peterson and Dermot Hodson - March 25, 2017 [caption id="attachment_55812" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A European Union flag flying in
Muslims are the least popular religious group in the U.S. They’re disliked even more than atheists. Kerem Kalkan - February 23, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54549" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Khizr Khan, whose son, Humayun S.M.
Donald Trump will probably be the most ridiculed president ever Stephen Farnsworth, Robert Lichter, and Deanne Canieso - January 21, 2017 Donald Trump takes office as the most ridiculed presidential candidate
Can Donald Trump persuade Americans to support his agenda? It’s not likely. George Edwards - December 27, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49039" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President-elect Donald Trump faces high levels
Why the polls missed in 2016: Was it shy Trump supporters after all? Peter Enns, Julius Lagodny, and Jonathon Schuldt - December 13, 2016 [caption id="attachment_50682" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A man votes at City Hall
Obama won lots of votes from racially prejudiced whites (and some of them supported Trump) Michael Tesler - December 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49986" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] In this photo taken Nov. 10,
Political ‘unfriending’ online isn’t common. A Trump presidency could change that. Leticia Bode - December 5, 2016 [caption id="attachment_50354" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President-elect Donald Trump and Gen. John
The education gap among whites this year wasn’t about education. It was about race. Michael Tesler - November 16, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49402" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Photo by Charles Ommanney/The Washington Post)[/caption]
Would Clinton or Trump be better at foreign policy? Here’s what international relations scholars think. Susan Peterson, Michael Tierney, Hannah Petrie, Daniel Maliniak, and Ryan Powers - October 26, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46891" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump (Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images);
When young people get involved in online communities, it leads them toward politics Joseph Kahne and Benjamin Bowyer - October 21, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47861" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (iStockphoto)[/caption] The 18-year-olds who can
More and more people get their news via social media. Is that good or bad? Kevin Curry - September 30, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46991" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton checks
A politician walks into a joke. Does she get elected? Amy Becker - September 14, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46180" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Actress Tina Fey, left, plays Sarah
Donald Trump is making the border wall less popular Michael Tesler - August 16, 2016 When Donald Trump announced his campaign for president, he famously