Michael Tesler


Michael Tesler is an associate professor of political science at the University of California at Irvine. He is the author of Post-Racial or Most Racial? Race and Politics in the Obama Era (University of Chicago Press, 2016), and coauthor of Identity Crisis: The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Princeton University Press 2019).

America is less polarized by race – but more polarized about race

The pro-GOP shift among people of color is making racial attitudes more important to politics, not less.

What polls can and cannot tell us about the 2024 elections 🎧

John Sides and Michael Tesler talk about what to expect leading up to the Nov. 5 vote.

How much trouble is Joe Biden really in?

There’s precedent for an election-year boost – but it’s not guaranteed.

Right-wing attacks haven’t dented Taylor Swift’s popularity

Public opinion about the pop star still isn’t that polarized.

Almost all Republicans will vote for Trump this fall

Ignore recent exit polls to the contrary. Minds will change by November.

Taylor Swift probably won’t affect Travis Kelce’s performance today

Swift’s attendance has not significantly affected Kelce’s stats

Iowa showed how Trump has redefined conservatism

Trump performed much better among “very conservative” caucus voters than he did in 2016.

Americans support DEI – for now, at least

In 2023, polling consistently showed strong support for diversity, equity, and inclusion. That could change in 2024.

Will Congress shut down the government over aid to Israel and Ukraine?

Four experts examine how U.S. foreign policy is dividing both Republicans and Democrats.

The George Floyd protests will not help Trump win reelection. Here’s why.

Let’s check the polling.