This Virginia case pits trans kids’ rights against religious freedom Zein Murib - December 19, 2023 It’s another volley in the religious right’s effort to stop LGBTQ advances, with similar lawsuits underway in Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio.
What the clean energy boom means for fossil fuel communities Jeremy Wallace, Dustin Tingley, and Alexander F. Gazmararian - November 21, 2023 'Uncertain Futures' reveals what makes policies and promises attractive to those upturned by a greener economy.
How states make it harder to get food assistance Andrea Silva - September 20, 2023 Hungry people face complex requirements.
What does the Kansas vote tell us about the future of abortion? Emily B. Jackson and Angie Torres-Beltran - August 16, 2022 Abortion rights supporters are especially motivated to get involved in politics, our research suggests
Americans aren’t asking for transgender sports bans. So why pass them? Patrick Miller, Jami Taylor, Donald P. Haider-Markel, Daniel Lewis, and Andrew R. Flores - May 22, 2022 Conservative Republicans are pushing a policy agenda.
Texas isn’t the only state denying essential medical care to trans youths. Here’s what’s going on. Isaac Sederbaum and Elizabeth Sharrow - March 9, 2022 Conservatives are increasingly imposing government control over sexuality and gender
Conservative Republican women have led the fight to restrict abortion Rebecca J. Kreitzer, Emily U. Schilling, and Abigail A. Matthews - September 9, 2021 Democrats like to say Republicans are waging a ‘war on women.’ That erases the conservative Republican women who have been working to ban abortion.
Conservatives don’t want a bigger social safety net. But they do want to care for the needy. Stephanie Ternullo - August 2, 2021 Communities should take care of their own through local churches and nonprofits, White Midwesterners told me
Texas House Democrats fled the state to kill a restrictive voting bill. Will their gambit work? Matthew N. Green / Managing Editor - July 16, 2021 History suggests that the walkout could succeed, but only if Texas Democrats are willing to suffer some significant political pain
Biden reversed Trump ban on transgender people serving in military. Expect backlash in states. Zein Murib - February 2, 2021 More than 20 bills restricting transgender freedoms have already been introduced.
China sent masks, gloves and gowns to many U.S. states. Here’s who benefited. Sebastian S. Schmidt, Lennart Kaplan, Krisztina Kis-Katos, Felix Turbanisch, and Andreas Fuchs - January 27, 2021 Critics of Beijing’s ‘mask diplomacy’ may have overlooked long-established sister-state ties
Openly LGBTQ candidates are running in record numbers — again Gabriele Magni and Andrew Reynolds - October 27, 2020 Numbers and diversity are increasing every election cycle. Here’s why.
The ‘Trump Pride’ rally won’t win over LGBTQ voters. So why hold it? Zein Murib, Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte, Phillip Ayoub, and Gabriele Magni - October 26, 2020 Welcome to “homonationalism,” or justifying anti-immigrant policies by arguing that immigrants threaten gay rights.
The next Congress will probably be the most diverse ever Bernard Fraga - June 21, 2020 That’s what my research into the primary races suggests.
What helps non-black people support Black Lives Matter? A signal from someone in their own ethnic group. Maneesh Arora, Kelsy Kretschmer, and Christopher Stout - June 17, 2020 Our surveys uncover how this messaging works
Australia’s fires have devastated millions of acres. What’s the political damage? Matto Mildenberger and Joshua Busby - January 13, 2020 The government is mistaking an election win for a mandate to ignore climate change
Obama once said that if women ran the world, there’d be less war Abigail S. Post - December 22, 2019 Here’s what the research says.
Dan Coats just resigned as Director of National Intelligence. Here’s why that matters. Michael Poznansky - July 30, 2019 Whoever succeeds him almost certainly will be a less independent voice.
Many whites view people of color as less American Michael Tesler / Managing Editor - July 15, 2019 Here’s the data.
Is India becoming a ‘Hindu state’? Ajay Verghese - June 4, 2019 My survey of religion and politics in Bihar state helps explain India’s secularism
Surprised by all these abortion bans? Meet Americans United for Life — the most significant antiabortion group you’ve never heard of. Susan Roberts - May 31, 2019 It designs legislation aimed at staying out of the headlines and minimizing backlash.
The Trump administration will push to decriminalize homosexuality worldwide. Surprised? Here’s why. Phillip Ayoub - February 27, 2019 “Homonationalists” argue that immigration would threaten LGBTQ rights at home.
How did an annual report to Congress become the State of the Union address, a formal state occasion? We discuss. Andrew Rudalevige and Sarah Binder - February 5, 2019 Andrew Rudalevige: It’s State of the Union time! Where — “from
Detroit and Flint keep relying on private money to solve public problems. Why? Sarah Reckhow, Joshua Sapotichne, and Davia Downey - November 27, 2018 [caption id="attachment_80613" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A student holds a cup for
Hackers are using malware to find vulnerabilities in U.S. swing states. Expect cyberattacks. Nadiya Kostyuk and Kenneth Geers - November 5, 2018 The Pentagon has launched a preemptive strike against the Russian
The way Kavanaugh’s supporters are talking about sexual assault allegations can be dangerous, our new study finds Matthew Baum, Dara Cohen, Susanne Schwarz, and Yuri Zhukov - September 27, 2018 Once again, the nation confronts a potential #MeToo moment, with
Trump says he wants to protect steelworkers. Why are they unhappy? Adam Dean - September 20, 2018 [caption id="attachment_78012" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A worker trims a newly cast
Jon Tester and Matt Rosendale are fighting over who’s the ‘real’ Montanan. Here’s how that affects voters. Kal Munis and Nicholas Jacobs - July 18, 2018 Recently, President Trump visited Montana to campaign against U.S. Sen.
Americans are getting smarter about politics in at least one important way Jason Jordan - February 7, 2018 [caption id="attachment_45922" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A voter wears an “I voted”
Could Trump be the president who finishes off the State of the Union address? Andrew Rudalevige - January 31, 2018 Last night, President Trump became the latest commander in chief to
Yes, Congress could shut the government down tomorrow. It probably won’t. Molly Reynolds - January 18, 2018 Back in December 2017, Sarah Binder, John Sides and I
It sure looks as if Kirsten Gillibrand is running for president Sean McElwee and Jon Green - January 1, 2018 Will Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) run for president in 2020?
The Islamic State is more like a street gang than like other terrorist groups Matthew Phillips and Matthew Valasik - November 15, 2017 [caption id="attachment_62026" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A member loyal to the Islamic
238 cities are wooing Amazon. The winner may end up with a very bad deal. Nathan Jensen - October 24, 2017 States and cities often pay a lot of money to
More people in the U.S. protested in June than in any month since the January Women’s Marches. Jeremy Pressman, Erica Chenoweth, and Devin Finn - July 25, 2017 This is the sixth installment in a monthly series reporting
Here’s how Trump-Pence policy is already affecting LGBT lives in Chechnya Samar Habib - May 16, 2017 [caption id="attachment_58288" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A protester holds a placard with a
Robots aren’t killing the American Dream. Neither is trade. This is the problem. Sarah Bauerle Danzman and Jeff Colgan - March 10, 2017 [caption id="attachment_55178" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Robots named Thunderbird and Cyclops lower a
Trump isn’t really campaigning earlier than other recent presidents. He’s just more upfront about it. Brendan Doherty - February 21, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54425" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump invites a supporter onstage
This is why Democrats lose in ‘rural’ postindustrial America Jonathan Rodden - February 14, 2017 [caption id="attachment_48344" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Voters line up Thursday, Oct. 20,
‘Red’ America is an illusion. Postindustrial towns go for Democrats. Jonathan Rodden - February 14, 2017 [caption id="attachment_45922" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A voter wears an “I voted”
We have a standard for judging partisan gerrymandering. The Supreme Court should use it. Michael Latner, Anthony Smith, Anthony McGann, and Alex Keena - February 2, 2017 [caption id="attachment_53392" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A pedestrian is silhouetted by headlights
Trump won in counties that lost jobs to China and Mexico. Francesco Ruggieri, Federico Ferrara, and Andrea Cerrato - December 2, 2016 [caption id="attachment_50483" align="aligncenter" width="960"] During a May 5 campaign stop
The Trump/Pence administration will likely switch sides on global LGBT rights Samar Habib - November 28, 2016 [caption id="attachment_50145" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A masked Kenyan supporter of the
Without Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton might have lost Virginia as well Boris Heersink and Brenton Peterson - November 17, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49686" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. Tim Kaine, right, and former
This map will change how you think about American voters — especially small-town, heartland white voters Jonathan Rodden - October 31, 2016 In perhaps the most painful gaffe of his 2008 campaign,
Sure, the U.S. and Russia often meddle in foreign elections. Does it matter? Dov Levin - September 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_45923" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A voter wears an "I voted"
As voter rights cases churn through courts, rights are uncertain. But confusion is guaranteed. Richard Hasen - August 11, 2016 [caption id="attachment_43538" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Indiana voters cast their vote at
Here’s how we talk about manhood — and womanhood — during a presidential race Meredith Conroy - July 27, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44543" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Former president Bill Clinton addressed the
Will Tim Kaine deliver Virginia (and Catholics)? Don’t count on it. Kyle Kopko and Christopher Devine - July 23, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44317" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton and Sen. Timothy M.
How the vice president became a powerful and influential White House player Joel Goldstein - July 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_43886" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump points
This one survey shows why Trump won’t win over Sanders supporters - July 19, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44028" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump smiles
Vice-presidential candidates do win votes. But Mike Pence won’t help Donald Trump win the election. Boris Heersink and Brenton Peterson - July 15, 2016 [caption id="attachment_43886" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump with
To win, Trump needs to get non-college grads to the polls. Here’s why that will be hard. Barry Burden - June 13, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42024" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Graduating student Kaspar Wittlinger holds his
This is what Trump and Sanders get wrong about free trade Guian McKee - May 17, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40569" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Protesters in Tokyo rally against the
Nick Lowe, ‘I Love The Sound of Breaking Glass’ Christopher Federico - May 6, 2016 With a victory in the Indiana primary and the subsequent
Why is Hillary Clinton doing worse among whites now than in 2008? Racial attitudes. Michael Tesler - May 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37363" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton
Why would Poland make its already strict abortion law draconian? Anna Grzymala-Busse - April 18, 2016 Since 1993, Poland has one of the most restrictive abortion
Here’s three easy ways a Republican president could dismantle the ACA — short of outright repeal Philip Rocco, Daniel Béland, and Alex Waddan - January 26, 2016 [caption id="attachment_34757" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A person walks into the UniVista
Four takeaways from the 2016 State of the Union Address (with some history thrown in) Andrew Rudalevige - January 13, 2016 President Obama delivered his seventh, and presumably last, State of
How Democrats became secular and Republicans became religious. (It's not what you think.) John Sides - September 4, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29128" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Stacey Kirby, left, and Roger McGee,
How Democrats became secular and Republicans became religious. (It’s not what you think.) John Sides - September 4, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29128" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Stacey Kirby, left, and Roger McGee,
The freedom of religion argument could actually make gay marriage opponents more tolerant Paul Djupe and Andrew Lewis - April 10, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23304" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A pedestrian walks past a sign
Democrats are divided on 'culture war' issues, too John Sides - April 4, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23304" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A sign at Brown Street United
Democrats are divided on ‘culture war’ issues, too John Sides - April 4, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23304" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A sign at Brown Street United
Businesses’ First Amendment rights don’t extend to their employees Bruce Barry - April 2, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23304" align="alignnone" width="620"] A pedestrian walks past a sign
How ALEC helped undermine public unions Alexander Hertel-Fernandez - December 17, 2014 [caption id="attachment_19175" align="alignnone" width="620"] Indiana Gov. Mike Pence delivers his
Why the 'war on women' failed in 2014 John Sides - November 26, 2014 [caption id="attachment_18518" align="alignleft" width="300"] Incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, (D-Colo.),speaks during
Why the ‘war on women’ failed in 2014 - November 26, 2014 [caption id="attachment_18518" align="alignleft" width="300"] Incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, (D-Colo.),speaks during
No, the National Science Foundation is not building an Orwellian surveillance nightmare Henry Farrell - October 22, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17046" align="aligncenter" width="512"] A mapping of how online discussion
More gay people can now get legally married. They can still be legally fired. Patrick Egan - October 6, 2014 With the Supreme Court's refusal earlier Monday to hear a
An expert on congressional primaries weighs in on Cantor's loss John Sides - June 12, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Following his defeat in the
An expert on congressional primaries weighs in on Cantor’s loss John Sides - June 12, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Following his defeat in the
Americans may be divided on abortion, but it won't matter for the midterms Alan Abramowitz - January 25, 2014 This is a guest post by Emory University political scientist
Americans may be divided on abortion, but it won’t matter for the midterms - January 25, 2014 [caption id="attachment_5727" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Anti-abortion protesters attend the March
Polarization we can live with. Partisan warfare is the problem. - January 10, 2014 Sean Theriault is an associate professor in the Government Department
How much could Steve Stockman hurt the Republicans in 2014? John Sides - December 10, 2013 [caption id="attachment_3883" align="alignleft" width="150" special=""] (Source: http://stockman.house.gov/about/full-biography)[/caption] Texas Rep. Steve
No, You Can’t Predict US Congressional Election Outcomes with Tweet Shares: But That Doesn’t Mean You Shouldn’t Try Joshua Tucker - August 17, 2013 The following is a guest post from my colleague NYU
Elinor Ostrom: The Legacy and the Challenge Joshua Tucker - July 3, 2013 Continuing our collaboration with the APSA Political Economy newsletter, today
The Efficient Obama Campaign? John Sides - January 8, 2013 In response to my post, a Monkey Cage reader emails
Very Quick Observations on Election Night 2012 Joshua Tucker - November 7, 2012 As John noted, a very good night for the quants
In Defense of the Electoral College Joshua Tucker - October 26, 2012 Over the past few weeks, I have had the enjoyable
Mourdock, God’s Will, and Rape: How Americans Really Think about God and Public Policy John Sides - October 26, 2012 This is a guest post from Robert Jones, the CEO
2012 isn’t 2008, but an Estimate Two Months Out isn’t an Election Either Joshua Tucker - August 30, 2012 Simon Jackman posted the following graphic on his blog, which
Will the Long Peace Persist? Erik Voeten - August 13, 2012 Global Trends 2030, a blog sponsored by the National Intelligence
Potpourri John Sides - July 9, 2012 Some polisci-informed takes on Friday's jobs report (by Jesse Singal)
Elinor Ostrom and Camp Wopatopa John Sides - June 13, 2012 This is a guest post by Rick Wilson, the Herbert
Defining Dissidence Down David Karol - May 10, 2012 In all the coverage of Senator Richard Lugar's crushing 20-point
The 86-year-old senator? Andrew Gelman - April 17, 2012 I see in the paper that Sen. Lugar of Indiana
Will the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction succeed? More thoughts on super committees - August 1, 2011 There's been interest today in the historical record of Congressional
How Political Science Can Help Journalists (and Still Let Them Be Journalists) John Sides - May 27, 2011 This is a long post, and I realize that I've
The Location of the Party Conventions Doesn’t Matter John Sides - February 1, 2011 With Obama choosing Charlotte, the speculation begins! Will this help
Trends in partisanship by state Andrew Gelman - January 25, 2011 Matthew Yglesias discusses how West Virginia used to be a
Political Implications of the Census Joshua Tucker - December 22, 2010 I wanted to follow up on "Andy's post":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/12/the_media_stick_to_old_labels_.html yesterday about
Was the Midwest Unique in 2010? John Sides - November 10, 2010 In my "earlier post":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/11/back_to_basics_districts_and_d.html, I suggested that it wasn't. I
Why Obama Won: Campaign Dogs that Didn’t Bite, Part 2 John Sides - April 1, 2010 Following on my earlier post, I want to examine three
Don’t believe everything you see on a graph Andrew Gelman - November 9, 2009 This graph that Brendan Nyhan posted the other day got
The Hunt for Campaign Effects III John Sides - October 5, 2009 In an earlier post, I noted some initial findings from
Book Review: The Battle for America 2008 John Sides - October 1, 2009 Dan Balz and Haynes Johnson's _The Battle for America 2008_
Two intrepid young political scientists meet the Klan: A reminiscence - June 3, 2009 John’s post about Scott Roeder and mine about militant extremists
Economic Hardship and the 2008 Presidential Vote John Sides - April 10, 2009 Wendy Tam Cho and Jim Gimpel have a new piece