How do North and South Americans view the U.S.? Dinorah Azpuru - June 2, 2022 Leaders are gathering for the Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles
Democrats are losing White women. Will repealing Roe bring them back? Leah Ruppanner, Kelsy Kretschmer, and Christopher Stout - May 5, 2022 Possibly, if it’s combined with a strong mobilization strategy, research suggests
Nearly all NFL head coaches are White. What are the odds? Bethany Lacina - February 7, 2022 It’s either a 100 to 1 chance — or there’s a pro-White bias in hiring, my research finds.
Why has U.S. inflation hit 7 percent? Kathleen R. McNamara - January 13, 2022 Here are the clashing explanations — and the reasons experts want you to believe them
How Biden’s infrastructure package might leave behind poor and minority communities yet again Sarah Reckhow, Juliet Gainsborough, and Kate Lowe - December 6, 2021 If the administration wants the plan to help disadvantaged neighborhoods, here’s what to keep in mind
Virginia may abolish the death penalty. There’s a racist history behind why a few jurisdictions use it most. Frank R. Baumgartner and Christian Caron - February 3, 2021 A death penalty opponent demonstrates outside the U.S. Penitentiary in
One in four Latinos voted for Trump last time. They’ll likely do so again. David Leal and Álvaro J. Corral - November 1, 2020 The Latino groups that lean Republican are the segments that are growing
In Florida, courts might restore voting rights for more than 770,000 citizens Victoria Shineman - September 4, 2020 Jones v. DeSantis could affect constitutional rights, the election and how well former inmates re-integrate into society.
How likely is it that your mail-in ballot won’t get counted? Charles Stewart III - August 24, 2020 It’s riskier than voting in person.
Trump wants to limit immigration to protect jobs. Will that work? Margaret Peters - June 28, 2020 Immigration allows U.S. companies to attract top talent from around the world
If Biden wins the nomination, will Sanders supporters vote for him? Jarrod Kelly and Eric Loepp - March 12, 2020 Maybe not. They don’t feel loyal to the Democratic Party.
Incumbent presidents usually get more popular when they run for reelection. Will Trump? John Sides - January 6, 2020 Trump’s best-case scenario could be what happened to Barack Obama.
Does Trump need Congress’s approval to go to war with Iran? Andrew Rudalevige - January 4, 2020 That depends on whether Congress wants to try to stop him.
Attacking Iran will not help Trump win reelection. Here’s why. Michael Tesler - January 4, 2020 Military crises don’t always trigger a rally around the flag
Where else do leaders do what Trump is accused of? Start with Russia. Scott Radnitz - October 3, 2019 And he has plenty of chances to do it again.
The Democratic candidates promise action on climate change. Here’s what stands in the way. Ashley Nunes - August 7, 2019 It’s not easy being green.
Surprise! Most Republicans and Democrats identify more with their own party than against the other party. Alexander Theodoridis / Managing Editor - July 24, 2019 No, Americans aren’t driven more by loathing than by loyalty
Treating immigrants like criminals has a long history in the United States Melina Juárez Pérez - July 18, 2019 “Crimmigration” started well before the Trump administration.
Joe Biden isn’t the only ‘electable’ candidate. Here’s what Democratic primary voters are thinking — and how to change it. Regina Bateson - July 18, 2019 My research shows how candidates can overcome primary voters’ ‘strategic discrimination’
The Youth Climate Summit starts July 12. It’s full of young activists trained in the anti-Trump movement. Dana Fisher - July 11, 2019 Expect many of them to vote in 2020.
Will climate change lead to more world conflict? John O’Loughlin and Cullen Hendrix - July 10, 2019 Academics have disagreed on this question, until recently. Here’s what to expect.
Surprised by those Fourth of July tanks? Here’s what political science can tell us about nationalism, patriotism and public opinion. Kathleen Powers - July 3, 2019 Nationalism doesn’t always involve militarism. And patriotism is different from both.
Joe Biden’s ‘civility’ comment told biased whites that he won’t upset the racial order LaFleur Stephens-Dougan - July 2, 2019 His ‘gaffe’ was an example of racial distancing — which does win over some white voters.
Watching the Democratic debate tonight — with Twitter on the little screen? Keep this in mind. Shannon C. McGregor - June 26, 2019 When journalists treat Twitter as representing public opinion, they’re misshaping the news.
As you watch the Democratic debates, remember that how politicians speak is as important as what they say Matthew Hayes, Diana Z. O'Brien, and Bryce J. Dietrich - June 25, 2019 When they talk more intensely about an issue, they’re more committed to working on it
New research shows just how badly a citizenship question would hurt the 2020 Census Rebecca Goldstein, Maya Sen, Matt Barreto, Matthew A. Baum, Chris Warshaw, and Bryce J. Dietrich - April 21, 2019 It could lead to a huge undercount, particularly of Latinos and immigrants
Sure, a lot of newspaper coverage of Latinos is negative — but not when it comes to cultural achievements Erik Bleich and der Veen - January 23, 2019 [caption id="attachment_82969" align="alignnone" width="960"] Miguel Saavedra, left, and his friend
How Venezuela’s economic crisis is undermining social science research — about everything Tyler Burleigh, Scott Clifford, Ryan Jewell, Ryan Kennedy, and Philip Waggoner - November 7, 2018 [caption id="attachment_79925" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (Daniel Acker/Bloomberg News)[/caption] For social scientists,
Republicans are still trying to repeal Obamacare. Here’s why they are not likely to succeed Jonathan Oberlander - June 13, 2018 [caption id="attachment_54494" align="aligncenter" width="960"] This file photo taken on Nov.
Five things you need to know about Trump’s Cuba policy — and who it will hurt Martina Kunovic - June 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_60195" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ana Lacayo, left, and Barbara Jimino,
In Trump’s America, who’s protesting and why? Here’s our March report. Stephen Zunes, Jeremy Pressman, Erica Chenoweth, David Prater, and Ches Thurber - April 24, 2017 [caption id="attachment_57188" align="alignnone" width="960"] Clarissa Horsfall joins in “A Day
Obamacare is the law of the land. But it’s still vulnerable. Jonathan Oberlander - March 27, 2017 House Speaker Paul D. Ryan’s (R-Wis.) decision to pull legislation
The U.S. carried out extraordinary rendition flights from 2001-2005. Here are 15 more countries that helped. Rebecca Cordell - March 14, 2017 [caption id="attachment_55337" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A barbed wire fence surrounding a
This is why the Republicans struggle over Obamacare Sarah Binder - March 9, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54494" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A woman holds an Obamacare sign
Under Trump, Obamacare’s Medicaid enrollments may actually go up Timothy Callaghan and Lawrence Jacobs - February 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54494" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A woman holding an Obamacare sign in
The Trump administration can’t entirely roll back progress on climate change. Here’s why. Jessica Green - February 10, 2017 [caption id="attachment_53897" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A glacier in Antarctica in 2007.
Two of the most prominent arguments for the electoral college are completely wrong George Edwards - November 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49740" align="aligncenter" width="960"] People protest against President-elect Donald Trump
In record numbers, Latinos voted overwhelmingly against Trump. We did the research. Matt A. Barreto and Gabriel Sanchez - November 11, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49349" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump rides an escalator to
Sanctuary cities do not experience an increase in crime Loren Collingwood and Benjamin Gonzalez-O'Brien - October 3, 2016 [caption id="attachment_28863" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Immigration reform activists hold a sign
What could make Americans — and Congress — care about Zika? Joshua Busby - August 17, 2016 [caption id="attachment_45386" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The Aedes aegypti mosquito is thought
Here’s how we talk about manhood — and womanhood — during a presidential race Meredith Conroy - July 27, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44543" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Former president Bill Clinton addressed the
Will the Cleveland convention help Trump win Ohio? Probably not. Joseph Uscinski and Christopher B. Mann - July 15, 2016 [caption id="attachment_43710" align="aligncenter" width="960"] CLEVELAND, OH - JULY 11: Windows
A lot of election analysis focuses only on the white working class. That’s a mistake. David A. Hopkins - July 6, 2016 [caption id="attachment_43372" align="aligncenter" width="960"] An attendee sits on a stack
How did the dramatic election of 1968 change U.S. politics? This new book explains. John Sides - May 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40583" align="aligncenter" width="908"] The Rev. Billy Graham gives the
Here’s why Obama honored Cuban hero José Martí in Havana Joshua Simon - March 23, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37806" align="aligncenter" width="908"] President Obama attends a ceremony at
The prediction markets were right about Tuesday’s primaries. So what do they say about November? David Rothschild - March 17, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37371" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Voters cast their ballots at Miami
Here’s how to catch atrocities and human rights violations. (We’re looking at you, Burundi.) Ralph Clem - February 23, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35873" align="aligncenter" width="548"] A satellite image released on Jan.
Here’s three easy ways a Republican president could dismantle the ACA — short of outright repeal Philip Rocco, Daniel Béland, and Alex Waddan - January 26, 2016 [caption id="attachment_34757" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A person walks into the UniVista
This is why the two leading candidates for Guatemala’s presidency came to the U.S. to campaign Michael Paarlberg - September 10, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29244" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Why is television comedian and Guatemalan
This is why the two leading candidates for Guatemala's presidency came to the U.S. to campaign - September 10, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29244" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Why is television comedian and Guatemalan
Meet America's own warlord Laura Seay - August 28, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29061" align="aligncenter" width="982"] FILE - In this Aug. 11,
Meet America’s own warlord Laura Seay - August 28, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29061" align="aligncenter" width="982"] FILE - In this Aug. 11,
This chart explains how Trump's stand on immigration is hurting the Republican Party Patrick Egan - August 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28863" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Immigration reform activists hold a sign
This chart explains how Trump’s stand on immigration is hurting the Republican Party Patrick Egan - August 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28863" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Immigration reform activists hold a sign
With your tattoos and topknots, who do you think you are? Henry Farrell - July 28, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27954" align="aligncenter" width="2587"] Chris Andersen #11 of the Miami
Where changing ‘one person, one vote’ would matter the most — in 2 maps Sono Shah and Karthick Ramakrishnan - May 28, 2015 The Supreme Court surprised many observers of voting rights and
Where changing 'one person, one vote' would matter the most — in 2 maps John Sides - May 28, 2015 The Supreme Court surprised many observers of voting rights and
The political demography of U.S.-Cuba relations Gregory Weeks - December 18, 2014 [caption id="attachment_19297" align="aligncenter" width="620"] In the Cuban neighborhood of Little
A recent shift in immigration law will change less than you think Dan Hopkins - November 7, 2014 In light of the GOP victories Tuesday, immigration reformers are
LeBron, make up your mind quickly! Joshua Tucker - July 8, 2014 As most everyone who follows the NBA knows by now,
Location, location, location: Measuring public opinion in Ukraine’s regions Ralph Clem - May 22, 2014 The following is a guest post from Ralph S. Clem,
Did Little Havana Just Go Blue? John Sides - November 11, 2012 This is a guest post from political scientist Ben Bishin.
Forget the Dukakis-in-a-tank effect: the Democrats would’ve lost in 1988 even if they’d had Burt Reynolds at the top of the ticket Andrew Gelman - April 9, 2011 Jonathan Chait writes that the most important aspect of a
The Jumpstart financial literacy survey and the different purposes of tests Andrew Gelman - December 23, 2010 Mark Palko comments on the (presumably) well-intentioned but silly Jumpstart
Response to Will Wilkinson Larry Bartels - December 9, 2010 While Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson "fault me":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/12/_unequal_democracy__is_what_go.html for paying
The Inequality Road to Serfdom - December 7, 2010 There are many lines of argument in Larry Bartels' important
Lou Dobbs hires illegal immigrants Andrew Gelman - October 7, 2010 This news story (from Isabel Macdonald; I followed the link
Did LeBron Get Played? Game Theory and the Big 3 Joshua Tucker - July 12, 2010 We'll probably never know what exactly went down between Dwayne
The best cities for singles - September 25, 2008 Forbes magazine has a new edition of its "best cities