Trump’s GOP rivals are letting him off easy – again John Sides - December 12, 2023 Just as in the 2016 primary, they’d rather attack each other than Trump.
How can the U.S. help prevent more political violence? Sophia Pink, Robb Willer, and Joseph Mernyk - November 1, 2022 Our research found two strategies that may help restore general social disapproval of attacks such as the one against Nancy Pelosi’s husband
Trump didn’t bring White working-class voters to the Republican Party. The data suggests he kept them away. Noam Lupu and Nicholas Carnes - April 14, 2021 White working-class voters had been moving to the Republican Party for years. Trump stopped the trend.
Biden may be getting rid of the Authorizations for the Use of Military Force. That deserves a ‘Whoa.’ Andrew Rudalevige - March 6, 2021 The possibility of addressing the legal framework for the war on terror is big news.
Here’s the problem Biden faces if he picks current lawmakers for his Cabinet. Jonathan Spiegler, Jacob Smith, and Aidan Floyd - December 1, 2020 Let’s count the ways to lose control of a House, Senate or governor’s seat.
Why Trump’s alleged comments about soldiers brought so much outrage Lauren Prather and Danielle Gilbert - September 11, 2020 This study examines who Americans think deserves government support.
Three things to know about military endorsements for the 2020 campaign Zachary E. Griffiths and Michael Robinson - August 28, 2020 Retired military figures offer endorsements in every presidential election. But these testimonials may not have much effect.
Mitt Romney changed the impeachment story, all by himself. Here are 3 reasons that matters. Sarah Binder - February 5, 2020 That’s unusual for a lone politician in our partisan era.
For the Super Bowl, Bloomberg and Trump are each spending $10 million on ads. Travis N. Ridout and Erika Franklin Fowler - February 1, 2020 How unusual is it for a contender for a party’s presidential nomination to drop so much cash on a single ad? Very.
Trump’s pardon of two former Army officers has sparked new controversy. Here’s why. Michael Robinson - November 17, 2019 Some ex-military are applauding Trump’s decision. Some are condemning it.
Trump is moving to secure the Polish American vote in 2020. Here’s how. Dominik Stecula - October 11, 2019 Key counties in swing states have large concentrations of Polish American voters
President Trump tapped Gen. Mark Milley as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Here are 3 things to know. Jim Golby - September 30, 2019 Statements by the JCS chairman can have a significant impact on public opinion.
10 years ago, Russia built a border wall, too. Here’s the story. Gela Merabishvili and Gerard Toal - February 13, 2019 Since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the
How Donald Trump appeals to men secretly insecure about their manhood Eric Knowles and Sarah DiMuccio - November 29, 2018 From boasting about the size of his penis on national
What is the Global Magnitsky Act, and why are U.S. senators invoking this on Saudi Arabia? Jordan Tama - October 12, 2018 Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi has not been seen since he
Trying to understand how Jeff Flake is leaning? We analyzed his Twitter feed — and were surprised. Joshua Tucker, Jonathan Nagler, Jan Zilinsky, and Gregory Eady - October 5, 2018 [caption id="attachment_78576" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), right, and
A new survey shows that the Republican Party is not the party of Trump Dina Smeltz - October 2, 2018 [caption id="attachment_78436" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump discusses the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement
The McCain eulogies fit a long, classic tradition of political funeral orations Lucy Williams - September 4, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77361" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Meghan McCain eulogizes her father, senator
Trump’s political base is weaker than it seems, our new study finds Peter Enns, Jonathon Schuldt, and Adrienne Scott - August 7, 2018 In July, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo faced tough questions
Trump’s stance toward Russia isn’t appeasement. It may be even worse. Eric Grynaviski - July 17, 2018 https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/world/segments/trump-putin-address-election-interference/2018/07/16/baff2fa8-890e-11e8-9d59-dccc2c0cabcf_video.html President Trump met with Russian President Vladimir Putin on
Fifty years ago, American troops abandoned Khe Sanh. Here’s how the U.S. got over ‘Vietnam syndrome.’ Jonathan DiCicco and Benjamin Fordham - July 5, 2018 [caption id="attachment_75322" align="aligncenter" width="1024"] In this Feb. 7, 1968, photo,
Will the Supreme Court really lurch rightward with Trump’s next appointment? Michael Bailey - July 2, 2018 Justice Anthony M. Kennedy’s announced retirement has led many to
Surprised by the anger toward McCain? Party loyalists can hate apostates as much as opponents. Nathan Kalmoe and Lilliana Mason - May 16, 2018 [caption id="attachment_73416" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) receives the
With (or without) Gina Haspel at CIA, could Trump revive the torture program? Elizabeth Arsenault - May 8, 2018 [caption id="attachment_72744" align="aligncenter" width="960"] CIA Deputy Director Gina Haspel. (CIA/AP)[/caption]
This is why Congress will still have a hard time legalizing DACA Sarah Binder - February 13, 2018 Editors' note: Sarah Binder has updated this analysis, originally posted
The U.S. will send antitank weaponry to Ukraine. Here are 4 big questions. Andrew Bowen - February 2, 2018 [caption id="attachment_68789" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A tank from the Ukrainian Forces
Could Trump be the president who finishes off the State of the Union address? Andrew Rudalevige - January 31, 2018 Last night, President Trump became the latest commander in chief to
5 lessons from a Republican year of governing dangerously Mark Spindel and Sarah Binder - December 28, 2017 The Republican Congress ended its first year on a partisan
Republicans used to compare talking to Moscow to talking to Hitler. Trump changed that. James Goldgeier - December 14, 2017 Editor's note: We asked James Goldgeier to revisit his July
Three reasons Republican senators will end up without real tax reform Sarah Binder - November 30, 2017 The Senate has begun debate on the Republican tax plan.
Having fewer veterans in Congress makes it less likely to restrain the president’s use of force Danielle Lupton - November 10, 2017 [caption id="attachment_66027" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Research shows that military veterans in
This is why the congressional budget process is broken Molly Reynolds - October 26, 2017 The Republican House and Senate have now adopted their annual
Politicians take a negative view on trade deals — even the ones they voted for Alexandra Guisinger - October 11, 2017 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Trucks travel on an overpass to
Watch out, Republicans. Tax reform could be just as hard as health care. Sarah Binder - September 27, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64166" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump speaks during a meeting
Did enough Bernie Sanders supporters vote for Trump to cost Clinton the election? John Sides - August 24, 2017 On Tuesday night, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was in Detroit
Rhetorical ‘fire and fury’ can help the U.S. globally – if the president has enough backing at home Roseanne McManus - August 9, 2017 President Trump is making news for saying that North Korea
This is why more Republicans in Congress haven’t criticized Trump Laurel Harbridge-Yong and Alexandra Filindra - August 2, 2017 President Trump’s political missteps have been severely criticized by Democrats,
Four lessons from the GOP failure to repeal Obamacare Sarah Binder - July 28, 2017 The Republicans’ “Seven-Year War” to repeal the Affordable Care Act
Everyone agrees that McCain is a hero. That’s exceptional in our era. Krista Jenkins and Bruce Peabody - July 24, 2017 [caption id="attachment_61334" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) arrives at
What would change public opinion on whether the Redskins’ name is offensive? Tatishe M. Nteta, Melinda Tarsi, and Elizabeth Sharrow - July 11, 2017 [caption id="attachment_60780" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (Nick Wass/AP)[/caption] Three weeks ago, the
Senators used to excel at lawmaking. Now, not so much. Here’s what needs to change. Craig Volden - June 29, 2017 [caption id="attachment_60483" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A demonstration against repealing the Affordable
The Senate wants tough new sanctions against Russia, but key U.S. allies are furious. Here’s why. Luke Mackle - June 27, 2017 [caption id="attachment_60390" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Russian President Vladimir Putin (Photo by
Trump’s nominations for U.S. ambassador are hardly draining the swamp Dennis Jett - May 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_58630" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Former senator Scott Brown speaks in Nashua,
What can Watergate teach us about the Trump White House? Andrew Rudalevige - May 18, 2017 Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) recently told a fundraising dinner that “We've
Is President Trump irrational — or just playing a different game than everyone else? Steven Brams - March 1, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54809" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump addressing the National Governors
No, Republican opposition to Trump won’t hurt Democrats David Karol - February 21, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54402" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Supporters of President Trump unfurl a
Republicans used to fear Russians. Here’s what they think now. Dina Smeltz - February 16, 2017 [caption id="attachment_52537" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Matryoshka dolls, or Russian nesting dolls,
Donald Trump will probably be the most ridiculed president ever Stephen Farnsworth, Robert Lichter, and Deanne Canieso - January 21, 2017 Donald Trump takes office as the most ridiculed presidential candidate
Americans are united on retaliating against Russian cyberattacks Sarah Kreps and Debak Das - January 19, 2017 [caption id="attachment_52677" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a
Here’s the real reason Rust Belt cities and towns voted for Trump Josh Pacewicz - December 20, 2016 Donald Trump won the 2016 election largely because he carried
An underappreciated fact about the 2016 election: The massive generation gap David A. Hopkins - December 10, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47860" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton supporters cheer the Democratic
Views about race mattered more in electing Trump than in electing Obama Michael Tesler - November 22, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49986" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] In this photo taken Nov. 10,
Secular voters didn’t turn out for Clinton the way white evangelicals did for Trump Mark Brockway, Geoffrey Layman, and David Campbell - November 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49753" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Worshipers pray during a service at
When evangelical clergy oppose Trump, their flocks listen. But they’re not speaking up. Paul Djupe, Andrew Lewis, Anand Sokhey, and Amanda Friesen - November 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_48917" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (iStock)[/caption] Although Donald Trump is doing
Early voting predict who wins. This is good news for Democrats. Brian Schaffner and Anthony Rentsch - November 1, 2016 Early voting in the 2016 election is underway in many
How will Trump supporters react if he loses? Pippa Norris - October 25, 2016 What will happen if Hillary Clinton wins the U.S. presidency,
Will Republican voters flee Trump, post-video? Here’s what we found. Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies, and David Rothschild - October 14, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47792" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this 2005 frame from a
Evangelical voters will almost surely vote for Donald Trump. Here’s why. Paul Goren and Christopher Chapp - October 3, 2016 For at least three decades, the Republican Party has won
Reince Priebus vowed to punish Republicans who don’t support Trump. It’s an empty threat. Boris Heersink - September 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46553" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican Party chairman Reince Priebus speaking
A politician walks into a joke. Does she get elected? Amy Becker - September 14, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46180" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Actress Tina Fey, left, plays Sarah
Donald Trump’s campaign is still on track to raise amazingly little money John Sides - September 12, 2016 [caption id="attachment_45706" align="aligncenter" width="1795"] Donald Trump's campaign headquarters in August
Here’s another reason not to trust TV news reports about election polls Martha Ginn, Kathleen Searles, and Jonathan Nickens - August 23, 2016 Many news consumers know by now to take any single
Americans have become much less confident that we count votes accurately Paul Gronke, Michael Sances, and Charles Stewart III - August 10, 2016 Donald Trump’s warning that the 2016 election is likely to be
Democrats played up the flag at their convention. Was that risky? Nathan Kalmoe and Kimberly Gross - August 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44922" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Crowds cheer during the Democratic National
The Democrats are surprisingly unified. That should help Hillary Clinton. Sidney Milkis and Boris Heersink - August 3, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44902" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton reacts
Do U.S. voters prefer optimistic politicians? Here’s what we found. Yotam Margalit and Neil Malhotra - August 1, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44751" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton reacts as
Trump is the first modern Republican to win the nomination based on racial prejudice Michael Tesler - August 1, 2016 Republicans have long been the party of racial conservatism. Since
Here’s how we talk about manhood — and womanhood — during a presidential race Meredith Conroy - July 27, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44543" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Former president Bill Clinton addressed the
This one survey shows why Trump won’t win over Sanders supporters - July 19, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44028" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump smiles
There’s essentially no chance that Donald Trump’s campaign will raise $1 billion John Sides - July 17, 2016 In May, Donald Trump tried to counter doubts about his
Some lawmakers want to let the FBI monitor your Internet and email activity — without oversight William Bendix and Paul Quirk - July 14, 2016 [caption id="attachment_43760" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Matt McClain/The Washington Post)[/caption] In response
A deep dive into the news media’s role in the rise of Donald J. Trump Kalev Leetaru and John Sides - June 24, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42412" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump with Fox News anchor
No, disgruntled primary losers won’t vote for the other party in November. Here’s why. Nicholas Davis and Matthew Hitt - June 23, 2016 [caption id="attachment_31666" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Painted tabletop models of the Republican
Why I don’t believe the claim that Fox News can get Trump elected Andrew Gelman - June 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42412" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump with Fox News anchor
Yesterday’s Congressional women’s softball game was bipartisan. But are women actually more bipartisan in practice? Mary Nugent and Catherine Wineinger - June 16, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42235" align="aligncenter" width="1024"] The Congressional Members team put their
No, White House lawyers would not prevent a President Trump from overstepping his constitutional bounds Andrew Rudalevige - June 14, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42060" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Haraz N. Ghanbari/AP)[/caption] A recent New
Getting federal stimulus money turned blue U.S. counties bluer, and red counties redder. How can that be? Vanessa Williamson, Kris-Stella Trump, and Katherine Einstein - June 2, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41516" align="aligncenter" width="960"] From left, Deputy Secretary of Transportation
Racial prejudice, not populism or authoritarianism, predicts support for Trump over Clinton - May 26, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40883" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. (DSK/Agence
In a Trump-Clinton match-up, racial prejudice makes a striking difference Michael Tesler - May 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40883" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Hillary
A Trump campaign will only increase the Democrats’ advantage in data and analytics Daniel Kreiss - May 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_39147" align="aligncenter" width="4679"] Donald Trump speaks during a rally
Sorry, Donald Trump. Trade policy won’t help you win Sanders voters. Michael Tesler - May 16, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37110" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Members of the cleaning crew sweep
Being angry pushes our political positions further apart. So what’s the alternative? Peter Ditto, Van Boven, and David Sherman - April 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38270" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Protester Bryan Sanders, center left, is
Is Hillary losing the women’s vote? Nope. Here’s how the gender gap really works. Barbara Norrander - February 26, 2016 [caption id="attachment_24542" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Reuters/Mike Blake)[/caption] Is a gender gap
Daniel Drezner says Donald Trump is the champion of foreign policy ‘realism.’ He’s wrong. It’s Barack Obama. Joshua Rovner - February 11, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35605" align="aligncenter" width="908"] An American bald eagle prepares to
What color is Obama? These researchers examined reactions when his skin looks darker. Solomon Messing and Ethan Plaut - January 11, 2016 [caption id="attachment_34285" align="aligncenter" width="908"] In this Jan. 20, 2015 photo,
Here’s why we can only contain the Islamic State, not bomb it back to the Stone Age Stephen Biddle and Jacob Shapiro - December 1, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32401" align="aligncenter" width="908"] U.S. Air Force F-15E Strike Eagles
Should Obama bomb the Islamic State? Ask Congress first. Andrew Rudalevige - November 18, 2015 The mass murders in Paris on Friday by the Islamic State terrorist
Recent veterans are more Republican than older ones. Why? Jeremy Teigen and David Leal - November 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32022" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Phil Kirstein, a Vietnam War veteran,
Donald Trump never apologizes for his controversial remarks. Here’s why he shouldn’t. Richard Hanania - October 21, 2015 Throughout the summer of 2015 and into the fall, analysts
Which Republican presidential candidate will drop out next? Maybe these two. Michael Crespin - October 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29937" align="aligncenter" width="908"] The Republican presidential candidates at the
Even in 2011, Trump’s strongest supporters were people who thought Obama is Muslim Michael Tesler - September 22, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29472" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks
This is what will make it harder for Congress to pass a budget this fall Russell Mills, Nicole Kalaf-Hughes, and Jason MacDonald - August 18, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28620" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Joseph Toscano)[/caption] When August comes to
The 7 things you need to know about how Donald Trump has hogged the presidential campaign conversation - August 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28534" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump
Why is Trump surging? Blame the media. John Sides - July 20, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27591" align="aligncenter" width="908"] U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump
Should the U.S. have indicted FIFA officials? Ask the experts. Erik Voeten and Daniel Maliniak - July 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27354" align="aligncenter" width="3000"] U.S. midfielder Carli Lloyd is hugged
The dilemmas of working with Iraqi militias Marc Lynch - June 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26488" align="aligncenter" width="620" class="center"] Members of Iraqi security forces
Could Scott Walker's dog allergy come back to bite him in 2016? John Sides - April 5, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23382" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] The Obamas’ dogs, Bo, left, and
Could Scott Walker’s dog allergy come back to bite him in 2016? - April 5, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23382" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] The Obamas’ dogs, Bo, left, and
The U.S. just leaked its war plan in Iraq. Why? Joshua Rovner and Caitlin Talmadge - February 27, 2015 [caption id="attachment_12228" align="aligncenter" width="908"] The jacket belonging to an Iraqi
The McConnell-Boehner bicameral blame game Sarah Binder - February 6, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20978" align="alignnone" width="620"] A bicameral tango. Senate Majority Leader