America is less polarized by race – but more polarized about race John Sides and Michael Tesler - April 3, 2024 The pro-GOP shift among people of color is making racial attitudes more important to politics, not less.
Will foreign policy actually matter in the 2024 U.S. election? Elizabeth N. Saunders - September 21, 2023 It may not matter much to voters, but foreign policy is definitely on the ballot.
This is the most important election of your lifetime. Or is it? Curtis Bram - October 28, 2022 If you think the election will make a big difference, you’re 30 percent more likely to vote than if you do not, my research finds
Why resentful rural Americans vote Republican Nicholas Jacobs and Kal Munis - October 20, 2022 Many of these voters think they are underrepresented, under-resourced and overlooked
Most Republican candidates endorse the ‘big lie’ — even when voters don’t Brendan Hartnett and Brian Schaffner - October 12, 2022 We examined whether candidates’ beliefs — for and against the "big lie” — matched up with those of their state’s voters. Nope.
Will Biden’s age keep him from being reelected? Jennifer Wolak and Damon C. Roberts - July 20, 2022 Young people are the most critical of older politicians, our research finds
Republican candidates listen to extremist donors more than voters Jordan Kujala - July 11, 2022 Statistics suggest that Democrats aren’t that much better
Republicans want to hand-count paper ballots. That’s less accurate. Charles Stewart III / Managing Editor - May 25, 2022 But expect state legislatures to file bills to ban ballot scanners in 2023 and beyond
More and more candidates are campaigning on racially charged issues. That could backfire in office. Maneesh Arora and Christopher Stout - February 11, 2022 Winning was easy. Governing is harder.
Many college Republicans didn’t vote for Trump in 2020. His racist rhetoric may be why. Zachary Hertz, Pia Deshpande, and Brian Schaffner - January 20, 2022 The ‘diploma divide’ appears to run through Republicans as well
Virginia’s upcoming election pits rural voters against urban ones. Why is there such a divide? Zachary L. Hertz, Lucas B. Pyle, and Brian F. Schaffner - September 21, 2021 The key factor is their different attitudes about race, our research finds
Despite the pandemic, Americans are still optimists. That’s a powerful political force. Jennifer Wolak, Jacob Oliver, and Carey Stapleton - June 9, 2021 Our research found that American optimism improves civil society, increasing trust in one another and encouraging political involvement.
What you need to know about how many Americans condone political violence — and why Nathan P. Kalmoe and Lilliana Mason - January 11, 2021 A type of ‘radical partisanship’ is far too common for comfort
Democrats are discussing changing the Supreme Court. What do Americans think? Eileen Braman - October 5, 2020 Here’s how they think about it.
Voters punish senators when they don’t like their Supreme Court confirmation votes Elizabeth Simas and Alex Badas - September 27, 2020 Before Republicans vote on Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination to the high court, they may wish to check public opinion
Several black mayors have endorsed Bloomberg. Will that influence black voters? Andrea Benjamin - February 24, 2020 Some endorsements matter more than others
White Trump voters are richer than they appear Thomas Ogorzalek, Spencer Piston, and Luisa Godinez Puig - November 11, 2019 President Trump speaks at a "Keep America Great" rally in
Should college athletes profit from endorsements? White Americans are split by racial attitudes. Tatishe M. Nteta, Lauren McCarthy, and Kevin Wallsten - October 24, 2019 This new study shows a stark divide.
What Americans really think about California’s auto emissions waiver — and what could change their minds Karthick Ramakrishnan, Jennifer L. Merolla, Chris Haynes, and Allan Colbern - September 24, 2019 A narrow majority supports the waiver, but some people can be persuaded either way.
Russians tried to hack our elections. Voters overwhelmingly support stronger security measures. Evan Crawford - August 26, 2019 So why doesn’t Mitch McConnell?
Republicans don’t think Trump’s tweets are racist. That fits a long American history of denying racism. Michael Tesler - July 29, 2019 Even under Jim Crow, most whites thought that blacks were treated fairly.
Surprise! Most Republicans and Democrats identify more with their own party than against the other party. Alexander Theodoridis / Managing Editor - July 24, 2019 No, Americans aren’t driven more by loathing than by loyalty
How Trump has changed white evangelicals’ views about morality Geoffrey Layman and David Campbell - April 24, 2019 So what if Mayor Pete Buttigieg calls him a “porn star president”?
These two arguments make Americans less opposed to court packing Michael J. Nelson and Amanda Driscoll - March 26, 2019 Putting more justices on the Supreme Court might not backfire as spectacularly as many expect.
Sorry, President Trump. Here’s why American Jews aren’t abandoning the Democratic Party. Michael Tesler - March 21, 2019 These three factors mean a “Jexodus” is unlikely any time soon.
Of course Trump has something on Lindsey Graham: His voters Michael Tesler - January 21, 2019 Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) has gone from being one
Mia Love is right. The loss of black Republicans in Congress really could hurt the party with black voters. Christopher T. Stout and Jennifer Garcia - December 11, 2018 When the new Congress meets in January, it will include
These 5 charts explain who voted how in the 2018 midterm election Brian Schaffner - November 10, 2018 [caption id="attachment_80029" align="aligncenter" width="960"] House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.)
Here’s how female candidates can sway fathers’ votes — if their first child is a daughter Tatishe M. Nteta, Jesse H. Rhodes, Jill Greenlee, and Elizabeth Sharrow - November 3, 2018 [caption id="attachment_79748" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton celebrates on stage after
Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel isn’t running for reelection. The under-appreciated reason? School closures. Sally Nuamah - September 20, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77883" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel announces he
Yes, Stephen Curry is right. Having a daughter does change men’s political outlooks — but only if she’s firstborn. Tatishe M. Nteta, Jesse H. Rhodes, Jill Greenlee, and Elizabeth Sharrow - September 14, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77726" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The Golden State Warriors' Stephen Curry
A new controversy erupts over whether voter identification laws suppress minority turnout Andrew Gelman - June 11, 2018 https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/national/the-two-sides-to-the-voter-id-law-debate/2016/06/09/bd572426-27fa-11e6-8329-6104954928d2_video.html It makes sense to think that voter identification laws
Surprised by the anger toward McCain? Party loyalists can hate apostates as much as opponents. Nathan Kalmoe and Lilliana Mason - May 16, 2018 [caption id="attachment_73416" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) receives the
Whites oppose — and blacks support — paying NCAA athletes, especially when they’re thinking about race Tatishe M. Nteta, Lauren McCarthy, and Kevin Wallsten - May 14, 2018 Last Monday, Kylia Carter, the mother of former Duke basketball
Trump just praised earmarks. Here’s what the fuss is about. Travis Johnston and Peter Hanson - January 12, 2018 President Trump’s surprising endorsement of congressional earmarks this week spooked
The Internet isn’t saving local news. Here’s how that’s hurting democracy. Jennifer Lawless and Danny Hayes - November 13, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64714" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this Nov. 1, 2016, photo,
Americans who live closer to a mass shooting are more likely to support gun regulation Todd Hartman and Benjamin Newman - October 3, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64449" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Priscilla Olivas, 19, of Las Vegas,
Did enough Bernie Sanders supporters vote for Trump to cost Clinton the election? John Sides - August 24, 2017 On Tuesday night, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was in Detroit
Americans think opioid addiction is a crisis. They’re not sure federal dollars will solve it. Travis Johnston - August 10, 2017 What do Americans think should be done about the opioid
What would change public opinion on whether the Redskins’ name is offensive? Tatishe M. Nteta, Melinda Tarsi, and Elizabeth Sharrow - July 11, 2017 [caption id="attachment_60780" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (Nick Wass/AP)[/caption] Three weeks ago, the
How attitudes about gender may have helped Hillary Clinton in 2016 Marianne Stewart and Harold Clarke - June 12, 2017 [caption id="attachment_49049" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton
Most Americans support government regulation to fight climate change. Including in Pittsburgh. Lyle Scruggs and Clifford Vickrey - June 5, 2017 [caption id="attachment_59297" align="aligncenter" width="1024"] Protesters gather outside the White House
Maine’s citizens passed ‘ranked-choice voting.’ Why did Republicans shoot it down? Jack Santucci - May 31, 2017 [caption id="attachment_49104" align="alignleft" width="960"] Wristbands for voters at a Chicago
Why did Trump win? More whites — and fewer blacks — actually voted. Sean McElwee, Jesse Rhodes, Brian Schaffner, and Bernard Fraga - May 8, 2017 [caption id="attachment_57944" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton arrive at the
Three-fourths of Americans regularly talk politics only with members of their own political tribe Ross Butters and Christopher Hare - May 1, 2017 [caption id="attachment_31666" align="alignleft" width="1024"] Closer than most Americans get to
Trump wants an immigration system overhaul. Do Americans agree? Morris Levy, Matthew Wright, and Jack Citrin - April 3, 2017 [caption id="attachment_56328" align="aligncenter" width="960"] An immigration detainee stands near a
Do voter identification laws suppress minority voting? Yes. We did the research. Zoltan L. Hajnal, Nazita Lajevardi, and Lindsay Nielson - February 15, 2017 The Justice Department just got a new boss: Jeff Sessions.
Who believes in voter fraud? Americans who are hostile to immigrants David Kimball - February 1, 2017 [caption id="attachment_53410" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Mexican and U.S. flags are seen
Trump wants to investigate purported mass voter fraud. We pre-debunked his evidence Stephen Ansolabehere, Samantha Luks, and Brian Schaffner - January 25, 2017 Update: Here is a letter signed by many political scientists
Voters actually don’t prefer wealthy politicians Noam Lupu and Nicholas Carnes - December 6, 2016 [caption id="attachment_50682" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A man votes at City Hall
A striking poll shows that many Trump supporters already doubted women’s claims of sexual harassment — even before the infamous tape Michael Tesler - October 17, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47792" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this 2005 frame from a
Is America more divided by race or class? Sean McElwee, Jesse Rhodes, and Brian Schaffner - October 12, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47680" align="aligncenter" width="982"] The audience at the first presidential
The more outside money politicians take, the less well they represent their constituents Anne Baker - August 17, 2016 Do members of Congress shortchange their constituents in favor of
Americans have become much less confident that we count votes accurately Paul Gronke, Michael Sances, and Charles Stewart III - August 10, 2016 Donald Trump’s warning that the 2016 election is likely to be
Can Ivanka Trump lure female voters to her father? Probably not. Tiffany Barnes and Erin Cassese - July 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44412" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ivanka Trump introduces her father, Donald
Racial prejudice is driving opposition to paying college athletes. Here’s the evidence. Tatishe M. Nteta, Lauren McCarthy, and Kevin Wallsten - December 30, 2015 [caption id="attachment_34024" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Clemson Tigers quarterback Deshaun Watson (4)
Recent veterans are more Republican than older ones. Why? Jeremy Teigen and David Leal - November 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32022" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Phil Kirstein, a Vietnam War veteran,
Why American Catholics may not be persuaded by Pope Francis’s message on immigration Tatishe Nteta and Kevin Wallsten - September 27, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29983" align="aligncenter" width="908"] People gather on the Mall to
If Congress keeps cutting its staff, who is writing your laws? You won’t like the answer. Ian Ostrander and Anthony Madonna - August 20, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28754" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Ricky Carioti/The Washington Post)[/caption] In June
More Democrats are getting health insurance, thanks to Obamacare. Why are Republicans staying away? Michael Tesler - July 16, 2015 Democrats were naturally declared the big winners of last month’s
Unlimited party fundraising and spending gives you less polarized legislatures? Discuss. Ray LaRaja and Brian Schaffner - July 8, 2015 Lee Drutman’s recent Monkey Cage piece challenges a finding from
Using the n-word is more common than you (or President Obama) may think Michael Tesler - June 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26476" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] President Barack Obama pauses
Is Ted Cruz too conservative for Republican primary voters? Robert Lupton and Christopher Hare - March 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23055" align="alignnone" width="620"] Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) marks the
Is it really true that conservatives are more likely to believe that vaccines cause autism? Yes. Andrew Gelman - March 3, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22264" align="alignnone" width="620"] This Thursday, Jan. 29, 2015 file
Conservatives are more likely to believe that vaccines cause autism Robert Lupton and Christopher Hare - March 1, 2015 [caption id="attachment_16001" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Nancy Brajtbord, left, administers a shot
Scott Walker’s view of Obama’s religion makes him a moderate - February 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21807" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker participates in
Scott Walker's view of Obama's religion makes him a moderate John Sides - February 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21807" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker participates in
The decline of local news is threatening citizen engagement Danny Hayes - January 23, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20396" align="alignright" width="220"] Newspaper boxes line the sidewalk at
What can we learn about the electoral behavior of non-citizens from a survey designed to learn about citizens? Scott Gehlbach and John Ahlquist - October 28, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17153" align="aligncenter" width="600"] (Orlin Wagner/AP)[/caption] The following is a
Immigration activists are turning up the heat on Sen. Kay Hagan. Is it the wrong place at the wrong time? Patrick Egan - October 28, 2014 “Senator [Kay] Hagan is no friend to immigrants.” That’s the
Methodological challenges affect study of non-citizens’ voting Michael Tesler - October 27, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17216" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Sue Ogrocki/AP)[/caption] A recent Monkey Cage
Methodological challenges affect study of non-citizens' voting John Sides - October 27, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17216" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Sue Ogrocki/AP)[/caption] A recent Monkey Cage
Could non-citizens decide the November election? Jesse Richman - October 24, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17153" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (AP Photo/Orlin Wagner)[/caption] Note: The post
Electing women makes for better citizens Danny Hayes - June 23, 2014 [caption id="attachment_12219" align="aligncenter" width="660"] Representative Renee Ellmers (R-N.C.) (left), talks
What Medicare can teach us about the future of Obamacare John Sides - November 26, 2013 [caption id="attachment_3537" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Michael Schennum/Associated Press)[/caption] This is
Did race play a role in shutdown? John Sides - October 22, 2013 This is a guest post by Brown University political scientist
Graphiti Jonathan Robinson - September 8, 2011 Hi everyone, as John Sides has already written, my name
Political Text Visualizations John Sides - July 22, 2008 These pictures are based on data from the post-election wave
Public Opinion on Trade, or Why Mark Penn Had to Go John Sides - April 8, 2008 Mark Penn's departure from the Clinton campaign -- after a