Early voting predict who wins. This is good news for Democrats.
Early voting in the 2016 election is underway in many
New contributors are joining The Monkey Cage
[caption id="attachment_9534" align="aligncenter" width="640" special=""] (Jason Lam/Creative Commons)[/caption] We're pleased
Our political parties are networked, not fragmented
[caption id="attachment_6649" align="aligncenter" width="640" special=""] (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)[/caption] This
Obama on the Integrity of Science
Via Seth Masket, this from Barack Obama's speech at the
Lincoln: Best film ever about …. The House of Representatives!
I suppose the competition isn't very stiff. (Even the rare
Advice for Incoming Undergraduates
Courtesy of Seth Masket: 1) You do not need to
Potpourri: 100% Political Scientist Edition
* Seth Masket: "Want a reason to celebrate this Independence
Potpourri
* Who needs experts to forecast. * What's so bad
Interpreting a before-after change as a causal effect: campaign spending and the Wisconsin election
John quotes Seth Masket's claim that it didn't matter that
How Much Did Money Matter in the Wisconsin Recall?
Seth Masket: So there's your money effect, folks. Go from
Today in “Defunding the Social Sciences” News
This is a round-up of links. We begin with the
More Mischief at The Mischiefs of Faction
* More from Hans Noel on James Madison and factions.
New Blog: The Mischiefs of Faction
A new political science blog, Mischiefs of Faction, is up
More Links on Defunding the NSF Political Science Program
* Seth Masket gets Constitutional. * See Dan Nexon too.
Political Science Is Just Like Leonardo DiCaprio
bq. If I may draw an historically inspired
Clean Elections Make for Extremists?
bq. Imagine, for a moment, that you didn't need to
Potpourri
* Tweets about articles may increase citations to them. *
A Cranky Reader and I Discuss the 2012 GOP Primary
Cranky Reader: Sides, you're not just a moron, but a
Potpourri
* What Jon Bernstein said. * UMass Poll: Elizabeth Warren
Underemphasized Points about the Economy and Elections
The latest rounds of "nerdfight" -- Seth Masket vs. Sean
Who gets credit for the recovery (when it happens)?
Seth Masket (link from Andrew Sullivan) writes: The upcoming presidential
Potpourri: Elections Edition
* Charles Franklin graphs the WI recall results. * Seth
No, It Can’t Be “Just Fixed”
Seth Masket dialogues with Alyssa Milano re: the deficit. This
Potpourri: 100% Polisci Edition
* Jon Bernstein's blog is now 2 years old. It
Potpourri
* Cool photo from the San Francisco airport. * Watching
The Monkey Cage Named “Blog of the Year”
As Henry alluded to, and Seth Masket already noticed, The
The Kaus Factor
"Seth Masket":http://enikrising.blogspot.com/2011/04/dw-tweetinate.html notes an interesting new "paper":http://conference.mpsanet.org/papers/archive.aspx/2011/104067 from Aaron King,
Fun with Google Ngrams
Try it "here":http://ngrams.googlelabs.com/. UPDATE: See "Seth Masket's ngram":http://enikrising.blogspot.com/2010/12/use-of-term-ideology.html of "ideology,"
No kudos to The New Republic
On the other hand, "Seth Masket":http://enikrising.blogspot.com/2010/11/evolution-of-headline.html has a pungent short
Freakonomics Forecasting Roundtable
It's "here":http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/27/predicting-the-midterm-elections-a-freakonomics-quorum/, featuring political scientists Seth Masket, Bob Erikson, and
New Research on Primary Elections
"The first paper":http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1674091 is from Eric McGhee, Seth Masket, Boris
Potpourri
* Some scholars respond to the Coburn-McCain attack on their
Potpourri
* Machiavelli lecture controversy. * UC-Davis undergrad promotes "hella" to
Potpourri
* Teaching awards for nice professors. * A special issue
How Will the Economy Affect the Midterms?
Seth Masket and I have been pushing a few notions
Duverger and the UK Election
Seth Masket wonders whether Duverger got the 2010 UK elections
Indiscrete
bq. Had a good day today, didn't want to kill
Is Marc Ambinder a Hater?
After digesting a few of the juicier tidbits of _Game
Annals of Polarization: Amazon Reviews of Going Rogue
At this moment, of the 202 Amazon customer reviews of
The Economy and Midterm Seat Loss
Seth Masket crunches the numbers and finds that economic growth
Heteroskedastilicious
A couple weeks ago, I noted a cleverly designed political
Political Science Tastes Better as Cake
This will potentially be funny only to political science dorks.
Was There a Palin Effect in 2008?
A few weeks ago, I posted about an interesting paper
How Much Partisanship is Fake Partisanship? Or, What’s the Matter with California?
California's fiscal problems, and the state government's struggles to fix
Parties as Networks
Gregory Koger, Seth Masket, and Hans Noel have an "interesting
Obamicons
Make more here. [Hat tip to Seth Masket.]
The Hunt for Campaign Effects in 2008
In earlier posts, I emphasized that election outcomes depend heavily
Miscellaneous Polisci Blog Posts
1) Seth Masket on whether this election portends a realignment.
A Penalty for Female Candidates?
Seth Masket crunches some numbers on female Senate and gubernatorial
Does Racial Prejudice Hurt Black Candidates?
Appropos of Phil's post on this Washington Post piece, as
Delegate Poaching in Colorado?
Over at Enik Rising, Seth Masket notes that in several
The California State Legislature Grooves to the Dulcet Tones of The Mamas and The Papas
Over at Enik Rising, Seth Masket posts a great video