A Russian destabilization campaign put Moldova in the news Isabelle DeSisto and Grigore Pop-Eleches - March 5, 2024 Maia Sandu, Moldova's pro-E.U. president, is up for reelection this fall.
What the ICJ ruling on Ukraine v. Russia means Kelebogile Zvobgo - February 9, 2024 Ukraine disputes Russia’s allegation of genocide – and argues it was a false pretext for war.
Will the deadly drone attack draw the U.S. into a major war? Stacie Goddard - January 29, 2024 The spiral vs. deterrence model, explained, as violence surges in the Middle East.
Will Congress shut down the government over aid to Israel and Ukraine? Elizabeth N. Saunders, Sarah Binder, Michael Tesler, Jordan Tama, and Andrew Payne - November 14, 2023 Four experts examine how U.S. foreign policy is dividing both Republicans and Democrats.
Biden will visit Israel during a war. That’s unprecedented. Elizabeth N. Saunders - October 17, 2023 The humanitarian crisis and escalation fears heighten uncertainty.
Can Putin survive Russia’s losses in Ukraine? Ivan Gomza and Robertson Graeme - November 18, 2022 Russia’s defeat is starting to look inevitable. Here’s what that means for Putin and his inner circle.
Russia now says it must ‘de-Satanize’ Ukraine. What? Chonlawit Sirikupt - November 17, 2022 The Kremlin seems to be trolling for support among U.S. voters on the far right
Public support for Ukraine remains high in the U.S., survey shows Shibley Telhami - October 20, 2022 Americans see Ukraine as succeeding in its fight against the Russian invasion. That might explain the robust public support for Ukraine.
How to decode Putin’s nuclear warnings James Cameron - September 22, 2022 What is the risk of Russian nuclear use in Ukraine? Here’s what you need to know.
How Putin’s partial mobilization could backfire Jason Lyall - September 22, 2022 Ill-trained, unwilling reservists may hamper Russia’s efforts in Ukraine.
Why Russia’s mobilization may lower the risk of nuclear war — for now Caitlin Talmadge - September 21, 2022 If Putin were truly desperate, he might have turned to ‘non-strategic’ nuclear weapons
Today is International Day of Peace. Can you measure what peace is? Roger Mac Ginty and Pamina Firchow - September 21, 2022 One way is to see whether people feel safe going about their daily lives, the Everyday Peace Indicators project finds
How united is the West on Russia? Tobias Bunde and Tom Lubbock - July 5, 2022 Public risk perceptions in NATO countries shifted after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, our surveys found
Ukraine is an E.U. candidate. Full membership is an obstacle course. Frank Schimmelfennig - June 30, 2022 The European Union had little choice but to open the door
Why do Russia and Ukraine exchange their prisoners? Christoph Valentin Steinert - May 27, 2022 It’s a humanitarian move, but there’s more to the calculations.
The Ukraine crisis may reinvigorate Eastern European democracies Nikolay Marinov and Maria Popova - May 23, 2022 Countries are now focused on Russia vs. Europe, rather than internal corruption
Slovenia voted against an illiberal leader and for an untested party Tim Haughton and Alenka Krasovec - April 25, 2022 Why did a brand-new party win the parliamentary election?
Do people in Donbas want to be ‘liberated’ by Russia? John O’Loughlin, Gerard Toal, and Gwendolyn Sasse - April 14, 2022 We surveyed people in Ukraine’s contested eastern region to see what they wanted. Here’s what we found.
Russia believed the West was weak and decadent. So it invaded. Kristina Stoeckl and Dmitry Uzlaner - April 14, 2022 Russia sees itself at the global forefront of the culture wars, leading the resistance to gay parades, ‘cancel culture,’ and liberal values more generally
The Council of Europe expelled Russia. That hurts people, not Putin. Zoha Siddiqui and Kelebogile Zvobgo - April 12, 2022 What is the Council of Europe, and why does expulsion matter?
NATO was founded to protect ‘civilized’ people. That means White. Amoz JY Hor - April 10, 2022 Four historical examples show how much race has always mattered in defining ‘Western civilization’
What’s so funny about a Russian invasion? Chonlawit Sirikupt - April 6, 2022 Here’s how Kyiv is wielding humor in its information war against Moscow
Ukraine’s oligarchs are united against Russia Silviya Nitsova - April 4, 2022 That wasn’t the case in 2014.
Ukraine updated its defense institutions — and is defying expectations Louis-Alexandre Berg and Andrew Radin - March 29, 2022 Procurement changes addressed corruption and boosted Ukraine’s ability to defend itself
Ukraine has been winning the messaging wars. It’s been preparing for years. Torey McMurdo - March 27, 2022 My research examined how the country learned to craft a powerful national narrative — and limit Russian misinformation
The ICJ ordered Russia to halt military operations in Ukraine. What comes next? Daniel Posthumus and Kelebogile Zvobgo - March 25, 2022 Both Russia and Ukraine have accused the other of committing genocide.
The prospects for a negotiated peace in Ukraine are bleak Thomas M. Dolan, Sarah E. Croco, Page Fortna, Michael Joseph, Hein Goemans, and Alex Weisiger - March 23, 2022 Here are three big hurdles to a lasting peace settlement
European countries are welcoming Ukrainian refugees. It was a different story in 2015. Lamis Abdelaaty - March 23, 2022 It’s not merely a shared ‘Europeanness,’ this research finds
Ukraine invasion tests the relationship between Russia and China Elizabeth Wishnick and Andrew Taffer - March 14, 2022 Their ‘unlimited’ partnership may have some limits after all
Russia waged a cheap war in Syria. Here’s what those tactics might look like in Ukraine. Will Todman and Natasha Hall - March 11, 2022 Destroying hospitals and critical infrastructure is part of the playbook.
In Ukraine and other conflicts, measuring the human cost is important. It’s also very difficult. Jessica Trisko Darden - March 11, 2022 The battle over casualties in the Ukraine war is just beginning
Ukraine wants a fast pass to E.U. membership. It’s not that easy. Joshua C. Fjelstul - March 9, 2022 Here’s what the European Union might offer instead
Could Ukraine become neutral, like Switzerland? Five things to know. Audrey Kurth Cronin - March 9, 2022 Neutral countries today are nonaligned — and well-armed
Even Russian-speaking Ukrainians don’t want to be evacuated to Russia or Belarus Michał Bilewicz - March 7, 2022 The research shows that Russian speakers across much of Ukraine identify as Ukrainian
Putin’s invasion of Ukraine didn’t rely on cyberwarfare. Here’s why. Shawn W. Lonergan, Erica D. Lonergan, Brandon Valeriano, and Benjamin Jensen - March 7, 2022 Cyber operations don’t win wars, our research finds.
It’s hard for Russia to invade Ukraine when its soldiers don’t want to be there Jason Lyall - March 1, 2022 Here’s what the research says about how poor soldier morale affects military strategy and effectiveness
Turkey announced it would regulate warship access to the Black Sea. Does that change Russia’s strategy? Howard Eissenstat - March 1, 2022 Turkey’s diplomatic balancing act may be behind this move
NATO can’t send troops to Ukraine. Here is what it will probably do instead. Sara Moller - February 28, 2022 The security and defense of alliance members that border Russia and Ukraine will be a top priority.
The Ukraine crisis is now a nuclear crisis Caitlin Talmadge - February 27, 2022 Russian President Vladimir Putin just put his nuclear forces on alert
Volunteer troops can be a curse, not a blessing. But Ukraine may be figuring it out. Polina Beliakova - February 27, 2022 Kyiv also called on volunteers in 2014 to defend the country
Putin is breaking 70 years of norms by invading Ukraine. What comes next? Tanisha Fazal - February 25, 2022 Up until now, Russia tried to look like it was playing by the rules.
Putin is gambling his future — and Russia’s Zhaotian Luo and Scott Gehlbach - February 19, 2022 What would an invasion of Ukraine mean for Russia?
Will Russia recognize the independence of two eastern Ukraine republics? Here’s what people there think. John O’Loughlin, Gerard Toal, and Gwendolyn Sasse - February 17, 2022 Those who live in the Donbas region care more about bread-and-butter issues, our latest surveys reveal
Putin likes to talk about Russians and Ukrainians as ‘one people.’ Here’s the deeper history. Jeffrey Mankoff - February 9, 2022 For centuries, Moscow has worried that foreign powers are scheming to separate Ukraine from Russia.
Experts from NATO countries disagree on how to approach Ukraine Volodymyr Kulyk, Mykola Riabchuk, Nadiia Koval, Marianna Fakhurdinova, and Kateryna Zarembo - January 26, 2022 Different countries have very different narratives about the crisis
Here’s what we know about Russia’s military buildup near Ukraine. Michael Kofman and Dmitry Gorenburg - January 14, 2022 Deploying troops in a forward posture indefinitely really isn’t an option.
The U.S. seems ready for tougher sanctions against Russia. But is Europe? Maria Shagina - January 14, 2022 It’s not clear that sweeping sanctions are credible
Putin’s fight with Ukraine reflects his deep distrust of the West. There’s a long history behind that. Henry Farrell - December 1, 2021 A new book explains the history of NATO expansion, which Putin wants to end.
The U.S. and NATO promised to protect Ukraine. If Ukraine is the aggressor, all bets are off. Ivanka Barzashka - May 13, 2021 Here’s what we learned from extensive war-gaming on the Ukraine-Russia conflict
A new survey of the Ukraine-Russia conflict finds deeply divided views in the contested Donbas region Kristin Bakke, John O’Loughlin, Gerard Toal, and Gwendolyn Sasse - February 11, 2021 Many in the breakaway territory see a future with Russia
Ukraine’s citizens worry about covid-19. And they still have to worry about the war. Volodymyr Kulyk, Olga Onuch, Henry E. Hale, and Gwendolyn Sasse - May 22, 2020 Our survey suggests that conflict makes it politically difficult for countries to concentrate on the pandemic.
Is Ukraine caught between Europe and Russia? We asked Ukrainians this important question. Kristin Bakke, John O’Loughlin, and Gerard Toal - February 25, 2020 Our new survey shows a divided nation
Iran shot down a Ukrainian plane. How did Ukraine respond? Orysiya Lutsevych - January 17, 2020 In a tough situation, the government handled most things well.
Trump says he was looking for corruption in Ukraine — where President Zelensky was known for mocking corruption in Ukraine Jessica Pisano - November 14, 2019 Like Trump, Zelensky was a showman before he entered politics. So what does he stand for?
The Trump administration wasn’t rooting out corruption in Ukraine. It was encouraging it. Keith Darden - October 10, 2019 In the past, Ukraine’s elite benefited from bribery, embezzlement and self-dealing of state contracts.
Ukraine has been waging war on corruption. A U.S. president encouraging a ‘favor’ could undermine these reforms. Jordan Gans-Morse - September 30, 2019 The Trump-Zelensky phone call has a number of broad international implications.
Chernobyl’s effects go far beyond what you’re seeing on HBO. It shook up geopolitics for years. Mariana Budjeryn - July 15, 2019 From the Soviet Union’s fall to Ukraine’s nuclear disarmament, the disaster changed the region.
How Ukraine’s new president broke down a historic divide Miroslav Shapovalov and Konstantin Ash - April 30, 2019 For 20 years, Ukrainians voted largely by region. Not when comedian Volodymyr Zelensky ran.
Ukraine elected a sitcom president. What can Western politicians learn from this script? Mitchell A. Orenstein - April 28, 2019 Voters were drawn to Volodymyr Zelensky’s comedic wit — but also his flexibility.
Without the INF Treaty, Europe could see a new missile power. (Spoiler: It’s not Russia.) Mariana Budjeryn - February 25, 2019 The treaty also curtailed missile programs in former Soviet states.
Why did Ukraine impose martial law? Lucan Way and Keith Darden - November 29, 2018 [caption id="attachment_80812" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko reacts as
The Ukrainian Orthodox Church is trying to withdraw from Moscow’s control. The Kremlin is not happy. Robert Person and Aaron Brantly - October 31, 2018 [caption id="attachment_79609" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew I of Constantinople,
Ukrainians are getting less divided by language, not more. Here’s the research. Joshua Tucker - June 8, 2018 [caption id="attachment_67842" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Protesters hold the Ukraine flag and
Putin wants a shining legacy. He has to solve 3 big problems first. Philipp Casula and Camille-Renaud Merlen - April 17, 2018 [caption id="attachment_72203" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Russian President Vladimir Putin visits the
The war in Ukraine is more devastating than you know Ralph Clem, Jarod Fox, Erik Herron, and Cynthia Buckley - April 9, 2018 [caption id="attachment_71924" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A Ukrainian fighter stands in a
Remember the Cold War? Putin has brought it back. Tatyana Malyarenko and Stefan Wolff - March 19, 2018 [caption id="attachment_70657" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Journalists watch as Russian President Vladimir
Could U.N. peacekeepers help end the war in Ukraine? Richard Gowan - March 1, 2018 [caption id="attachment_69959" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ukrainian troops fire a howitzer close
Ukrainians are protesting corruption — and using a new approach. Here’s how it works. Grigore Pop-Eleches and Robertson Graeme - January 5, 2018 [caption id="attachment_67842" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Protesters hold the Ukraine flag and
Why are Crimean Tatars so hostile to Russia? Noam Lupu and Leonid Peisakhin - September 5, 2017 [caption id="attachment_63182" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ukrainian, Crimean and Crimean Tatar flags
Is the White House ready for these ‘nightmare scenarios’ in U.S. foreign policy? James Vreeland and David Laitin - February 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54465" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A technician prepares a Ukrainian MIG-29
Things are heating up in eastern Ukraine. Here are three reasons why. Samuel Ramani - May 30, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41239" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Members of a volunteer battalion and
How Western aid enables graft addiction in Ukraine Neil Abrams and Steven Fish - May 5, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40122" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, right, and
Ukraine has been part of Europe for nearly a millennium. Christian Raffensperger - April 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38816" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Flags of the Dutch E.U. presidency
Here’s what the research reveals about the violence in Nagorno Karabakh — and how ‘freezing’ conflicts can backfire Nelli Babayan - April 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38748" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A soldier of the defense army
Ukraine’s government almost fell yesterday. It’s still in crisis. Here’s what happened and why it matters Joshua Tucker - February 17, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35973" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk, center,
Do Crimeans see themselves as Russian or Ukrainian? It’s complicated. Eleanor Knott - December 3, 2015 [caption id="attachment_33079" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A damaged electrical pylon hangs near
Ukraine isn’t unified yet. These 4 charts explain. Grigore Pop-Eleches and Robertson Graeme - November 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32142" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Ukrainian activists demonstrate in front of
6 reasons not to worry about Russia invading the Baltics Robert Person - November 12, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32090" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Russian President Vladimir Putin and Serbian
Netanyahu blames a Palestinian for the Holocaust. What does the evidence say? Evgeny Finkel - October 22, 2015 In October 2015, speaking to the 37th Zionist Congress, Israeli
Here’s why Putin wants to topple Ukraine’s government, not to engineer a ‘frozen conflict’ Robert Person - October 6, 2015 [caption id="attachment_30331" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Pro-Russian militants participate in a training
Did Armenia just have an Orange Revolution? Zhanna Andreasyan and Georgi Derluguian - July 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27852" align="aligncenter" width="3960"] Early on Saturday, June 27, 2015,
Hey, Putin, have you seen how much China is investing in Ukraine? Samuel Ramani - July 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27756" align="aligncenter" width="982"] Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) greets
What people in southeast Ukraine really think of Novorossiya John O’Loughlin and Gerard Toal - May 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_25298" align="aligncenter" width="600"] A map of the historical region
Russians see Ukraine as an illegitimate state Mikhail Alexseev and Henry Hale - May 20, 2015 [caption id="attachment_25080" align="aligncenter" width="660"] United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon
What's behind the Gazprom crisis? Henry Farrell - April 23, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23915" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] An employee turns a
What’s behind the Gazprom crisis? Henry Farrell - April 23, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23915" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] An employee turns a
Why the U.S. does nothing in Ukraine Yuval Weber - March 18, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22829" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Russian Navy sailors take part in
How the Ukrainian crisis is like three-dimensional chess Nikolai Sokov - March 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22686" align="alignnone" width="620"] Civilians talk to an Ukrainian serviceman
Interview: Carnegie Corporation of New York's Deana Arsenian on U.S. – Russia relations, and making scholarly expertise more accessible Joshua Tucker - March 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22596" align="alignnone" width="620"] Secretary of State John Kerry (R)
Interview: Carnegie Corporation of New York’s Deana Arsenian on U.S. – Russia relations, and making scholarly expertise more accessible Joshua Tucker - March 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22596" align="alignnone" width="620"] Secretary of State John Kerry (R)
Five fatal flaws in realist analysis of Russia and Ukraine Alexander Motyl - March 3, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22253" align="alignnone" width="620"] Is Russian President Vladimir Putin rational
Russian and Ukrainian TV viewers live on different planets John O’Loughlin and Gerard Toal - February 26, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21924" align="alignnone" width="620"] Military personnel carry a coffin as
Putin's war of words, decoded Joshua Tucker - February 26, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21838" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Russian President Vladimir Putin (C) poses
Putin’s war of words, decoded Elizabeth Wood - February 26, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21838" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Russian President Vladimir Putin (C) poses
Answering remaining questions about Ukraine's Maidan protests, one year later Joshua Tucker - February 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21737" align="alignnone" width="620"] A man kneels before an Orthodox
Answering remaining questions about Ukraine’s Maidan protests, one year later Leonid Peisakhin - February 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21737" align="alignnone" width="620"] A man kneels before an Orthodox
The West should not count on Russian sensitivity to casualties to deter Putin Simon Saradzhyan - February 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21678" align="alignnone" width="620"] Russia-backed separatists carry the coffin of a comrade
Expert analysis on U.S., Russia and arming Ukraine Joshua Tucker - February 12, 2015 Looking for a source for expert analysis on U.S.-Russian relations
A Putin surprise in eastern Ukraine? Kimberly Marten - January 28, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20627" align="alignnone" width="620"] A local man looks at the
Will Russia's economic turmoil affect its foreign policy? Joshua Tucker - December 18, 2014 [caption id="attachment_19267" align="aligncenter" width="600"] Russian President Vladimir Putin points to