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Can Trump manage immigration effectively – and not just reduce it?

Alexander Kustov - January 21, 2025
Research suggests that’s what voters really care about, not immigrant numbers.

Politicians on all sides campaign on restricting immigration

Alexander Kustov - June 20, 2024
Voters dislike immigration, especially when it is unauthorized. That’s pushing all politicians to respond.

America is less polarized by race – but more polarized about race

John Sides and Michael Tesler - April 3, 2024
The pro-GOP shift among people of color is making racial attitudes more important to politics, not less.

Would a ‘not guilty’ impeachment verdict help Trump?

Martin Wattenberg - October 24, 2019
It didn’t help Bill Clinton

People flock to rallies for Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. Does it mean anything?

John Sides - January 13, 2016
[caption id="attachment_34358" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets

Learning about upward mobility by studying people who moved in childhood

Andrew Gelman - May 5, 2015
Someone pointed me to this article by David Leonhardt, Amanda

Have the nerds really beaten the campaign pundits? Not yet.

John Sides - March 23, 2015
David Leonhardt, the editor of The Upshot, recently took on

Can 'conservative principles' boost working-class incomes?

Larry Bartels - January 15, 2015
According to The Washington Post's Philip Rucker and Dan Balz,

Can ‘conservative principles’ boost working-class incomes?

Larry Bartels - January 15, 2015
According to The Washington Post's Philip Rucker and Dan Balz,

No, Southern whites are not the new blacks

Larry Bartels - April 24, 2014
[caption id="attachment_9777" align="aligncenter" width="717"] 2012 White Republican Vote (Nate Cohn,
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