Maybe young men and women aren’t so ideologically different John Sides - January 29, 2024 A viral graph isn't the full story.
Partisanship is not just negative partisanship John Sides - December 4, 2023 Hatred for the other party isn’t as prevalent or powerful as you may think.
The political science behind the Bidens’ biting dogs Michael Tesler - October 11, 2023 Democrats are more permissive (pet) parents.
Why are prominent Los Angeles Latinos saying such racist things? Efrén Pérez, Crystal Robertson, Bianca V. Vicuña, and Alisson Ramos - October 13, 2022 Many marginalized communities adopt anti-Black racism to secure their halting gains as new Americans. Latinos fit this pattern, our research finds.
Immigration opponents are far more passionate than supporters Alexander Kustov - July 13, 2022 Public support for immigration is increasing. Can that push Congress to act?
In many states with antiabortion laws, majorities favor abortion rights Jake Grumbach and Christopher Warshaw / Managing Editor - June 25, 2022 Will purple states’ laws eventually reflect their voters’ views?
What lies behind mistrust of government and doubts about the election? White racial bias. Alexandra Filindra - January 30, 2022 Officials and candidates who encourage this mistrust are undermining democracy
The pandemic actually helped bring Americans together – briefly Matthew Gentzkow, Levi Boxell, James N. Druckman, and Jacob Conway - August 23, 2021 Having a common enemy can unite a nation — until something like the Black Lives Matter protests reminds citizens of their profound differences.
White Republicans and White Democrats are moving farther apart on race. Or is that just an education gap? Scott Harris - July 21, 2021 To find out, I looked at six ways to measure White attitudes on race — and how those influenced their votes.
Trump didn’t bring White working-class voters to the Republican Party. The data suggests he kept them away. Noam Lupu and Nicholas Carnes - April 14, 2021 White working-class voters had been moving to the Republican Party for years. Trump stopped the trend.
Biden’s pandemic rescue plan may help get White people to trust the government. People like benefits they can see. Aaron Rosenthal - March 26, 2021 Delivering benefits through tax policy hides them from view.
If you want to know what Americans think about bombing Iran, find out what they think about race Vladimir Enrique Medenica and David Ebner - March 10, 2021 That matters — because when political leaders shape foreign policy, they keep public opinion in mind.
The Capitol siege shows how White Americans can express anger that Black Americans cannot Davin L. Phoenix - January 14, 2021 Angry Whites are far more likely to take political action.
Many Republicans believe the election was fixed. But that’s what losing partisans often think. Dan Cassino - December 3, 2020 What’s new is how many are not just suspicious, but say they’re sure it’s true
Despite the 2020 election results, you can still trust polling. Mostly. Robert Y. Shapiro - December 2, 2020 Yes, there’s a problem with pre-election polling. But mass opinion polls don’t have that problem.
Trump makes more voters feel bad than Biden does. That’s a problem for the president. Kimberly Gross and Danny Hayes - November 1, 2020 Our poll suggests Americans’ emotions are endangering his reelection bid
Trump radicalized the Republican Party. If it doesn’t change course, many supporters will flee. Ken Kollman and John Jackson - October 28, 2020 Our research finds when a party shifts ideology too far, large demographic blocs shift loyalties to the other party
Trump’s attacks prompted Latino immigrants to get more involved in American civic life Michael Jones-Correa and James A. McCann - September 30, 2020 Our surveys find a spike in engagement after the 2017 inauguration
Identity politics can help Biden win in November Christopher Stout - September 16, 2020 Appeals for racial equity can motivate Democrats to vote.
Do vice-presidential picks matter? Kyle Kopko and Christopher J. Devine - August 13, 2020 Joe Biden picked Kamala Harris as his running mate. Here’s what we know about whether that will help him.
What persuades Southerners to take down Confederate symbols? Hearing it’s good for business. Jordan Peterson and Christian R. Grose - July 2, 2020 Mississippi’s chamber of commerce lobbied the state to change its flag
Would Booker and Castro be in tonight’s debate if polls counted people of color accurately? Matt A. Barreto - December 18, 2019 Most polls misrepresent the Democratic electorate. Here’s how that skews the results.
The nation’s liberal shift is likely to continue. Here’s why. Lane Kenworthy - November 26, 2019 Consider California’s transformation from its Reagan years to today.
Older voters really like Joe Biden. That’s good news and bad news for him. Martin Wattenberg - November 19, 2019 Hillary Clinton never overcame her deficit among younger voters.
Would a ‘not guilty’ impeachment verdict help Trump? Martin Wattenberg - October 24, 2019 It didn’t help Bill Clinton
The Obama effect has helped Joe Biden with black voters. Will it last? Michael Tesler - October 7, 2019 With or without the Ukraine issues, Biden needs African American voters to win the Democratic nomination.
The Democratic candidates are unabashedly liberal. Is that what Democratic voters want? Martin Wattenberg - September 12, 2019 More and more, Democrats think about policy and ideology when they think about politics.
Many whites view people of color as less American Michael Tesler / Managing Editor - July 15, 2019 Here’s the data.
Joe Biden is much less popular among Democratic women who’ve been sexually harassed Kaye Usry - May 7, 2019 And Democrats take #MeToo more seriously than Republicans do.
Anti-Semitism is linked to public opinion about Israel. But so is Islamophobia. Michael Tesler - March 11, 2019 Is bias behind the backlash against Rep. Ilhan Omar? Let’s check public opinion.
Black candidates know they have to be careful in talking about race. Here’s what the research suggests. Christopher T. Stout - February 19, 2019 The 2020 Democratic presidential primaries will have the most diverse
What Americans really think about birthright citizenship Ashley Jardina - November 2, 2018 [caption id="attachment_79705" align="aligncenter" width="960"] More than 220 people from more
Georgia’s ‘exact match’ law could potentially harm many eligible voters. Ted Enamorado - October 20, 2018 [caption id="attachment_79156" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Georgia gubernatorial candidates Stacey Abrams, left,
How ‘hostile sexism’ came to shape our politics Erin Cassese, Tiffany Barnes, and Mirya Holman - October 2, 2018 What’s behind the roiling public reaction to Thursday’s Senate Judiciary
Why evangelical voters support Trump’s policy on refugees — even though evangelical leaders object. Brian Newman - July 19, 2018 Every year since the passage of the U.S. Refugee Act
Whites have fled the Democratic Party. Here’s how the nation got there. Joshua Zingher - May 22, 2018 [caption id="attachment_41151" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Blue Democratic donkey cookies and red
How election forecasts confuse Americans — and may lead them not to vote at all Solomon Messing - March 22, 2018 [caption id="attachment_64714" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (David Goldman/AP)[/caption] Where were you on
Why Trump’s steel tariffs may end up helping him politically Alexandra Guisinger - March 7, 2018 After saying he would impose new tariffs on steel and aluminum
A new poll shows how younger women could help drive a Democratic wave in 2018 - March 5, 2018 [caption id="attachment_69801" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Pittsburgh high school students Mia Arrington,
David Brooks thinks the two-party system is doomed. He’s right — and wrong. Barry Ryan - February 16, 2018 [caption id="attachment_50682" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A man votes at City Hall
Will Republicans be able to dismantle the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau? Mallory SoRelle - February 13, 2018 https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/the-battle-for-control-of-the-consumer-financial-protection-bureau/2017/11/27/acefba7e-d39f-11e7-9ad9-ca0619edfa05_video.html Since November, the Trump administration has taken steps to
Americans are getting smarter about politics in at least one important way Jason Jordan - February 7, 2018 [caption id="attachment_45922" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A voter wears an “I voted”
White racial resentment has been gaining political power for decades Jamil Scott - January 15, 2018 [caption id="attachment_68134" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump at a White House
White voters are moving to the South — and making it more Democratic Danny Hayes - January 2, 2018 One of the biggest U.S. political stories of 2017 was
To many Americans, being patriotic means being white Michael Tesler - October 13, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64796" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Members of the San Francisco 49ers
Does the Republican Party really have a young person problem? Deborah Schildkraut - October 6, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64614" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Students in the Congressional Page program
Republicans are the party of ideological inconsistency William Myers, Robert Lupton, and Judd Thornton - October 2, 2017 After months of trying to work with congressional Republicans to
Roger Stone says there would be an ‘insurrection’ if Trump were impeached. Is he right? Ryan L. Claassen, Paul Djupe, Jake Neiheisel, Andrew Lewis, and Anand Sokhey - September 15, 2017 [caption id="attachment_63594" align="aligncenter" width="960"] People protest outside the Phoenix Convention
Resentful white people propelled Trump to the White House — and he is rewarding their loyalty John Sides - August 3, 2017 The Trump administration is preparing to have the Justice Department’s
Young and old are voting very differently in the U.K. and U.S. That’s a big deal. Pippa Norris - June 14, 2017 [caption id="attachment_59872" align="alignleft" width="960"] Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn casts
It’s time to bust the myth: Most Trump voters were not working class. Noam Lupu and Nicholas Carnes - June 5, 2017 Media coverage of the 2016 election often emphasized Donald Trump’s
These 3 things help make sense of the dangerous Minnesota measles outbreak Mark Joslyn - June 1, 2017 [caption id="attachment_59132" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Tahlil Wehlie speaks with his son
Republicans like Pence better than Trump. That’s unprecedented. Martin Wattenberg - May 31, 2017 On a recent episode of “Saturday Night Live,” Colin Jost
Are ‘gay’ and ‘homosexual’ the same? Here’s what we found. Matt Motta - May 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_49362" align="alignleft" width="960"] A rainbow flag flies during a
Gun ownership used to be bipartisan. Not anymore. Mark Joslyn and Don Haider-Markel - May 9, 2017 [caption id="attachment_58017" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump speaks during the National
Why presidential candidates (like Trump) campaign as isolationists but (like Trump) govern as hawks Verlan Lewis - April 18, 2017 [caption id="attachment_56963" align="alignleft" width="960"] A missile is fired from the
Racism motivated Trump voters more than authoritarianism Thomas Wood - April 17, 2017 [caption id="attachment_50092" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A voter casts a ballot in
Are you a liberal or a conservative? That may depend on where you live. Matthew Feinberg and Alexa Tullett - March 16, 2017 [caption id="attachment_38412" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] The symbols of the Democratic (donkey)
Muslims are the least popular religious group in the U.S. They’re disliked even more than atheists. Kerem Kalkan - February 23, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54549" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Khizr Khan, whose son, Humayun S.M.
People who protest almost certainly vote Susan Stokes, Erdem Aytaç, and Eli Rau - February 6, 2017 [caption id="attachment_53666" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Residents march in the Farthest North
Yes, Trump will face a backlash if he doesn’t deliver on his promises David Walsh - January 20, 2017 [caption id="attachment_52734" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A museum worker fixes the hair
Democrats’ policies are more popular. But Republicans are more ideologically unified. Yphtach Lelkes and Paul Sniderman - December 16, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38412" align="aligncenter" width="964"] (Agence France-Presse)[/caption] Many self-identified Republicans vote
It’s actually older people who have become more cynical about U.S. democracy Erik Voeten - December 14, 2016 Here's the data.
Trump has picked the most conservative EPA leader since 1981. This one will face much less resistance. Megan Mullin and Patrick Egan - December 13, 2016 [caption id="attachment_51193" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Scott Pruitt, attorney general of Oklahoma,
How racially resentful working-class whites fled the Democratic Party — before Donald Trump Michael Tesler - November 21, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49919" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] A woman wears a shirt with
Polls may be making voters worse at predicting elections Benjamin Toff - November 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49060" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Voters wait in line to cast
Secular voters didn’t turn out for Clinton the way white evangelicals did for Trump Mark Brockway, Geoffrey Layman, and David Campbell - November 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49753" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Worshipers pray during a service at
Why the gender gap doomed Hillary Clinton Michael Tesler - November 9, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49271" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton speaks during a news
Trump’s election-rigging claim will backfire. Here’s the evidence. Pippa Norris - October 21, 2016 In recent days, Donald Trump has ratcheted up claims of
Evangelical voters will almost surely vote for Donald Trump. Here’s why. Paul Goren and Christopher Chapp - October 3, 2016 For at least three decades, the Republican Party has won
Forget Trump’s temperament and Clinton’s stamina. Voters care less and less about candidates’ personalities Martin Wattenberg - September 29, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46891" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump debated
Birtherism was why so many Republicans liked Trump in the first place Michael Tesler - September 19, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46466" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks
Republicans and Democrats can’t even agree about how they disagree Matt Grossmann and David A. Hopkins - September 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_45932" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Blue Democratic donkey cookies and red
Presidential candidates are ideologically extreme. And they pretty much get away with it. John Sides - September 6, 2016 [caption id="attachment_7495" align="aligncenter" width="1200"] (Shutterstock.com)[/caption] Most political observers are familiar
Here’s what happens when scientists evaluate research without knowing the results Joshua Tucker - August 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36430" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (REUTERS/Kacper Pempel)[/caption] Last week, we published a
New political science initiative calls for evaluating research before knowing the results John Sides - August 19, 2016 [caption id="attachment_19279" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Kacper Pempel/Reuters[/caption] Wednesday saw the announcement
Can Ivanka Trump lure female voters to her father? Probably not. Tiffany Barnes and Erin Cassese - July 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44412" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Ivanka Trump introduces her father, Donald
Will Tim Kaine deliver Virginia (and Catholics)? Don’t count on it. Kyle Kopko and Christopher Devine - July 23, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44317" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton and Sen. Timothy M.
Women vote at higher rates than men. That might help Clinton in November. Barbara Norrander - June 27, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42875" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A supporter holds a sign during
How racial prejudice helps drive opposition to gun control Alexandra Filindra - June 21, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42468" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this 2012 photo, three variations
Do most Americans dislike Clinton and Trump? No, not at all. John Sides and Alan Abramowitz - June 14, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41764" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump (Getty
To win, Trump needs to get non-college grads to the polls. Here’s why that will be hard. Barry Burden - June 13, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42024" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Graduating student Kaspar Wittlinger holds his
No, Sanders supporters are not more liberal than Clinton’s. Here’s what really drives elections. Larry Bartels and Christopher Achen - June 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35927" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential candidate
No, Sanders voters aren’t more conservative than Clinton voters. Here’s the data. Robert Lupton and Christopher Hare - May 31, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41345" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Bernie
Racial prejudice, not populism or authoritarianism, predicts support for Trump over Clinton - May 26, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40883" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. (DSK/Agence
Why is Hillary Clinton doing worse among whites now than in 2008? Racial attitudes. Michael Tesler - May 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37363" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton
Who should Trump and Clinton pick as running mates? This research says it doesn’t really matter. Kyle Kopko and Christopher Devine - April 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38412" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Karen Bleier/AFP)[/caption] Even with the Democratic
Here’s evidence that Melania Trump could actually boost Donald Trump’s popularity Lauren Wright - March 30, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38157" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, accompanied
How Wall Street became a big chunk of the U.S. economy — and when the Democrats signed on Christopher Witko - March 29, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38035" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A Wall Street sign outside the New
Where is Trump’s evangelical base? Not in church. Geoffrey Layman - March 29, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38099" align="aligncenter" width="720"] Donald Trump at the 2015 Values
Will anxiety about terrorism affect the 2016 election? Clinton has the advantage for now. Shana Gadarian, Joshua Busby, and Bethany Albertson - March 28, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37791" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A mourner places a candle next
No, Trump won’t win votes from disaffected Democrats in the fall Charlotte Cavaille - March 25, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37210" align="aligncenter" width="908"] People raise their arms as Donald
Why don’t millennials vote? Russell Dalton - March 22, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37676" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Tyler Summers, left, who said she
Not all whites are ethnocentric. That also affects our politics. L.J. Zigerell and Arafat Kabir - March 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_37394" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Anti-Trump protesters hold signs outside a
Here’s why Trump’s supporters tolerate his ‘liberal’ economic positions Howard Lavine, Christopher Federico, and Christopher Johnston - March 8, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36924" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump walks
How political science helps explain the rise of Trump: the role of white identity and grievances Michael Tesler and John Sides - March 3, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36757" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump stops
What differentiates Trump supporters from other Republicans? Ethnocentrism. Kerem Kalkan - February 28, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36269" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidates, from left, Ted
This is what Trump supporters and your argumentative uncle have in common Matthijs Rooduijn, Gijs Schumacher, and Bert Bakker - December 23, 2015 [caption id="attachment_33909" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate, businessman Donald Trump
Are moms and daughters divided over Hillary Clinton? Not so fast. John Sides - December 22, 2015 [caption id="attachment_24542" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Reuters/Mike Blake)[/caption] Last week, a New
Where’s the partisan polarization on abortion? Andrew Gelman - November 30, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32836" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Hope Chapel elder, Scott Dontanville, wipes