Trump’s baseless claims damage American democracy Henry Farrell - November 6, 2020 Democracy works only when losers recognize that they have lost.
The Wisconsin primary had extraordinarily high voter turnout Richard H. Pildes and Charles Stewart III - April 15, 2020 We analyzed this two ways. The result was the same: Unexpectedly high rates of voting, despite the chaos.
There’s an old conservative idea behind Donald Trump’s threat to regulate Google Henry Farrell - September 4, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77325" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The logo of Google is pictured
On Twitter, Trump “punches down” far more than any of his rivals. Kaylee Johnson and Justin Gross - October 27, 2016 [caption id="attachment_48461" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump signs his tax return.
Do betting markets outperform election polls? Hardly. Thomas Wood - August 9, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44984" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] President Harry S. Truman holds up
Artificial intelligence trumps political experts Joshua Tucker - April 1, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38308" align="aligncenter" width="908"] On Dec. 9, pollster Frank Luntz
Where is Trump’s evangelical base? Not in church. Geoffrey Layman - March 29, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38099" align="aligncenter" width="720"] Donald Trump at the 2015 Values
Two reasons the Republican presidential race is still such a mess Tony Lucadamo and Nicole Hemmer - February 16, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35833" align="aligncenter" width="908"] From left, John Kasich, Jeb Bush,
Once again, Ted Cruz has an under-appreciated strength in New Hampshire Will Cubbison, Josh Putnam, Craig Goodman, and Boris Shor - February 9, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35484" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Duane and Joyce Cate leave their
What the Iowa caucus means for the only count that counts: delegates Josh Putnam - February 2, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35200" align="aligncenter" width="2448"] A poster on the wall of
Ted Cruz has an under-appreciated strength in Iowa Will Cubbison, Josh Putnam, Craig Goodman, and Boris Shor - January 31, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35098" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz listens
How Sarah Palin could help Donald Trump with Ted Cruz supporters Michael Tesler and John Sides - January 24, 2016 [caption id="attachment_34723" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, right,
Is Donald Trump finally losing his media mojo? Kalev Leetaru - November 6, 2015 [caption id="attachment_30089" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Donald Trump speaks at a press
Which Republican presidential candidate will drop out next? Maybe these two. Michael Crespin - October 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29937" align="aligncenter" width="908"] The Republican presidential candidates at the
The big issues dividing the Republican Party (in 3 graphs) Dina Smeltz - September 26, 2015 [caption id="attachment_29937" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidates, from left, former
If you think super PACs have changed everything about the presidential primary, think again David Karol - September 21, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27328" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Your Republican presidential field, minus the
This chart explains how Trump's stand on immigration is hurting the Republican Party Patrick Egan - August 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28863" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Immigration reform activists hold a sign
This chart explains how Trump’s stand on immigration is hurting the Republican Party Patrick Egan - August 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28863" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Immigration reform activists hold a sign
The 7 things you need to know about how Donald Trump has hogged the presidential campaign conversation - August 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28534" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump
Here’s one important way Bernie Sanders is like Sarah Palin John Sides - July 29, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27979" align="aligncenter" width="745"] (Photos by J. Scott Applewhite and Craig Ruttle/Associated Press)[/caption]
Here's one important way Bernie Sanders is like Sarah Palin John Sides - July 29, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27979" align="aligncenter" width="745"] (Photos by J. Scott Applewhite and Craig Ruttle/Associated Press)[/caption]
Why is Trump surging? Blame the media. John Sides - July 20, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27591" align="aligncenter" width="908"] U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee's attack on the Supreme Court could work. Here's how. John Sides - June 30, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26731" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee talks
Mike Huckabee’s attack on the Supreme Court could work. Here’s how. Paul Djupe and Andrew Lewis - June 30, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26731" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee talks
Why does the Republican Party still oppose LGBT rights? Andrew Reynolds - June 18, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26191" align="aligncenter" width="2048"] Like other right-of-center parties, the British
Who is the most conservative Republican candidate for president? Pablo Barberá - June 16, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26147" align="alignnone" width="620" class="center"] The Twitter logo is displayed
Everything you need to know about how the presidential primary works Josh Putnam - May 12, 2015 [caption id="attachment_24688" align="aligncenter" width="620" class="align center "] Caucus participants place
'Wealthy plutocrat' isn't Mitt Romney's issue. It's the Republican Party's issue. John Sides - January 19, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20206" align="aligncenter" width="992"] Mitt Romney, a former Republican presidential
‘Wealthy plutocrat’ isn’t Mitt Romney’s issue. It’s the Republican Party’s issue. John Sides - January 19, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20206" align="aligncenter" width="992"] Mitt Romney, a former Republican presidential
What do Rick Santorum and Andrew Cuomo have in common? Andrew Gelman - November 24, 2014 Neither one can handle the National Weather Service. As reported
When and why do U.S. states make English their official language? Amy Liu and Anand Sokhey - June 18, 2014 Rick Santorum. Made in America. Not “Hecho en América” (Mike
U.S. is a world leader in class conflict over government spending Larry Bartels - April 21, 2014 [caption id="attachment_9661" align="aligncenter" width="410" special=""] (Data from International Social
Is it really so 'laughable' for Republicans to nominate Chris Christie for president? John Sides - January 15, 2014 [caption id="attachment_5314" align="aligncenter" width="694" special=""] (Mel Evans/Associated Press)[/caption] Charlie Cook
Media coverage of the 2012 election was fair and balanced after all John Sides - October 14, 2013 [caption id="attachment_1461" align="aligncenter" width="542" special=""] (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)[/caption] A
The Santorum Challenge to Romney: An Excerpt from The Gamble John Sides - September 21, 2013 Salon has an excerpt from The Gamble, Lynn Vavreck's and
Why Ted Cruz Needs to Trust Republicans John Sides - May 23, 2013 The senior senator from Arizona urged this body to trust
Can Politicians Make a Come Back from Sex Scandals? Erik Voeten - March 28, 2013 Mark Sanford is running for Congress. David Petraeus may consider
New E-Chapter of The Gamble Available (It’s Free!) John Sides - January 24, 2013 As regular readers know, Lynn Vavreck and I are writing
Why aren’t Asians Republicans? For one thing, more than half of them live in California, New York, New Jersey, and Hawaii Andrew Gelman - November 27, 2012 Conservative data cruncher Charles Murray asks, "Why aren’t Asians Republicans?":
The 2012 Election Was Good for Political Science John Sides - November 19, 2012 In late September, I was involved in an email exchange
Why Money Still Matters John Sides - November 15, 2012 This is a guest post by political scientist and Sunlight
Who won the election for Obama? Andrew Gelman - November 7, 2012 Mike Bloomberg and Chris Christie. Sonia Sotomayor. Paul Ryan. Those
Romney’s Candidacy has Piqued Curiosity about Mormons: Evidence from Google Searches John Sides - October 1, 2012 This is a guest post from political scientists Donald Green
Yes, Mitt Romney is a bad candidate Andrew Gelman - September 21, 2012 Following up on John's observations, I just had a few
Is Mitt Romney a Bad Candidate? John Sides - September 21, 2012 The only way to answer the question in the title
Mitt Romney: The Surprisingly Strong Presidential Candidate John Sides - August 29, 2012 Ezra Klein: bq. Romney isn’t always the best speaker. He
Renowned sociologist is utterly misinformed about American voters Andrew Gelman - July 27, 2012 Elder statesman of sociology Peter Berger writes: [New York mayor
The small but important group of super-rich funders of the Democratic party Andrew Gelman - May 26, 2012 Jay Livingston alerted me to this remark by conservative journalist
Defining Dissidence Down David Karol - May 10, 2012 In all the coverage of Senator Richard Lugar's crushing 20-point
A Comparativist’s Perspective on Romney’s Challenge: He Won’t Have any Trouble Winning Back Santorum Voters Joshua Tucker - April 11, 2012 Now that Rick Santorum has suspended his presidential campaign, we
Class division within the Republican party Andrew Gelman - April 11, 2012 Walter Dean Burnham and Thomas Ferguson write about Romney's combination
“How To Be A Smarter Campaign Consumer” Andrew Gelman - April 10, 2012 I received the following email: Hi, I’m a freelance journalist
Election Report: The Secret Election of Moldova’s Unknown President Joshua Tucker - March 26, 2012 The following election report on Moldova's recent indirect presidential election
Republican Primary Voters Embrace Government. No, Really. John Sides - March 22, 2012 Paul Ryan’s budget would cut a lot of government spending.
Why Campaigns Have So Few “Game-Changers” John Sides - March 14, 2012 My latest post at Model Politics looks at public knowledge
Social Conservatives in the GOP Primary John Sides - February 29, 2012 Simon Jackman has a post up at Model Politics examining
Does Romney’s Wealth Pay Dividends for Santorum? John Sides - February 28, 2012 That's the title of Lynn Vavreck's and my latest post
Why Santorum Should Learn to Love the Netherlands Erik Voeten - February 28, 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8bc_ZyORbM It seems like the Netherlands has emerged as the
The Other Presidential Election: Hamsters vs. Rabbits Joshua Tucker - February 27, 2012 We are pleased to welcome back Graeme Robertson, an Associate Professor
Frontrunners and Underdogs John Sides - February 26, 2012 This is a guest post by political scientist Brandon Rottinghaus.
“The Narcotic of Government Dependency” Larry Bartels - February 13, 2012 That's Rick Santorum talking about the American welfare state. But
Vladimir Putin and Mitt Romney: How they May Have Surprisingly Similar Problems Joshua Tucker - February 8, 2012 It is not shaping up to be a great week
Does Romney have a Military Problem? Joshua Tucker - February 8, 2012 Monkey Cage reader Michael Moschella writes in with the following
Will a Losing GOP Shift Rightward? John Sides - February 1, 2012 George Packer: McGovern’s debacle forced the Democratic Party to find
Winner take all? Andrew Rudalevige - January 24, 2012 An interesting tidbit in the Miami Herald yesterday highlights the
Perry’s Exit Could Be Romney’s Gain (But It Ain’t Much) John Sides - January 20, 2012 Now that Rick Perry has dropped out of the presidential
Deep Dissatisfaction with Romney? John Sides - January 19, 2012 Noam Scheiber: The Romney can't break 25% narrative may be
Why Is It So Hard to Count Votes in the Iowa Caucus? John Sides - January 19, 2012 So apparently Santorum did win the Iowa caucus. Maybe. Eight
The Divided Tea Party John Sides - January 18, 2012 Matt Bai's piece on Sunday nicely illustrated how divided Tea
Winnowing the Field Would Help Romney, Not Hurt Him John Sides - January 17, 2012 There's this meme that if there were only one conservative
“Dow 36,000” guy says Santorum’s tax plan doesn’t add up Andrew Gelman - January 15, 2012 This is an interesting clash of worldviews that I wouldn't
The New Hampshire Results: 2012 vs. 2008 John Sides - January 11, 2012 Following on his earlier post on the Iowa caucus, here
More on Innumeracy John Sides - January 11, 2012 Felix Salmon has a gracious reply to my earlier post:
The Inevitability of Mitt Romney John Sides - January 10, 2012 Alex Lundry and I have a new post at Model
Iowa Caucus Results: 2012 vs. 2008 Gregory Koger - January 5, 2012 This is a guest post by Charles Stewart III: There
Graphiti: Social Media and the Iowa Caucus Jonathan Robinson - January 5, 2012 The team at Oh My Gov made these predictions the
Do GOP Voters Care About Electability? John Sides - December 14, 2011 Alex Lundry and I have a new post up at
Is the Media Ignoring Ron Paul John Sides - August 23, 2011 Dominik Stecula sends the following: A relatively recent episode of
A new dress code for presidential candidates? - February 22, 2009 Make 'em wear suits emblazoned with NASCAR-type sponsor logos. I