Right-wing populist parties have risen. Populism hasn’t. John Sides - January 19, 2024 The success of these parties isn’t about a surge in populist sentiments.
Why Republicans have no incentive to stop denying the 2020 election John Sides - November 8, 2023 Election denial is even more prevalent in Congress than it was three years ago.
How conservatives are boosting RFK Jr.’s campaign Michael Tesler - September 26, 2023 Fox News coverage is a double-edged sword in a Democratic primary.
Look beyond Trump’s language to see the roots of recent political violence in the U.S. Joshua C. Wilson - January 11, 2021 For the past 50 years, conservatives have capitalized on demonizing the federal government
Under Trump, Democrats and Republicans have never been more divided — on nearly everything Larry Bartels - May 20, 2020 And they are holding tightly to their party identities
3 ways the coronavirus could end Trump’s presidency Michael Tesler - March 9, 2020 Voters are very influenced by what happens in an election year
Is it really time to scrap democracy? Let’s examine the evidence. Andrew Gelman - February 17, 2020 Roslyn Fuller’s new book takes apart the pessimists’ arguments
How are Iowa voters picking candidates? Michael Greenberger, Marc J. Hetherington, David A. M. Peterson, Colin Case, and Abby Cassario - January 27, 2020 You’ve probably never considered this quality
Racially divisive parties have more voters now, but voters aren’t becoming more racist. What explains this? Sheri Berman - December 1, 2019 Populists thrive when the mainstream left and right focus on identity politics.
About The Monkey Cage John Sides - June 10, 2019 What is The Monkey Cage?“Democracy is the art of running
The DNC voted to strip superdelegates of their powers. Will it matter for 2020? Boris Heersink - September 4, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77305" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A model of the White House
White people get more conservative when they move up — not down — economically. Here’s the evidence. Larry Bartels and Katherine Cramer - May 14, 2018 [caption id="attachment_73223" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Supporters cheer President Trump as he
How Paul Ryan lost the Republican Party Larry Bartels / Managing Editor - April 15, 2018 Editors' note: In this archival post, first published April 15,
Here’s how little Americans have learned about Donald Trump Larry Bartels - February 21, 2018 [caption id="attachment_69469" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump departs the White House
The GOP tax bill is business as usual in America’s unequal democracy Larry Bartels - December 20, 2017 [caption id="attachment_67471" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump and first lady Melania
No, the populist surge does not mean European democracy is collapsing José Caamaño and Casal Bértoa - November 17, 2017 [caption id="attachment_64075" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Supporters of the hard-right Alternative for
Europeans have lost faith in their governments and institutions. Why? We did the research. Jeff Frieden and Chase Foster - September 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_63787" align="alignnone" width="960"] A supporter of Greece's extreme right party
How many votes could Hurricane Harvey cost Trump in Texas? Jeffery Jenkins, Boris Heersink, and Brenton Peterson - August 29, 2017 Hurricane Harvey has slammed into Texas, bringing power outages, destruction
What 4 types of American nationalism can tell us about Trump voters Paul DiMaggio and Bart Bonikowski - February 6, 2017 [caption id="attachment_53637" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A woman gives a thumbs-up to
2016 was an ordinary election, not a realignment Larry Bartels - November 10, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49160" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton face
Five key lessons from Donald Trump’s surprising victory John Sides - November 9, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49232" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump arrives
Do shark attacks swing elections? Andrew Gelman - October 28, 2016 [caption id="attachment_48539" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A surfer carries his board into
Presidential candidates are ideologically extreme. And they pretty much get away with it. John Sides - September 6, 2016 [caption id="attachment_7495" align="aligncenter" width="1200"] (Shutterstock.com)[/caption] Most political observers are familiar
A deep dive into the news media’s role in the rise of Donald J. Trump Kalev Leetaru and John Sides - June 24, 2016 [caption id="attachment_42412" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump with Fox News anchor
No, Sanders supporters are not more liberal than Clinton’s. Here’s what really drives elections. Larry Bartels and Christopher Achen - June 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35927" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential candidate
No, Sanders voters aren’t more conservative than Clinton voters. Here’s the data. Robert Lupton and Christopher Hare - May 31, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41345" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Bernie
Critics argued with our analysis of U.S. political inequality. Here are 5 ways they’re wrong. Martin Gilens and Benjamin Page - May 23, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40391" align="aligncenter" width="908"] The sun rises over the Capitol
Economic forecasts suggest the presidential race should be a toss-up. So why aren’t Republicans doing better? Matthew Atkinson and Darin DeWitt - March 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36269" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Sen. Ted Cruz, Donald Trump and
How political science helps explain the rise of Trump (part 3): It’s the economy, stupid Michael Tesler and John Sides - March 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36770" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump
How anti-immigrant attitudes are fueling support for Donald Trump Michael Tesler - November 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32609" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A supporter of Donald Trump stands
Political scientists are debating how to make research more transparent. Here’s a way forward. Andrew Gelman - November 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32147" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Can political science studies be replicated?
If you think super PACs have changed everything about the presidential primary, think again David Karol - September 21, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27328" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Your Republican presidential field, minus the
Can we stop blaming the media for Donald Trump? Nope. Not at all. John Sides - September 16, 2015 Yesterday, my Post colleague Chris Cillizza asked, "Can we please
New research shows just how much presidents try to manipulate public opinion John Sides - August 9, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28333" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Haraz N. Ghanbari/AP)[/caption] The political scientists
Could Obama's liberalism hurt Hillary Clinton in 2016? John Sides - April 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23621" align="alignnone" width="620" class="center"] In this Sept. 12, 2012
Could Obama’s liberalism hurt Hillary Clinton in 2016? John Sides - April 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23621" align="alignnone" width="620" class="center"] In this Sept. 12, 2012
Can 'conservative principles' boost working-class incomes? Larry Bartels - January 15, 2015 According to The Washington Post's Philip Rucker and Dan Balz,
Can ‘conservative principles’ boost working-class incomes? Larry Bartels - January 15, 2015 According to The Washington Post's Philip Rucker and Dan Balz,
Can a cartoon smiley face 'significantly and consistently alter' political attitudes? I'm not so sure. Andrew Gelman - September 8, 2014 The other day, Larry Bartels posted a Monkey Cage article
Can a cartoon smiley face ‘significantly and consistently alter’ political attitudes? I’m not so sure. Andrew Gelman - September 8, 2014 The other day, Larry Bartels posted a Monkey Cage article
Could Brazil's World Cup loss really affect the coming presidential election? Joshua Tucker - July 9, 2014 [caption id="attachment_12783" align="aligncenter" width="620"] A passer-by reads a newspaper on
Could Brazil’s World Cup loss really affect the coming presidential election? Joshua Tucker - July 9, 2014 [caption id="attachment_12783" align="aligncenter" width="620"] A passer-by reads a newspaper on
Let the millennials grow up (the apathetic youth, and other myths) Kaat Smets and Anja Neundorf - May 19, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] A voting sign hangs on
U.S. is a world leader in class conflict over government spending Larry Bartels - April 21, 2014 [caption id="attachment_9661" align="aligncenter" width="410" special=""] (Data from International Social
Why wouldn't people want to reduce inequality? David Siegel - April 17, 2014 This is a guest post by Duke political scientist David
Why wouldn’t people want to reduce inequality? David Siegel - April 17, 2014 This is a guest post by Duke political scientist David
What the McCutcheon decision means Lee Drutman - April 2, 2014 This is a guest post by political scientist Lee Drutman,
Are there genes that lead men to enjoy fighting? Erik Voeten - February 4, 2014 [caption id="attachment_6178" align="aligncenter" width="300" special=""] Tommy Morrison and George Foreman
Why biology belongs in the study of politics John Sides - November 27, 2013 [caption id="attachment_3569" align="aligncenter" width="542" special=""] (Gerald Herbert / AP)[/caption] This
The conservative shift in public opinion has happened in all 50 states John Sides - October 9, 2013 This is a guest post by Cornell political scientist Peter
"The definitive account of what really happened and what really mattered in the campaign." John Sides - October 7, 2013 This week I will be writing some posts about a
Americans are more conservative than they have been in decades Larry Bartels - September 30, 2013 James Stimson knows as much about public opinion as anyone
What’s Wrong with “What’s Wrong with Obama?” Andrew Rudalevige - September 19, 2013 (With apologies to Larry Bartels...) Yesterday's Politico story trumpeting (despite
What If a Party Re-branded Itself, and Americans Never Noticed? John Sides - June 14, 2013 Greg Sargent: bq. Which raises a question that I wish
Video of the Roundtable on the 2012 Election, featuring Ezra Klein and Nate Silver John Sides - May 21, 2013 <iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/_sHelkLTJPE?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> Here is a video
Election Roundtable TODAY, with Ezra Klein and Nate Silver (New Location!) John Sides - April 13, 2013 The roundtable on the 2012 election that I mentioned before
Roundtable on the 2012 Election, Featuring Ezra Klein and Nate Silver John Sides - April 8, 2013 At the upcoming meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association
Do Academics own the Titles of Their Articles? And What if it Involves a Really Good Pun? Joshua Tucker - March 15, 2013 Some of you who know me or my work will
The 2012 Election Was Good for Political Science John Sides - November 19, 2012 In late September, I was involved in an email exchange
How Hurricane Sandy Could Matter on Election Day John Sides - October 28, 2012 I'll speak to three possibilities, just for starters: 1) Sandy
Yes, Undecided Voters Are Partisans and Have Opinions John Sides - October 17, 2012 Several of the questions from last night's debate led commentators
Obamanomics: A Counter-counterhistory Andrew Gelman - October 1, 2012 In a column entitled, "Obamanomics: A Counterhistory", David Leonhardt makes
Economic Inequality and Political Power (Part 3 of 3) Martin Gilens - August 15, 2012 In response to the disproportionate influence of the well-off that
Partisanship and economic voting Andrew Gelman - July 27, 2012 Following up the discussions by Larry Bartels, David Brady, and
Political scientist labels Obama (and Bush) as “dividers”; I don’t think that label is justified. Andrew Gelman - July 26, 2012 David Brady says: The Democrats at this point, all the
What Matters Between Now and the Election John Sides - July 11, 2012 Ezra Klein asks: bq. ...we’ve still got four months until
Reconciling different claims about working-class voters Andrew Gelman - June 20, 2012 After our discussions of psychologist Jonathan Haidt's opinions about working-class
Political Scientists elected to NAS Henry Farrell - May 3, 2012 Just in, (via a tweet from APSA) Larry Bartels and
Which Economy is it, Stupid? Joshua Tucker - April 17, 2012 Since James Carville famously wrote "The Economy, Stupid" in Bill
Musical Chairs Elections John Sides - April 15, 2012 bq. It is hardly surprising that voters’ moods and their
More on the Big Sort: Bill Bishop Responds to Abrams and Fiorina John Sides - March 21, 2012 This is a response by Bill Bishop, author of The
Understanding the “zombie” confusion about class and voting Andrew Gelman - February 17, 2012 John Sides and Larry Bartels have recently spent some space
Zombie Politics: The Voting Behavior of White Working Class John Sides - February 14, 2012 Zombie politics -- a play on Zombie Economics-- refers to
Public Opinion and the Payroll Tax Extension John Sides - January 17, 2012 bq. Moreover, an analysis relating 2012 congressional vote intentions to
Political parties and economic growth: more from Campbell, Bartels, Hibbs, and Gelman Andrew Gelman - December 12, 2011 A few months ago, we reported that Jim Campbell argues
Underemphasized Points about the Economy and Elections John Sides - November 18, 2011 The latest rounds of "nerdfight" -- Seth Masket vs. Sean
Larry Bartels Joins The Monkey Cage John Sides - November 2, 2011 We are pleased to welcome Larry Bartels as an occasional
Who gets credit for the recovery (when it happens)? Andrew Gelman - September 14, 2011 Seth Masket (link from Andrew Sullivan) writes: The upcoming presidential
Hurricane Irene: More Bad News for Obama (and House Republicans??) Joshua Tucker - August 27, 2011 [caption id="attachment_9580" align="aligncenter" width="502" caption="Photo by Joshua A. Tucker"][/caption] In
Script Doctor John Sides - August 8, 2011 Drew Westen's indictment of Obama is right on several secondary
On the Rationality or Irrationality of Political Independents John Sides - April 28, 2011 Jon Chait "disagrees":http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-chait/87547/the-irrationality-independent-voters with "my earlier post":https://themonkeycage.org/2011/04/independents_are_not_a_confuse.html on political independents:
Jim Campbell argues that Larry Bartels’s “Unequal Democracy” findings are not robust Andrew Gelman - April 13, 2011 A few years ago Larry Bartels presented this graph, a
Americans Don’t Really Want to Cut Goverment Spending John Sides - February 2, 2011 bq. ...public support for serious fiscal austerity is nowhere in
Unequal Democracy Roundtable Wrap-up John Sides - December 14, 2010 We thank Lane Kenworthy, Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson, Will
An Agenda for American Political Economy - December 10, 2010 Rather than respond directly to Larry Bartels' "response":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/12/response_to_lane_kenworthy.html to "my
The Inequality Road to Serfdom - December 7, 2010 There are many lines of argument in Larry Bartels' important
Extending the Bush Tax Cuts and the 2012 Election John Sides - December 6, 2010 Ezra Klein "sees":http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/12/can_the_white_house_win_in_201.html this in the deal on the tax
Why don’t low-income whites love the Democrats? - December 6, 2010 _Unequal Democracy_ is one of the best books on American
Roundtable on Larry Bartels’ Unequal Democracy John Sides - December 6, 2010 This week we will be hosting a roundtable on Larry
More Political Scientists on YouTube John Sides - November 16, 2010 W.W. Norton has added additional videos, supplementing those I noted
The Depths of Our Problem Joshua Tucker - November 10, 2010 Even though The Monkey Cage is now recognized as one
2010: What happened? Andrew Gelman - November 5, 2010 A lot of people are asking, How could the voters
A New Political Science Blog: Model Politics John Sides - October 28, 2010 I want to highlight a new political science blog, "Model
Paul Krugman: Welcome to the Monkey Cage! Joshua Tucker - July 19, 2010 Paul Krugman (my former colleague in the "Woodrow Wilson School":http://wws.princeton.edu/
Do Deficits Matter for Midterm Elections? John Sides - July 12, 2010 Ezra Klein writes yesterday about the effects of deficits and
Measuring epistemic closure Henry Farrell - April 26, 2010 "Ezra Klein":http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/04/epistemic_closure.html wants to know how. bq. Epistemic closure," Julian
My second interaction with Eliot Spitzer Andrew Gelman - March 9, 2010 I've only met Eliot Spitzer once, back when he was
Punishing Your Own Representative: What to Make of New CNN Poll? Joshua Tucker - February 17, 2010 In a "post last week":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/02/incumbents_and_economic_voting.html, I raised the question of