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Pollsters weighted more in 2024 – and it helped

Brian Schaffner and Caroline Soler - November 26, 2024
Adjustments for education and past vote made national and state polls more accurate.
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Democrats invested in traditional campaign tactics. Was it a mistake?

Danny Hayes, Joshua P. Darr, and Sean Whyard - November 19, 2024
New research finds the ground game is essential in presidential elections – 2024 was no exception.
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How to think about the “racial realignment” in U.S. politics

John Sides - November 18, 2024
Shifts in party coalitions don’t portend a shift in party positions.
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Democrats bet big on abortion in 2024. Voters had other priorities.

Caroline Soler and Brian Schaffner - November 14, 2024
This issue helped Democratic House candidates, but not Kamala Harris.
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What does Trump’s second term mean for immigration?

Alexander Kustov - November 13, 2024
Expect even more restrictive policies – but Americans may again view immigration more positively.
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What Democrats miss in debating Harris’ loss

Henry Farrell - November 11, 2024
Not deliverism, not popularism, but partyism?
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The real reasons Latinos are moving to the Republican Party

John Sides and Yamil Ricardo Velez - November 8, 2024
The big challenge for Democrats: It will be hard to win them back.
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What Kamala Harris changed – and what she couldn’t

Danny Hayes - November 7, 2024
Voters saw Harris as fit for office, but she couldn’t overcome their economic pessimism.
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We should’ve been more skeptical of the gender gap helping Harris

Michael Tesler - November 6, 2024
Harris’ relatively weak performance among female voters fits a familiar pattern.
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What a Trump victory means for India

Christopher Clary - November 6, 2024
Many in India think the bilateral relationship may get a boost with Trump in the White House.