Home > News > What is the probability your vote will make a difference? 118 views 9 sec 0 Comment What is the probability your vote will make a difference? Andrew Gelman - October 28, 2008 1 in 10 million in New Mexico, Virginia, New Hampshire, and Colorado, and 1 in 60 million averaging over the whole country. Topics on this pageVirginiaNew MexicoNew Hampshire Related