Self-described “political operative” Les Francis, with real-world experience as former executive director of the Democratic National Committee:
I don’t need any polls to tell me that Republicans will do well in November. The “out” party almost always shows significant gains in the first midterm election of a new President.
Political scientists Joe Bafumi, Bob Erikson, and Chris Wlezien, from elite, out-of-touch, ivory-tower institutions Dartmouth, Columbia, and Temple Universities:
Game over.
P.S. The commenters at 538 were not happy with my explanation. Full story here.