Home > News > Erikson and Wlezien forecast Obama will get about 53% of the vote with approximately 2/3 chance of winning 36 views 1 sec 0 Comment Erikson and Wlezien forecast Obama will get about 53% of the vote with approximately 2/3 chance of winning Andrew Gelman - August 2, 2008 See here. Topics on this pageBarack ObamaErik EriksonChristopher Wlezien Related