Sanders was losing to Biden anyway. But he lost more in areas with coronavirus cases. James Bisbee and Dan Honig - April 1, 2020 A study found evidence that coronavirus-induced anxiety prompted a political “flight to safety” that cost Sanders votes.
Democrats named Biden, Sanders and Warren as their top picks 18 months ago. What did the primaries change? Peter Enns and Jonathon Schuldt - March 16, 2020 Our research reveals some flaws in the primary system
If Biden wins the nomination, will Sanders supporters vote for him? Jarrod Kelly and Eric Loepp - March 12, 2020 Maybe not. They don’t feel loyal to the Democratic Party.
Why nobody knows how to assess Bloomberg’s chances — including political scientists Caitlin Jewitt - February 28, 2020 Past performance usually does predict results. But we’ve got no precedent for Bloomberg’s approach.
The Democratic nominee is often settled by Super Tuesday. Don’t hold your breath this year. Caitlin Jewitt - February 4, 2020 Here’s the primary calendar, explained
How political science helps explain the rise of Trump (part 3): It’s the economy, stupid Michael Tesler and John Sides - March 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36770" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump
What is the chance that Trump dominates Super Tuesday but doesn’t win the nomination? John Sides - March 1, 2016 For several weeks now, we've partnered with Good Judgment to
What differentiates Trump supporters from other Republicans? Ethnocentrism. Kerem Kalkan - February 28, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36269" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidates, from left, Ted
Why Obama Won: Campaign Dogs that Didn’t Bite, Part 2 John Sides - April 1, 2010 Following on my earlier post, I want to examine three
Politics of presidential nomination and selection - January 14, 2009 p. Our piece on “The Nomination and the Election: Clearing
Momentum and Legitimacy in Presidential Primaries Henry Farrell - April 22, 2008 Brian Knight and Nathan Shiff have an "interesting new NBER
Some Patterns in the “Potomac Primary” Results - February 13, 2008 Here's some county-by-county Virginia and Maryland primaries analysis from "Daily
State-by-State Blogosphere Political Commentary Roundup — Super Tuesday Edition - February 4, 2008 If you're interested in a state-by-state roundup of what's being