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There may have been shy Trump supporters after all

- November 12, 2016
[caption id="attachment_49179" align="aligncenter" width="1024"] Donald Trump speaks at a campaign

Why did Republicans outperform the polls?

Joshua Tucker - November 5, 2014
[caption id="attachment_17779" align="aligncenter" width="578"] https://twitter.com/SamWangPhD/status/529864519955537921[/caption] As election results continue to

The secret truths of election forecasting

John Sides - September 22, 2014
In case you missed it, election forecasting can be fractious.

Election forecasting: Nate Silver vs. Sam Wang

Andrew Gelman - September 19, 2014
Paul Alper pointed me to an explanation by Nate Silver

Good news for Senate Democrats. Maybe.

Ben Highton - September 16, 2014
  A couple of weeks ago on The Fix, Chris

Latin America gets its own 538.com, and it beats the polls in Chile

Joshua Tucker - December 9, 2013
Joshua Tucker: The following is a guest post from London

Asian Americans Voted Democrat: We Should Not Be Surprised

Erik Voeten - November 29, 2012
We are delighted to welcome the following guest post by Karthick

How did our House prediction do?

Eric McGhee - November 14, 2012
We offered some predictions about House elections in earlier posts

Is Nate Silver’s popularity good or bad for quantitative political science?

Joshua Tucker - November 7, 2012
The following is a guest post from political scientists Adam

Is Nate Silver Incentive Compatible?

Henry Farrell - November 7, 2012
I'll leave it to John to write the bigger post
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