Why journalists are losing their jobs in record numbers
The Trump bump was fated to fade.
The ‘Trump Bump’ in the stock market is real. But it’s not helping Trump.
[caption id="attachment_62808" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (Kevin Lamarque/Reuters)[/caption] On Nov. 9, 2016,
Republicans say their midnight vote was about bridge building. Actually, it was bridge burning.
Republicans in the Senate voted Wednesday night on a bill
Economists are like the rest of us. Their views on controversies line up with their ideologies.
[caption id="attachment_51144" align="aligncenter" width="960"] E.U. and U.K. flags in front
Krugman wonders how the race could be close. Political science wonders how it could be otherwise.
[caption id="attachment_47166" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton meets with
Did Ireland’s economy really grow by 26.3 percent? Only on paper. Here’s the real story.
[caption id="attachment_43816" align="aligncenter" width="960"] An Irish passport. (iStock)[/caption] According to
Will Trump win over Sanders’ voters on free trade? These 3 graphs help explain how trade affects the election.
The role of trade in the 2016 U.S. election is
Paul Krugman is right about economics. What his arguments need are more politics.
[caption id="attachment_22507" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Vehicles pass the Marriner S. Eccles
Pundits are regularly outpredicted by people you’ve never heard of. Here’s how to change that.
[caption id="attachment_30148" align="aligncenter" width="331"] (Courtesy, Crown Publishing)[/caption] In the weeks
This is why Paul Krugman is wrong about the Federal Reserve
[caption id="attachment_30066" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Federal Reserve headquarters on Sept. 18,
The political implications of China’s stock market crisis
[caption id="attachment_28907" align="aligncenter" width="989"] Graph based on data from" http://www.quandl.com/data/YAHOO/INDEX_SSEC-Shanghai-Composite-Index-China[/caption]
The political implications of China's stock market crisis
[caption id="attachment_28907" align="aligncenter" width="989"] Graph based on data from" http://www.quandl.com/data/YAHOO/INDEX_SSEC-Shanghai-Composite-Index-China[/caption]
With your tattoos and topknots, who do you think you are?
[caption id="attachment_27954" align="aligncenter" width="2587"] Chris Andersen #11 of the Miami
This is what economists don’t understand about the euro crisis – or the U.S. dollar
[caption id="attachment_27649" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] Riot police on fire
This is what economists don't understand about the euro crisis – or the U.S. dollar
[caption id="attachment_27649" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] Riot police on fire
Why the Greek referendum is like a badly designed game of three dimensional chess
[caption id="attachment_26997" align="alignnone" width="620" class="center"] Demonstrators shout slogans against austerity
Will Greek voters say goodbye to the euro on Sunday?
[caption id="attachment_26887" align="aligncenter" width="982"] Why can't we be friends? (Reuters)[/caption]
There’s something about (Charles) Murray
[caption id="attachment_25325" align="aligncenter" width="1397"] Charles Murray. (Photo courtesy of the
Scotland votes to stay. For now.
[caption id="attachment_15874" align="aligncenter" width="625"] (Paul Hackett/Reuters)[/caption] Joshua Tucker: The following
What would Adam Smith say about Scottish independence?
[caption id="attachment_15678" align="aligncenter" width="768"] (Michelle Schwarze; Special Collections Library, University
Belief in conspiracy theories: What do the data say?
In a recent Monkey Cage post on belief in conspiracy theories among
Are Republican leaders more prone to conspiracy theories?
[caption id="attachment_15102" align="aligncenter" width="600"] X-Files/20th Century Fox[/caption] In a previous
No, all Americans are not created equal when it comes to belief in conspiracy theories
In a recent Monkey Cage post on belief in conspiracy
Conspiracy theories aren't just for conservatives
[caption id="attachment_14778" align="aligncenter" width="714"] (REUTERS/Bob Strong)[/caption] Who doesn’t love a
Conspiracy theories aren’t just for conservatives
[caption id="attachment_14778" align="aligncenter" width="714"] (REUTERS/Bob Strong)[/caption] Who doesn’t love a
Geithner’s unicorn: Could Congress have done more to relieve the mortgage crisis?
[caption id="attachment_10627" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Unicorn. Photo by Jahi Chikwendiu,
Geithner's unicorn: Could Congress have done more to relieve the mortgage crisis?
[caption id="attachment_10627" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Unicorn. Photo by Jahi Chikwendiu,
No, there's no good evidence that Republicans are becoming more partisan about evolution
Okay, here's the background. The (deservedly) well respected Pew organization
Can competitive elections decrease investment? Yes.
[caption id="attachment_2733" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Associated Press)[/caption] [Joshua Tucker: Continuing
Public sector unions promote government, not government jobs
[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Dorothy James of the American
The Promise and Perils of Sharing Work-in-Progress
A junior scholar, whom I'll call Pat, writes with the
A theory of the importance of Very Serious People in the Democratic Party
Ashok Rao writes: Paul Krugman’s pet insult – “Very Serious
What are the (relatively) settled matters in the social sciences?
Nicholas Christakis asks (scroll to the P.P.P.S. at the end
The Purest Political Economist of Them All: Albert Hirschman’s Legacy
Continuing our collaboration with the APSA Political Economy newsletter, today
Jesus historian Niall Ferguson and the improving standards of public discourse
History professor (or, as the news reports call him, "Harvard
Who Needs Math?
E. O. Wilson has an
Three Notes on Ideas and Political Economy
"Dani Rodrik's piece":http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/how-economists-killed-policy-analysis-by-dani-rodrik on the reasons why political economy needs
Economic policy does not occur in a political vacuum
Of course, even if a policymaker was sure of the
One reason that Summers and Obama might not have pushed for a bigger stimulus in 2009
Miles Kimball (link from Tyler Cowen; see also Paul Krugman
Political Scientist Walter Stone Responds to Eric Cantor’s Criticism of His Research
In today's New York Times, Eric Cantor responds to Paul
Paul “I’m not Galbraith” disses Larry “I’m not Krugman” Summers
The celebrated economist and pundit writes: Mark Thoma is puzzled: if
Pigouvian Rabbits in Tropical Forests
The following guest post is by Prakash Kashwan, an assistant
Did Steven Levitt really believe in 2008 that Obama “would be the greatest president in history”?
In the interview we discussed a couple months ago, Steven
The 2012 Election Was Not a Mandate
When your side wins, it's easy to think you have
Ethical standards in different data communities
I opened the paper today and saw this from Paul
Over-the-top claims about politics: one more time
I'd like to see Paul Krugman's evidence for this claim:
Macro, micro, and conflicts of interest
Jeff points me to this and this. There seems to
Post-Election Report: Romanian’s Presidential Impeachment Referendum, and a Request for Help in Identifying Potential Fraud
The following is a guest post from Princeton political scientist
Potpourri
* Summary of social science on gun violence. Via Justin
If Paul Krugman is right and it’s 1931, what happens next?
The New York Times columnist writes: Suddenly normally calm economists
The Political Science of the Sherman Theory
A few days ago, Paul Krugman "speculated":http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/22/the-euro-is-flat/ on the similarities
Would President Romney contract the economy?
Paul Krugman quotes Mitt Romney as saying, "It’s time for
All together now: Monetary policy making by committee
The big news out of today's Bernanke presser will undoubtedly
“Dow 36,000” guy says Santorum’s tax plan doesn’t add up
This is an interesting clash of worldviews that I wouldn't
The Campaign Fallacy
In his most recent New York Times column, David Brooks
Blogs and Academic Research
Paul Krugman: First of all, policy-oriented research was never as
Even the liberal New Republic opposes Occupy Wall Street: What does that mean?
The editors of the famed liberal magazine write: How should
Does blogging help your professional reputation?
Following on Henry's post, here is more: bq. Davis et
Can bloggers help draw attention to academic papers?
Via Chris Blattman, evidence that "they do":http://blogs.worldbank.org/impactevaluations/the-impact-of-economic-blogs-part-i-dissemination-aka-check-out-these-cool-graphs in economics. bq.
A simple theory of why Obama didn’t come out fighting in 2009
My co-bloggers John Sides and Josh Tucker responded yesterday to
Dubious prognoses
Via "Paul Krugman":http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/02/prognosticate-that/, a "paper":http://www.poynter.org/latest-news/romenesko/130485/claim-krugman-is-top-prognosticator-cal-thomas-is-the-worst/, finding that most pundits do
How’s Obama Doing? Part III: True Believer…in Compromise?
The competing narratives that accompany the Obama administration to date
Would Paul Ryan’s economic plan really send unemployment down to 2.8%?
As I never tire of saying, I know nothing about
What is an economic “conspiracy theory”?
Reviewing a research article by Michael Spence and Sandile Hlatshwayo
Germany: The Necessary But Not Sufficient Nation?
During the global economic crisis, Germany has received more attention
Seminar: What’s The Deal With Deutschland? The European Consequences of Changes in Germany’s Political Economy
Over the next few days, we will be publishing a
Books on the Global Financial Crisis: An Annotated Field Guide
Here is our "second article":https://themonkeycage.org/2011/01/collaboration_with_the_apsa_po.html from _The Political Economist_, this
Science, ideology, and human origins
A link from Tyler Cowen led me to this long
2010: What happened?
A lot of people are asking, How could the voters
Two stories about the election that I don’t believe
I don't exactly disagree with the two arguments that I
Forget about Economics – Is the Millionaire’s Tax Good Politics?
In the past couple weeks, there has been quite a
Social Highlighting
Recently back in the United States after an extended time
On Writing about the Economy and Elections
David Paul Kuhn of Real Clear Politics has a piece
Paul Krugman: Welcome to the Monkey Cage!
Paul Krugman (my former colleague in the "Woodrow Wilson School":http://wws.princeton.edu/
We each contain multitudes
There's been some discussion (for example, Mank and Krug), on
It’s not 1933, it’s 1930
A major storyline of the 2008 election was that it
The Big Something?
Things have been rather gloomy of late here at the
Netroots v. Wonkosphere
"Matthew Yglesias":http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/12/health-care-and-iraq.php complains: bq. The cute meme of the day
Lowering the minimum wage
Paul Krugman asks, "Would cutting the minimum wage raise employment?"
More on Elinor Ostrom and Oliver Williamson
Here's a sampling of links: * Alex Tabarrok has this
Did being bought and paid for cause economists to get it wrong?
How did economists get it so wrong? "It," of course,
Why does the press cover the horse race, not policies?
John's recent blog inspires me to resurrect this note of
Horse Race Journalism, Redux
Paul Krugman and Matt Yglesias respond to the Washington Post's
How conservative is Michelle Malkin, part 2
Following Paul Krugman, John Sides considers how one might measure
How Conservative is Michelle Malkin?
Paul Krugman "asks":http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/08/01/scaling-michelle-malkin/ about locating Michelle Malkin on the ideological
Irish Political Science/Economics Cage-Fight!
It's on, according to Colin Scott at Paul Krugman-cited blog,
Public Opinion and Health Care Reform
In his "NY Times column":http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/22/opinion/22krugman.html?ref=opinion today, Paul Krugman writes: bq.
Red and Blue Economies
[What follows is a brief piece by Andy and me
Does Obama Have a “Mandate”?
This is "Truths and Myths about the 2008 Election, Part
Nixonland panel
In September, I organized a panel on Rick Perlstein's recent
The political economy of inequality
Thanks to Lee for pointing me to this "very interesting
Paul Krugman, Political Scientist?
By now, I imagine that most everybody knows that Paul
Monkeys at the Zoo
Under the fold, all of the APSA panels that I
Fat politics
From Amy Chozick in the Wall Street Journal (link from
Presidents and the Economy
Many more graphs are here. (Hat tip to Brad DeLong.)
Why This Blog?
Why are we writing this blog? Here is a probably-not-exhaustive