What polls can and cannot tell us about the 2024 elections 🎧
John Sides and Michael Tesler talk about what to expect leading up to the Nov. 5 vote.
After this summer’s protests, Americans think differently about race. That could last for generations.
A rich body of research finds major events can create sustained changes in attitudes
These were our 10 most popular posts of 2019
You were very interested in evidence that could be used in the fierce partisan battles in the U.S.
Many whites view people of color as less American
Here’s the data.
Trump’s base did not elect him to withdraw troops from Syria and Afghanistan
President Trump has faced bipartisan criticism over his decision to
Democrats and Republicans used to agree about the n-word. Now they don’t.
Editors’ note: In this archival piece, first published on August
Democrats and Republicans are increasingly divided on the value of teaching black history
[caption id="attachment_69899" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.
Why 41 percent of white millennials voted for Trump
[caption id="attachment_54524" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images)[/caption] In the
To many Americans, being patriotic means being white
[caption id="attachment_64796" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Members of the San Francisco 49ers
Views about race mattered more in electing Trump than in electing Obama
[caption id="attachment_49986" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] In this photo taken Nov. 10,
The education gap among whites this year wasn’t about education. It was about race.
[caption id="attachment_49402" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Photo by Charles Ommanney/The Washington Post)[/caption]
Why the gender gap doomed Hillary Clinton
[caption id="attachment_49271" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton speaks during a news
A striking poll shows that many Trump supporters already doubted women’s claims of sexual harassment — even before the infamous tape
[caption id="attachment_47792" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this 2005 frame from a
Donald Trump is making the border wall less popular
When Donald Trump announced his campaign for president, he famously
A racially diverse America could make the economy less important to elections
[caption id="attachment_17379" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Harry Cabluck/AP Photo)[/caption] Last month’s Democratic
In a Trump-Clinton match-up, racial prejudice makes a striking difference
[caption id="attachment_40883" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Hillary
Sorry, Donald Trump. Trade policy won’t help you win Sanders voters.
[caption id="attachment_37110" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Members of the cleaning crew sweep
The striking decline in women’s support for Donald Trump (in 2 graphs)
[caption id="attachment_40257" align="aligncenter" width="630"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. (Andrew
Why is Hillary Clinton doing worse among whites now than in 2008? Racial attitudes.
[caption id="attachment_37363" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton
Voter anger is mostly about party, not social class
[caption id="attachment_35472" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg News)[/caption] The many stories
Most people who love Pope Francis already hated Donald Trump
[caption id="attachment_26547" align="aligncenter" width="2000"] Pope Francis waves as he arrives
A key reason young people don’t support Hillary Clinton? They don’t have daughters.
[caption id="attachment_30916" align="aligncenter" width="992"] (Jon Davidson, Office of President Clinton)[/caption]
Parents of daughters support Hillary Clinton more than parents of sons
[caption id="attachment_24542" align="aligncenter" width="908"] REUTERS/Mike Blake[/caption] Hillary Clinton has strongly
How anti-immigrant attitudes are fueling support for Donald Trump
[caption id="attachment_32609" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A supporter of Donald Trump stands
Democrats increasingly think the Confederate flag is racist. Republicans don’t.
Despite bipartisan support from South Carolina lawmakers to remove the
Using the n-word is more common than you (or President Obama) may think
[caption id="attachment_26476" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] President Barack Obama pauses
Does race matter in NFL rosters?
[caption id="attachment_24830" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] Then Philadelphia Eagles running
Donald Sterling shows the separate realities of Democrats and Republicans about race
[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Danny Moloshok/AP)[/caption] This is a
Did race play a role in shutdown?
This is a guest post by Brown University political scientist
Latinos View Black “Law-abidingness” Less Favorably than Whites Do
We welcome another guest post from Brown political scientist Michael
Who Cares about Budget Deficits?
We welcome another guest post from Brown University political scientist
How Obama Could Polarize the Gun Control Debate (And Still Help Himself Win)
This is a guest post from Brown University political scientist
Potpourri
* Pacific Standard magazine -- formerly Miller-McCune -- is well
The Racializing Influence of Romney’s Welfare Ad
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/0F4LtTlktm0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> This is a guest
Measuring the Impact of Obama’s “Private Sector Is Fine” Comment
Michael Tesler follows up on my earlier post. He demonstrates
Potpourri
* Jon Bernstein's 5 myths about swing states. * Michael
This Week at Model Politics
John Geer: The public sees merit in negative ads. Lynn
Racial Attitudes and Health Care Reform
Here is a lengthy NPR story on how racial attitudes
Bush and the 9/11-Saddam Link
This is a guest post from Brown University political scientist
The Santorum Surge in One Graph
For more, see Michael Tesler's post at Model Politics.
Newt’s Looks and Obama’s Race
As I have before, I want to flag YouGov's Model