FiveThirtyEight Archives

Are undecided voters still weighing their choices?

Brian Schaffner and Caroline Soler - October 17, 2024

Our research on this group of potential voters yields some big clues.

Christopher J. Devine and Kyle Kopko - August 15, 2024

Our research takes a closer look at the second name on the party ticket.

John Sides - March 11, 2024

Are all polls with opt-in samples wrong? Not quite.

Michael Tesler - January 25, 2024

Ignore recent exit polls to the contrary. Minds will change by November.

Michael Tesler - September 20, 2023

Trump’s rise has turned back the clock to the 1930s.

Robert Griffin and John Sides / Managing Editor - July 11, 2022

We’re back to a world in which a weak economy hurts presidential approval.

Ryan Carlin - January 21, 2021

We analyzed public opinion ratings for Macron, Trump and others who became ill.

Angele Delevoye - November 30, 2020

After Kelly Loeffler attacked Black Lives Matter, the WNBA backed one of her opponents — who pushed her into a January runoff

Ryan L. Claassen and Barry Ryan - November 13, 2020

It’s not because of ‘shy’ Trump voters, our research suggests

Henry Farrell - November 7, 2020

Game theory explains why the news networks held off calling the election for so long, and then all called it at once