Why do some elections in Africa turn violent?
[caption id="attachment_66541" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Jubilee Party supporters cheer Nov. 20
Republicans currently have just a 38% chance of keeping their Senate majority
Every day seems to bring another story about nervous Republican
An initial assessment of Election Lab’s House forecasts
As they did in 2010 and 2012 and may continue
Election Lab on track to forecast 35 of 36 Senate races correctly
With almost all of the Senate races called, we can
Forecasting the 2014 Brazilian election
Joshua Tucker: The following is a guest post from political
The secret truths of election forecasting
In case you missed it, election forecasting can be fractious.
Latin America gets its own 538.com, and it beats the polls in Chile
Joshua Tucker: The following is a guest post from London
Video of the Roundtable on the 2012 Election, featuring Ezra Klein and Nate Silver
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/_sHelkLTJPE?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> Here is a video
Election Roundtable TODAY, with Ezra Klein and Nate Silver (New Location!)
The roundtable on the 2012 election that I mentioned before
Roundtable on the 2012 Election, Featuring Ezra Klein and Nate Silver
At the upcoming meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association
Is Nate Silver’s popularity good or bad for quantitative political science?
The following is a guest post from political scientists Adam
Is Nate Silver Incentive Compatible?
I'll leave it to John to write the bigger post
What About Tomorrow’s Election Would Prove Me Wrong? (Plus a Prediction)
To date, I haven't made a formal forecast of the
The Constant Attention to Individual Polls Is Hurting America
This morning, Nate Silver tweeted: bq. Retweeting individual poll results
How Much Will the Debate Shift the Polls? Here’s One Calculation.
In my snap predictions last night, I was wrong about
Polling Biases and Their Potential Impacts
Over at the Weekly Standard, Jay Cost argues for caution
Where the Presidential Race Stands Now
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Potpourri
* Londoners appear to need some inspiration from Olympic athletes.
Potpourri
* Latest election forecast by Michael Lewis-Beck and Charles Tien
APSR open access issue
Several articles in the new issue of the American Political
What Drives Anti-Americanism in Muslim Countries?
Lisa Blaydes and Drew Linzer have a "very interesting paper":http://www.stanford.edu/~blaydes/AA_ISA.pdf.
Who is Willing to Protest in Egypt?
Political scientists "Drew Linzer":http://userwww.service.emory.edu/~dlinzer/ and "Lisa Blaydes":http://www.stanford.edu/~blaydes/ have "another article
How Large is Egypt’s Potential “Religious Right”?
Political scientists "Drew Linzer":http://userwww.service.emory.edu/~dlinzer/ and "Lisa Blaydes":http://www.stanford.edu/~blaydes/ have "an article