Under Trump, Democrats and Republicans have never been more divided — on nearly everything Larry Bartels - May 20, 2020 And they are holding tightly to their party identities
3 ways the coronavirus could end Trump’s presidency Michael Tesler - March 9, 2020 Voters are very influenced by what happens in an election year
Is it really time to scrap democracy? Let’s examine the evidence. Andrew Gelman - February 17, 2020 Roslyn Fuller’s new book takes apart the pessimists’ arguments
How are Iowa voters picking candidates? Michael Greenberger, Marc J. Hetherington, David A. M. Peterson, Colin Case, and Abby Cassario - January 27, 2020 You’ve probably never considered this quality
How Paul Ryan lost the Republican Party Larry Bartels / Managing Editor - April 15, 2018 Editors' note: In this archival post, first published April 15,
Here’s how little Americans have learned about Donald Trump Larry Bartels - February 21, 2018 [caption id="attachment_69469" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump departs the White House
The GOP tax bill is business as usual in America’s unequal democracy Larry Bartels - December 20, 2017 [caption id="attachment_67471" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump and first lady Melania
How many votes could Hurricane Harvey cost Trump in Texas? Jeffery Jenkins, Boris Heersink, and Brenton Peterson - August 29, 2017 Hurricane Harvey has slammed into Texas, bringing power outages, destruction
The ‘wave’ of right-wing populist sentiment is a myth Larry Bartels - June 21, 2017 Last year’s Brexit vote, the election of Donald Trump and
What 4 types of American nationalism can tell us about Trump voters Paul DiMaggio and Bart Bonikowski - February 6, 2017 [caption id="attachment_53637" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A woman gives a thumbs-up to
2016 was an ordinary election, not a realignment Larry Bartels - November 10, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49160" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton face
Do shark attacks swing elections? Andrew Gelman - October 28, 2016 [caption id="attachment_48539" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A surfer carries his board into
No, Sanders supporters are not more liberal than Clinton’s. Here’s what really drives elections. Larry Bartels and Christopher Achen - June 7, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35927" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential candidate
No, Sanders voters aren’t more conservative than Clinton voters. Here’s the data. Robert Lupton and Christopher Hare - May 31, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41345" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Bernie
Japan is building tiny islands in the Philippine Sea. Here’s why. T.Y. Wang - May 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40813" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Taiwanese fishermen throw eggs at Japan's
How political science helps explain the rise of Trump (part 3): It’s the economy, stupid Michael Tesler and John Sides - March 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36770" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump
Could Brazil’s World Cup loss really affect the coming presidential election? Joshua Tucker - July 9, 2014 [caption id="attachment_12783" align="aligncenter" width="620"] A passer-by reads a newspaper on
Could Brazil's World Cup loss really affect the coming presidential election? Joshua Tucker - July 9, 2014 [caption id="attachment_12783" align="aligncenter" width="620"] A passer-by reads a newspaper on
What Matters Between Now and the Election John Sides - July 11, 2012 Ezra Klein asks: bq. ...we’ve still got four months until
Political parties and economic growth: more from Campbell, Bartels, Hibbs, and Gelman Andrew Gelman - December 12, 2011 A few months ago, we reported that Jim Campbell argues
On the Rationality or Irrationality of Political Independents John Sides - April 28, 2011 Jon Chait "disagrees":http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-chait/87547/the-irrationality-independent-voters with "my earlier post":https://themonkeycage.org/2011/04/independents_are_not_a_confuse.html on political independents:
Crime: Perceptions and Reality, Redux John Sides - October 15, 2009 In comments on my earlier post, Andy and then Michael
More Reflections on the Fundamentals John Sides - November 5, 2008 In response to my earlier post, Mike3550 leaves this thoughtful