These are based on raw Pew data, reweighted to adjust for voter turnout by state, income, and ethnicity. No modeling of vote on age, education, and ethnicity.
I think our future estimates based on the 9-way model will be better, but these are basically OK, I think. All but six of the dots in the graph are based on sample sizes greater than 30. The size of each circle represents the population of each group.
I published these last year but they’re still relevant, I think. There’s lots of confusion when it comes to education and voting.
