Did Biden have the authority to bomb Houthi targets in Yemen? Andrew Rudalevige - January 30, 2024 Let’s look at the Constitution, the War Powers Resolution, and what might authorize or constrain military action.
What if India really was involved in killing a Sikh activist in Canada? Christopher Clary - September 22, 2023 The international consequences could prove modest.
Pakistan is seeking flood assistance — but not from foreign NGOs Rafeel Wasif and Aseem Prakash - September 12, 2022 For more than a decade, Pakistan has banned some international aid groups
Do armed drones reduce terrorism? Here’s the data. Matthew Fuhrmann and Joshua Schwartz - August 18, 2022 This research analyzes patterns of terrorism in the 18 countries that utilize drones
The U.S. killed al-Qaeda’s leader. That might boost terrorism. Jenna Jordan - August 9, 2022 ‘Leadership decapitation’ can inspire Islamist extremist groups and followers to carry out more attacks, my research finds
The Islamic State’s leader died this month. What type of leader might come next? Tricia L. Bacon and Elizabeth Grimm - February 16, 2022 Our book on terrorist leaders gives some clues
Does Putin really want regime change in Ukraine? Alexander Downes - February 9, 2022 The research suggests this rarely works. But countries keep trying anyway.
What happens to childhood vaccine rates in conflict zones? This analysis found some surprises. Olga Shemyakina, Marijke Verpoorten, Henrik Urdal, Gudrun Østby, and Andreas Forø Tollefsen - February 2, 2022 We examined more than 200,000 records in 15 African countries
20 years later, America’s ‘War on Terror’ language has gone global Somdeep Sen and John Collins - September 9, 2021 Right-wing governments and movements often use these words to justify authoritarian and racist policies.
What would persuade South Asians to get vaccinated against covid-19? Syeda ShahBano Ijaz - May 21, 2021 New research suggests a way to change minds.
The U.S. is pulling out of Afghanistan. Don’t expect an al-Qaeda reboot. Daniel Byman - April 30, 2021 Here’s why the country won’t necessarily become a base for international terrorist attacks
Sudan’s government seems to be shifting away from Islamic law. Not everyone supports these moves. Michael Robbins and Lawrence Rubin - August 26, 2020 A survey conducted by Arab Barometer reveals some surprises.
At the heart of Trump’s Taliban bounty crisis are questions about the President’s Daily Brief Michael Poznansky - July 2, 2020 Presidential decision making relies on good intel
The U.N. has appealed for a global coronavirus cease-fire Govinda Clayton - April 12, 2020 But is it possible to quarantine conflict?
U.S. military confrontation with Iran would be unpopular. Here’s why. Jason Brownlee - August 19, 2019 Survey data shows when Americans are – and aren’t – up for intervention.
Pakistan’s leader Imran Khan meets President Trump this week. Here’s what to expect. Asfandyar Mir - July 21, 2019 Strained relations or not, there’s a lot at stake for both countries.
Former U.S. Special Forces were reportedly hired to kill Yemen’s leaders. Did the government know? Deborah Avant - October 19, 2018 [caption id="attachment_79057" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The carcass of a car reportedly
Trump revoked John Brennan’s security clearance. The long-term consequences may be dire. Michael Poznansky - August 20, 2018 When President Trump revoked former CIA director John Brennan’s security
No, Trump can’t count on a hawk’s advantage in making peace with North Korea Sarah Kreps, Kenneth Schultz, and Elizabeth N. Saunders - May 10, 2018 [caption id="attachment_73137" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump plans to meet with North Korean
Did bin Laden’s death help the Islamic State? Tricia Bacon and Elizabeth Arsenault - May 2, 2018 [caption id="attachment_72869" align="aligncenter" width="960"] An undated photo shows al-Qaeda leader
Why are Americans still so afraid of Islamist terrorism? Mark Stewart and John Mueller - March 23, 2018 [caption id="attachment_46093" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Smoke rises from the burning twin
How 9/11 created a feedback loop for international jihadism Martha Crenshaw and Lisa Blaydes - September 22, 2017 [caption id="attachment_63827" align="aligncenter" width="960"] U.S. soldiers and Iraqi civilians pull
After the surprise of 2016, here’s how pollsters can do better in predicting election results Ville Satopää - May 31, 2017 [caption id="attachment_59108" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President-elect Donald Trump, alongside his wife,
Trump’s secretary of state pick could give Putin some very unfortunate ideas Jeff Colgan - December 13, 2016 Donald Trump has apparently chosen Rex Tillerson, chief executive of
Obama built a policy legacy. But he didn’t do enough to build the Democratic Party Daniel Galvin - November 16, 2016 [caption id="attachment_35812" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP)[/caption] President Obama has
It’s been 15 years since 9/11. How has al-Qaeda changed? Barak Mendelsohn - September 10, 2016 [caption id="attachment_46093" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this Sept. 11, 2001 file
Here’s how the Bangladesh government is making religious violence more likely Samuel Ramani - July 21, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44223" align="aligncenter" width="960"] On July 7, family members place
This is how the new Captain America movie gets global politics wrong Henry Farrell - May 8, 2016 [caption id="attachment_40225" align="aligncenter" width="908"] A scene from Marvel's "Captain America:
People who believe in conspiracy theories are more likely to endorse violence Joseph Parent and Joseph Uscinski - February 5, 2016 [caption id="attachment_15102" align="aligncenter" width="600"] (X-Files/20th Century Fox)[/caption] On Jan. 26,
This is what doomed Al Jazeera America William Youmans - January 14, 2016 The announcement that the Al Jazeera Media Network was shutting
Four takeaways from the 2016 State of the Union Address (with some history thrown in) Andrew Rudalevige - January 13, 2016 President Obama delivered his seventh, and presumably last, State of
After this month’s attack in Bamako, what do we know about fundamentalist Islam in Mali? Sebastian Elischer - November 30, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32796" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Malian security officials show an extremist
What do the Paris attacks tell us about foreign fighters? Daniel Byman - November 16, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32232" align="aligncenter" width="908"] French armed police officers stand guard
Does taking out a kingpin – like El Chapo – actually reduce violence? Brian Phillips - July 17, 2015 The recent jailbreak of Joaquín “El Chapo” Gúzmán, leader of
Silver bullet: Why decapitation strikes (don't) work Jason Lyall - June 19, 2015 The successful drone strike in Yemen on Monday against Nasser al-Wuhayshi,
Silver bullet: Why decapitation strikes (don’t) work Jason Lyall - June 19, 2015 The successful drone strike in Yemen on Monday against Nasser al-Wuhayshi,
The jihadi threat to international order Barak Mendelsohn - May 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_24852" align="aligncenter" width="660"] Displaced people cross the Bzebiz bridge
The Islamic State’s model Aaron Zelin - January 28, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20630" align="aligncenter" width="620"] A member of security (L) for
Why is terror Islamist? Steven Fish - January 27, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20587" align="alignnone" width="620"] This image made from a video
How Jordan uses Islam against the Islamic State Michael Robbins and Lawrence Rubin - November 19, 2014 [caption id="attachment_18262" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Jordanians and Syrian refugees pray in
The spoils of peace in Afghanistan Renard Sexton - September 26, 2014 [caption id="attachment_16134" align="alignnone" width="620"] Afghan rival presidential candidates Abdullah Abdullah,
Six degrees of al-Qaeda? Andrew Rudalevige - September 12, 2014 Before the president's ISIL speech this week, I noted that
The jihadist governance dilemma Daveed Gartenstein-Ross and Amichai Magen - July 18, 2014 [caption id="attachment_13181" align="aligncenter" width="620"] On June 16,demonstrators chant pro-Islamic State
Why U.S. military involvement will hurt Iraq and increase suicide terrorism Robert Pape - June 19, 2014 [caption id="attachment_12047" align="aligncenter" width="706"] Iraqis gather at the site of
Is vengefulness driving American foreign policy attitudes? Danny Hayes - May 14, 2014 [caption id="attachment_10375" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] A rally outside the White House
The ‘Russia reset’ was already dead; now it’s time for isolation - March 2, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special="POOL PHOTO"] Russian President Vladimir Putin.
The 'Russia reset' was already dead; now it’s time for isolation Henry Farrell - March 2, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special="POOL PHOTO"] Russian President Vladimir Putin.
The evidence suggests that the conflict in Chechnya was not a major factor in the motivation of the Boston bombers Joshua Tucker - April 25, 2013 The following is the first of two guest posts today
Richer people continue to vote Republican Andrew Gelman - November 14, 2012 From the exit polls: This is all pretty obvious but
The 2004 October Surprise, and What It Means for 2012 John Sides - November 3, 2012 I'm generally not a big believe in "October surprises," which
Math Is Hard Larry Bartels - September 10, 2012 Bill Clinton earned rave reviews for his convention speech, in
How Much Does the Republican Nominee Matter? Joshua Tucker - September 8, 2011 Especially in the aftermath of tonight's debate, we are going
Did the Killing of Osama bin Laden Make Americans Trust Each Other? John Sides - August 30, 2011 An interesting study says "yes." Political scientists Gregory Love and
The Problems with Studying Civilian Casualties from Drone Usage in Pakistan: What We Can’t Know Erik Voeten - August 17, 2011 We are delighted to have a guest post from my
Public Opinion and the Debt Ceiling Fight John Sides - August 1, 2011 Pew: bq. The debt ceiling debate has tarnished the image
Jobs, Jobs, Jobs, Jobs, Jobs, Jobs, Jobs, Jobs, Jobs John Sides - July 26, 2011 Robert Reich: bq. R's are winning the big one --
How the Killing of bin Laden Affected American Attitudes toward Muslims John Sides - July 21, 2011 Erik Nisbet and colleagues had a survey in the field
Can the Humanities and Social Sciences enhance National Security? Erik Voeten - June 16, 2011 We are very pleased to have a guest post from
One in a quadrillion Andrew Gelman - June 16, 2011 Gary King writes: This article in the Washington Post quotes
Voices from Bosnia and Serbia on the Arrest of Mladic Joshua Tucker - May 26, 2011 As is now being widely reported in the media, "Bosnian
Who Supports Islamic Militants in Pakistan? (UPDATED) Erik Voeten - May 10, 2011 Who supports Islamic militants in Pakistan? Two new Georgetown Mortara
On that Helicopter in the Bin Laden Raid John Sides - May 10, 2011 If you're like me, you can't get enough details about
The Satellite Dishes Finally Make Sense Erik Voeten - May 7, 2011 We are pleased to have another guest post from "Erica
Why It Matters That Bin Laden Was Behind Recent Terrorist Plots Erik Voeten - May 7, 2011 We are pleased to welcome back "Erica Chenoweth.":http://echenoweth.faculty.wesleyan.edu/ Erica is
How Much did the Pakistani Military/Government Know? Erik Voeten - May 4, 2011 Given that Osama Bin Laden was found relaxing in a
When Heads Roll John Sides - May 3, 2011 bq. ...this project answers three primary questions: (1) Under what
Osama bin Laden and Public Opinion Joshua Tucker - May 2, 2011 I was asked by a journalist earlier today what I
Southern Sudan Referendum on Secession: Pre-Plebiscite Report Joshua Tucker - January 6, 2011 We are pleased to continue the return of our "election
The Prelude to Kennedy’s Endorsement of Obama John Sides - August 25, 2009 I've been reading Dan Balz and Haynes Johnson's _The Battle