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Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls may be larger than it seems. Here’s why.

Gabriel R. Sanchez and Alan Abramowitz - June 20, 2016

[caption id="attachment_17379" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Harry Cabluck/AP)[/caption] In 2012, national polls

Why David Perdue is the favorite against Michelle Nunn in Georgia

Ben Highton - July 25, 2014

[caption id="attachment_13646" align="aligncenter" width="982"] Republican candidate for U.S. Senate David

Did Romney’s Ads Win Him Florida?

John Sides - February 2, 2012

It seems obvious that they did. He outspent Gingrich 5-1

Public Opinion Factoid of the Day: Corzine Hits 50% Among Bruce Springsteen Fans!

Joshua Tucker - October 30, 2009

Really, the title of the post says it all... [Hat

Forecasting the Electoral College

John Sides - March 28, 2008

Two recent analyses use current state-level polling data to forecast