Was it a ‘blue wave’ or not? That depends on how you define a ‘wave.’
Were Tuesday’s election results the 2018 “blue wave” Democrats were
Everything you need to know about the Supreme Court’s big gerrymandering case
[caption id="attachment_35493" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Karen Bleier/Agence France-Presse)[/caption] On Tuesday, the
How to better communicate election forecasts — in one simple chart
On Oct. 30, the Chicago Cubs were down three games
This is why the Voting Rights Act is on trial in North Carolina
[caption id="attachment_28013" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] President Lyndon B. Johnson goes to
Final forecast: Republicans have a 98% chance of taking the Senate
Barring any changes due to polls released in the next
Is the Election Lab forecast too confident in a GOP Senate majority?
With about two weeks to go until Election Day, a
Why late shifts in the polls probably won’t help Democrats in Senate races
All of the major Senate forecasting models, including ours at
Why late shifts in the polls probably won't help Democrats in Senate races
All of the major Senate forecasting models, including ours at
Republicans have a 44% chance of taking the Senate. But it may be much higher.
[caption id="attachment_5758" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press)[/caption] At
The electoral ramifications of the shutdown are far from clear
[caption id="attachment_1656" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Win McNamee/Getty Images)[/caption] The latest
The Republicans and Immigration Reform Redux
Now, perhaps there are unforeseen events that will permanently help
Could the GOP Lose Generations of Latino Voters?
The handful of studies on Latino party identification tends to
Why Is It So Hard to Get the Fundamentals Right?
Me, yesterday: bq. ...without any dramatic trend the resulting balance
Paul Ryan: The Base Mobilization Strategy that Romney Doesn’t Need
One theory of why Mitt Romney chose Paul Ryan as
Potpourri
* Latest election forecast by Michael Lewis-Beck and Charles Tien
Some Predictions on the Supreme Court’s Decision
Before the Court issues its ruling, I'll put these down:
Polarization is Real (and Asymmetric)
This post is co-authored with Keith Poole, Howard Rosenthal, and
Underemphasized Points about the Economy and Elections
The latest rounds of "nerdfight" -- Seth Masket vs. Sean
Note to the “quals”: Instead of competing with the “quants,” take advantage of quantitive understanding to do better qualitative reporting and analysis
Mark Palko sends in this from Sean Trende: Writing on