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Was it a ‘blue wave’ or not? That depends on how you define a ‘wave.’

Matthew Green - November 13, 2018
Were Tuesday’s election results the 2018 “blue wave” Democrats were

Everything you need to know about the Supreme Court’s big gerrymandering case

Barry Burden - October 1, 2017
[caption id="attachment_35493" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Karen Bleier/Agence France-Presse)[/caption] On Tuesday, the

How to better communicate election forecasts — in one simple chart

Justin Gross - November 29, 2016
On Oct. 30, the Chicago Cubs were down three games

This is why the Voting Rights Act is on trial in North Carolina

Richard Hasen - July 31, 2015
[caption id="attachment_28013" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] President Lyndon B. Johnson goes to

Final forecast: Republicans have a 98% chance of taking the Senate

John Sides - November 4, 2014
Barring any changes due to polls released in the next

Is the Election Lab forecast too confident in a GOP Senate majority?

Eric McGhee - October 21, 2014
With about two weeks to go until Election Day, a

Why late shifts in the polls probably won’t help Democrats in Senate races

John Sides - October 17, 2014
All of the major Senate forecasting models, including ours at

Why late shifts in the polls probably won't help Democrats in Senate races

John Sides - October 17, 2014
All of the major Senate forecasting models, including ours at

Republicans have a 44% chance of taking the Senate. But it may be much higher.

John Sides - January 27, 2014
[caption id="attachment_5758" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press)[/caption] At

The electoral ramifications of the shutdown are far from clear

John Sides - October 15, 2013
[caption id="attachment_1656" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Win McNamee/Getty Images)[/caption] The latest
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