PollyVote Archives

Five key lessons from Donald Trump’s surprising victory

John Sides - November 9, 2016

[caption id="attachment_49232" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump arrives

A comprehensive average of election forecasts points to a decisive Clinton victory

John Sides - November 8, 2016

http://www.washingtonpost.com/video/national/hillary-clinton-votes-in-presidential-election/2016/11/08/f9acf78e-a5b3-11e6-ba46-53db57f0e351_video.html As voters go to the polls today, the consensus

Don’t trust a single forecast. The consensus all year has been that Clinton will win.

Andreas Graefe - September 22, 2016

[caption id="attachment_45613" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. (Getty

Never forget: The 2016 presidential election is supposed to be one that Republicans can win

John Sides - August 23, 2016

Donald Trump's poll numbers have slumped over the past three

Everything you need to know about how political conventions affect the horse race

John Sides - July 18, 2016

[caption id="attachment_43976" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Workers place a sign as they

2016 should be winnable for Republicans. But can they win with Trump?

John Sides - May 4, 2016

[caption id="attachment_39147" align="aligncenter" width="4679"] Donald Trump speaks during a rally

Polly the parrot is back for forecasting the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election

Andrew Gelman - July 26, 2011

Andreas Graefe writes: After her great success in 2004 and