Cyber hacktivists are busy undermining Putin’s invasion Max Smeets and Brita Achberger - May 12, 2022 Here’s what we know about one group
Are Russian troops using sexual violence as a weapon? Here’s what we know. Esther Hallsdóttir - March 23, 2022 They’ve done so in Ukraine in the past. Five factors make it likely this time as well.
The E.U. continues to sanction Belarus. Some Belarusians approve. Gwendolyn Sasse and Félix Krawatzek - January 5, 2022 But our surveys reveal why that support may be waning
The E.U. renewed its Russia sanctions last week. Not all Europeans are in favor. Paulina Pospieszna, Joanna Skrzypczyńska, Dawid Walentek, and Clara Portela - December 22, 2021 How Europe’s leaders keep the consensus on sanctions — but soften the economic blow at home
Biden is threatening Putin with European energy sanctions. That may be difficult to pull off. Emily Holland - December 15, 2021 Europe is counting on a new Russian gas pipeline to alleviate energy shortages
The E.U. is furious that Belarus allowed more than 4,000 migrants to cross into Europe Gerasimos Tsourapas - August 12, 2021 As countries in the global north outsource refugee management to the global south, expect more poor countries to ‘weaponize’ migration.
Belarus’s hijacking isn’t a show of strength. It’s a sign of weakness. Sofie Bedford, Olga Onuch, and Aliaksandr Herasimenka - May 27, 2021 Poorly informed leaders with few allies are more likely to take risks, the research shows
How can the world hold Belarus accountable? Alexander Cooley - May 25, 2021 Technology has become the ‘long arm’ of authoritarians
The E.U. can’t stick to its Belarus sanctions. Will this time be different? Alexander Lanoszka - May 25, 2021 Further sanctions might harm ordinary Belarusians — and push leaders and businesses closer to Russia
If Belarus believed the Ryanair flight was a threat, it had authority to make it land. That’s a big if. Ashley Nunes - May 23, 2021 Global rules give countries ‘complete and exclusive sovereignty’ over their airspace but also expect them not to manufacture threats
When Belarus forced down a plane, it may have committed state-sponsored hijacking Yuval Weber - May 23, 2021 International treaties outlaw false communications that might endanger a flight
Coronavirus is really bad news for Belarus President Lukashenko, for unexpected reasons Samuel Greene and Anna Lyubimtseva - November 12, 2020 People are tuning into dissident news and turning off state TV because they’re desperate for real information
If Putin sends troops to Belarus, don’t expect Russians to applaud Maria Snegovaya - September 14, 2020 Russians don’t like military adventures in bad economic times, my research finds
There’s more to Belarus’s ‘Telegram Revolution’ than a cellphone app Tetyana Lokot, Olga Onuch, Mariëlle Wijermars, and Aliaksandr Herasimenka - September 10, 2020 New surveys show protesters had to be creative to share information.
The Belarus protests erupted because of these 4 things Svitlana Chernykh and Sam R. Bell - August 25, 2020 That’s what we learned from 30 years of global election data
What’s driving the Belarus protests? Kristin Bakke, John O’Loughlin, and Gerard Toal - August 21, 2020 Our survey reveals some clues, as well as generational divides
Belarus’s president looks for his sixth election victory on Sunday. He has a well-used playbook to win. Tatsiana Kulakevich - August 7, 2020 Alexander Lukashenko increasingly relies on law enforcement agencies to repress the opposition.
Belarus votes on Sunday. Our new survey shows what young voters are thinking. Félix Krawatzek - August 7, 2020 In a significant shift, 75 percent of young Belarusians distrust their president
The Belarus government is largely ignoring the pandemic. Here’s why. Tatsiana Kulakevich - April 21, 2020 With elections coming, this could be a risky move
Will Russia try to occupy Belarus? Ryhor Astapenia - March 27, 2019 Here are the 4 things you need to know about the two nations’ falling out.
In Belarus, Europe’s “last dictator” is actually allowing protest. Here’s why. Paul Schuler, Christopher Fariss, and Charles Crabtree - March 24, 2017 [caption id="attachment_55778" align="alignnone" width="960"] A protester shouts slogans and holds
Things are heating up in eastern Ukraine. Here are three reasons why. Samuel Ramani - May 30, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41239" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Members of a volunteer battalion and
How long will Putin stay in power? Nelli Babayan - March 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_22253" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Russian President Vladimir Putin talks to
Ukraine isn’t unified yet. These 4 charts explain. Grigore Pop-Eleches and Robertson Graeme - November 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32142" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Ukrainian activists demonstrate in front of
Surprise! Belarus’s Lukashenko wins a fifth term in a landslide! (Okay, no surprise. Here’s what happened.) Matthew Frear - October 22, 2015 [caption id="attachment_31002" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan, left, Belarus
Here’s why Putin wants to topple Ukraine’s government, not to engineer a ‘frozen conflict’ Robert Person - October 6, 2015 [caption id="attachment_30331" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Pro-Russian militants participate in a training
Belarus’s president has scheduled the next election. Has he already won his fifth term? Tatsiana Kulakevich - July 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27466" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] A Belarusian detainee, arrested during the
Belarus's president has scheduled the next election. Has he already won his fifth term? - July 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27466" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] A Belarusian detainee, arrested during the
How the Ukrainian crisis is like three-dimensional chess Nikolai Sokov - March 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22686" align="alignnone" width="620"] Civilians talk to an Ukrainian serviceman
Five fatal flaws in realist analysis of Russia and Ukraine Alexander Motyl - March 3, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22253" align="alignnone" width="620"] Is Russian President Vladimir Putin rational
The question to ask about Boris Nemtsov’s murder is not who but why? J. Goode - March 3, 2015 The following is a guest post from University of Oklahoma
The question to ask about Boris Nemtsov's murder is not who but why? Joshua Tucker - March 3, 2015 The following is a guest post from University of Oklahoma
Mistrust about political motives in contested Ukraine John O’Loughlin and Gerard Toal - February 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_21233" align="aligncenter" width="992"] Left to right, Russian President Vladimir
A Putin surprise in eastern Ukraine? Kimberly Marten - January 28, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20627" align="alignnone" width="620"] A local man looks at the
2012 Belarus Parliamentary Elections Post-Election Report: Same as It Ever Was Joshua Tucker - October 22, 2012 Continuing our series of election reports in conjunction with Electoral
Belarus Presidential Elections: Observations on the Observations Joshua Tucker - January 3, 2011 The Monkey Cage's "resident Slovakia expert":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/07/2010_slovak_parliamentary_elec.html, "Kevin Deegan-Krause":http://www.pozorblog.com/ (below, in
No Change in Belarus? The Belarusian 2010 Presidential Election Joshua Tucker - December 21, 2010 We are pleased to announce the return of our "Election