Who are black voters supporting in 2020? Here’s what we might learn from South Carolina. David Darmofal - February 26, 2020 It’s complicated.
White racial resentment has been gaining political power for decades Jamil Scott - January 15, 2018 [caption id="attachment_68134" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump at a White House
Republicans used to compare talking to Moscow to talking to Hitler. Trump changed that. James Goldgeier - December 14, 2017 Editor's note: We asked James Goldgeier to revisit his July
Here are 5 keys to watching Monday night’s debate between Clinton and Trump John Sides - September 26, 2016 Monday night's presidential debate — or the "Clash of the Century,"
Democrats played up the flag at their convention. Was that risky? Nathan Kalmoe and Kimberly Gross - August 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44922" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Crowds cheer during the Democratic National
Politicians play the race card. This is what helps neutralize it. John Sides - January 8, 2016 [caption id="attachment_34132" align="aligncenter" width="600"] A still image from the Willie
It’s time to stop the endless hype of the ‘Willie Horton’ ad John Sides - January 6, 2016 [caption id="attachment_34132" align="aligncenter" width="600"] A still image from the Willie
Americans are turning against the death penalty. Are politicians far behind? Kaneesha Johnson and Emily Williams - December 7, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26698" align="aligncenter" width="908"] This Feb. 29, 2000, photo shows
Republicans say goodbye to the Confederate flag–and hello to a new strategy Joseph Lowndes - June 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26439" align="alignnone" width="620" class="center"] File: Protesters hold a sign
'Wealthy plutocrat' isn't Mitt Romney's issue. It's the Republican Party's issue. John Sides - January 19, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20206" align="aligncenter" width="992"] Mitt Romney, a former Republican presidential
‘Wealthy plutocrat’ isn’t Mitt Romney’s issue. It’s the Republican Party’s issue. John Sides - January 19, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20206" align="aligncenter" width="992"] Mitt Romney, a former Republican presidential
“All politics is local”? Not anymore. Brian Arbour - December 9, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17483" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)[/caption] In
"All politics is local"? Not anymore. John Sides - December 9, 2014 [caption id="attachment_17483" align="aligncenter" width="908"] (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)[/caption] In
Sorry, Matt Bai, but I don’t think Gary Hart was gonna get elected president in 1988 Andrew Gelman - September 21, 2014 In the context of a fascinating, detailed account of the
Sorry, Matt Bai, but I don't think Gary Hart was gonna get elected president in 1988 Andrew Gelman - September 21, 2014 In the context of a fascinating, detailed account of the
Is Our Parties Learning? David Karol - November 2, 2012 In a recent post,the estimable Jon Bernstein of A Plain
Does Obama Have White Voter “Problem”? John Sides - October 28, 2012 This is a guest post from political scientist Eric Juenke.
Romney’s Candidacy has Piqued Curiosity about Mormons: Evidence from Google Searches John Sides - October 1, 2012 This is a guest post from political scientists Donald Green
A Non-random Walk Down Campaign Street Andrew Gelman - September 28, 2012 Political campaigns are commonly understood as random walks, during which,
Emoter-in-Chief? David Karol - August 31, 2012 One of the most striking aspects of Mitt Romney's acceptance
Why It’s Hard for Republicans to Campaign on Medicare John Sides - August 14, 2012 Romney advisor Ed Gillespie: bq. The fact is, we’re going
Jonathan Chait and I agree about the importance of the fundamentals in determining presidential elections Andrew Gelman - April 12, 2011 Johathan Chait writes: Parties and candidates will kill themselves to
Forget the Dukakis-in-a-tank effect: the Democrats would’ve lost in 1988 even if they’d had Burt Reynolds at the top of the ticket Andrew Gelman - April 9, 2011 Jonathan Chait writes that the most important aspect of a
Good timing: The role of quantitative political science and political reporting in shaping perceptions Andrew Gelman - March 22, 2010 As you may have heard, the Democratic Congress just passed
Would Mike Dukakis Have Won the 2008 Election? Andrew Gelman - June 2, 2009 Chris Bowers writes: The nation still moving away from Republicans
Punditry vs. Political Science John Sides - August 25, 2008 A couple weeks ago, Andy had this response to a
President Dukakis says: be careful in interpreting early opinion polls - June 6, 2008 Andy warns (ok, rants) about people overinterpreting early presidential polls.
Are Jews Drifting to the Right? John Sides - May 23, 2008 That's what Jodi Kantor says in the New York Times:
Negative Advertising – The Gift That Just Keeps On Giving - April 24, 2008 Televised campaign ads live two lives. First, there are the
David Broder Did Not Read The Monkey Cage Yesterday John Sides - January 3, 2008 Because he wrote this today: bq. The outcome of Iowa's