Do armed drones reduce terrorism? Here’s the data. Matthew Fuhrmann and Joshua Schwartz - August 18, 2022 This research analyzes patterns of terrorism in the 18 countries that utilize drones
When tensions rise, retaliation isn’t the same as all-out war Michael Horowitz and Elizabeth N. Saunders - January 7, 2020 "Powder keg" situations rarely explode into war by accident.
Yes, Iran shot down a U.S. drone. Here’s why you (still) don’t need to worry. Sarah E. Kreps, Michael Horowitz, and Matthew Fuhrman - June 20, 2019 Drone shoot-downs haven’t escalated in the past. This one probably won’t, either.
War with Iran is probably less likely than you think Michael Horowitz and Elizabeth N. Saunders - June 17, 2019 Here’s what to watch for.
Dragon power is awesome. But it can’t tell you how to rule. Joshua Schwartz - April 28, 2019 The ‘Game of Thrones’ dragons reveal what military power can — and cannot — achieve.
Are ‘Game of Thrones’ dragons the equivalent of nuclear weapons? We don’t think so. Michael Horowitz and Matthew Fuhrmann - April 11, 2019 Winter is here.
These were our top 10 most popular posts of 2018 E.J. Graff - December 31, 2018 [caption id="attachment_81973" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump speaks in Fargo, N.D.
Are drones the new terrorist weapon? Someone tried to kill Venezuela’s president with one. Nicholas Grossman - August 10, 2018 [caption id="attachment_76585" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Venezuelan National Guard soldiers scatter during
Should you worry about a U.S. war with North Korea? Not really. Dan Reiter - May 24, 2018 [caption id="attachment_68001" align="aligncenter" width="960"] North Korean leader Kim Jong Un
Why nuclear war with North Korea is less likely than you think Michael Horowitz and Elizabeth N. Saunders - May 24, 2018 Editors’ note: In this archival piece, Good Authority editor Elizabeth
A new U.S. policy makes it (somewhat) easier to export drones Michael Horowitz and Joshua Schwartz - April 20, 2018 [caption id="attachment_72517" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump holds a chart highlighting
Will a cease-fire hold? Ask the stock market rather than the pundit. Gerald Schneider - February 16, 2017 [caption id="attachment_54182" align="aligncenter" width="960"] People wait for food on July
These were our 10 most popular posts of 2015 John Sides - December 30, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22406" align="aligncenter" width="565"] President Frank Underwood (Kevin Spacey) and
How does the NFL’s Roger Goodell stay in power? By acting like a dictator. Michael Horowitz - August 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28851" align="aligncenter" width="908"] NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell leaves the
How does the NFL's Roger Goodell stay in power? By acting like a dictator. John Sides - August 24, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28851" align="aligncenter" width="908"] NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell leaves the
Does anyone make accurate geopolitical predictions? Michael Horowitz and Barbara Mellers - January 29, 2015 [caption id="attachment_20657" align="aligncenter" width="620"] President Obama meets in the Situation
Good judgment in forecasting international affairs (and an invitation for season 3) Erik Voeten - November 26, 2013 This is a guest post by Michael Horowitz, an associate
Mike Horowitz: Help Us Become Better Forecasters Erica Chenoweth - June 25, 2012 From Mike Horowitz's post today at the Duck of Minerva: