Larry Sabato Archives

A comprehensive average of election forecasts points to a decisive Clinton victory

John Sides - November 8, 2016

http://www.washingtonpost.com/video/national/hillary-clinton-votes-in-presidential-election/2016/11/08/f9acf78e-a5b3-11e6-ba46-53db57f0e351_video.html As voters go to the polls today, the consensus

It’s mostly quiet on the House front

Ben Highton - October 14, 2014

The Republican majority in House is apparently not at-risk

The Election Lab midterm forecast, explained

John Sides - July 17, 2014

Nate Cohn tweeted yesterday: And he included the Upshot’s table

Why the Senate forecasting models differ

John Sides - May 6, 2014

"There's not a data journalism bubble (IMO) but there's quite possibly

The 8 most pivotal Senate seats in 2014

Ben Highton - April 1, 2014

[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] U.S. Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark.,

A tied Senate could end the filibuster, once and for all

John Sides - February 11, 2014

[caption id="attachment_6489" align="aligncenter" width="615" special=""] (Reuters/Jonathan Ernst.)[/caption] This is a

How Republicans can win the Senate in 2014

John Sides - February 6, 2014

This is a guest post by University of California, Davis,

Republicans have a 44% chance of taking the Senate. But it may be much higher.

John Sides - January 27, 2014

[caption id="attachment_5758" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press)[/caption] At

There is no wave coming in the 2014 election

John Sides - December 4, 2013

[caption id="attachment_3720" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Susan Walsh/AP)[/caption] Prognostications about the

Forget Obamacare, remember when Syria was going to ruin Obama's term? Remember Syria??

Joshua Tucker - November 14, 2013

Scott Wilson's article here at the Washington Post on the