The Republicans and Immigration Reform Redux
Now, perhaps there are unforeseen events that will permanently help
Richer people continue to vote Republican
Andrew Gelman - November 14, 2012
From the exit polls: This is all pretty obvious but
Forecasting Elections with the Gallup Likely Voter Numbers
John Sides - October 30, 2012
Jay Cost took a look at how Gallup's final likely
The Track Record of Pre-Election Polls (in 2 Graphs)
John Sides - October 29, 2012
How trustworthy are this year's presidential polls? On Monday, November
Polling Biases and Their Potential Impacts
- September 26, 2012
Over at the Weekly Standard, Jay Cost argues for caution
Have the Republicans Fought to a Draw on Medicare?
John Sides - August 28, 2012
Republicans say yes. Steven Benen agrees. I think that conclusion
Obama’s Better-than-Expected Popularity: Revisions and Extensions
John Sides - May 9, 2012
I have a post at 538 updating my earlier analysis
Forecasting Follow-up to Jay Cost
John Sides - April 25, 2012
Jay Cost responds to the Washington Post's forecasting model that
The Forecasts and The Outcome
John Sides - November 3, 2010
[UPDATE, 4:11 pm: Mark Blumenthal of Pollster notified me via