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Has Trump’s approval rating really shot up to 49 percent? Probably not.

Jacob Long - February 6, 2020

More Republicans — and fewer Democrats — are responding to pollsters. That could skew the results.

Yes, Germany put a far-right party in Parliament. That’s not as alarming as you might think.

Tobias Konitzer and David Rothschild - September 29, 2017

In last Sunday’s German elections, many observers were deeply disturbed

Most of the bounces in Trump’s approval ratings aren’t real

Andrew Gelman - July 17, 2017

Donald Trump’s approval rating is one of the key news

New poll: 30% of Trump supporters say they’ll protest the election if he loses

Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies, and David Rothschild - November 8, 2016

http://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/trump-if-we-dont-win-it-wont-mean-a-damn-thing/2016/11/07/b7d41e36-a52d-11e6-ba46-53db57f0e351_video.html After the votes are counted Tuesday night, how will

Hillary Clinton would win in Australia, New Zealand, England, Canada, France, Mexico and Germany. But not Russia.

Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies, and David Rothschild - November 7, 2016

[caption id="attachment_49048" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton meets

Poll: 60% of Republicans believe illegal immigrants vote; 43% believe people vote using dead people’s names

Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies, and David Rothschild - October 24, 2016

[caption id="attachment_33341" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Seth Perlman/Associated Press)[/caption] The 2016 presidential

Will Republican voters flee Trump, post-video? Here’s what we found.

Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies, and David Rothschild - October 14, 2016

[caption id="attachment_47792" align="aligncenter" width="960"] In this 2005 frame from a

Who cares about free trade? Not many Americans, it turns out.

Tobias Konitzer, Sam Corbett-Davies, and David Rothschild - July 29, 2016

[caption id="attachment_44664" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Protesters against the TPP display signs

Before you get surgery, check this evidence: Less-invasive treatments work better

Tobias Konitzer and David Rothschild - June 30, 2016

[caption id="attachment_43176" align="aligncenter" width="960"] (iStock)[/caption] In 2015, President Obama heavily

There is no “Trump Bump” in the polls — just a growing lead for the Democrats

Tobias Konitzer and David Rothschild - June 7, 2016

[caption id="attachment_41764" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. (Getty