Most Republican candidates endorse the ‘big lie’ — even when voters don’t Brendan Hartnett and Brian Schaffner - October 12, 2022 We examined whether candidates’ beliefs — for and against the "big lie” — matched up with those of their state’s voters. Nope.
Many college Republicans didn’t vote for Trump in 2020. His racist rhetoric may be why. Zachary Hertz, Pia Deshpande, and Brian Schaffner - January 20, 2022 The ‘diploma divide’ appears to run through Republicans as well
Martin Luther King Jr. was right. Racism and opposition to democracy are linked, our research finds. Tatishe Nteta, Raymond La Raja, Jesse Rhodes, and Alexander Theodoridis - January 16, 2022 Americans who don’t think institutional racism is a problem are more likely to believe that Jan. 6 was a protest, not an insurrection, and that Donald Trump won the 2020 election.
Virginia’s upcoming election pits rural voters against urban ones. Why is there such a divide? Zachary L. Hertz, Lucas B. Pyle, and Brian F. Schaffner - September 21, 2021 The key factor is their different attitudes about race, our research finds
Don’t trust the exit polls. This explains why. Robert Griffin - November 9, 2020 Analysts using the National Exit Poll to understand how various groups voted might want to be cautious.
Research shows just how much more power White voters wield in local politics Raymond J. La Raja, Jesse H. Rhodes, and Brian F. Schaffner - September 2, 2020 That’s true even when Blacks and Latinos are in the majority
New polling shows how much sexism is hurting the Democratic women running for president. Sam Luks and Brian Schaffner - July 11, 2019 More than a quarter of Democratic primary voters score higher than average on a “hostile sexism” scale.
These 5 charts explain who voted how in the 2018 midterm election Brian Schaffner - November 10, 2018 [caption id="attachment_80029" align="aligncenter" width="960"] House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.)
How ‘hostile sexism’ came to shape our politics Erin Cassese, Tiffany Barnes, and Mirya Holman - October 2, 2018 What’s behind the roiling public reaction to Thursday’s Senate Judiciary
Surprised by the anger toward McCain? Party loyalists can hate apostates as much as opponents. Nathan Kalmoe and Lilliana Mason - May 16, 2018 [caption id="attachment_73416" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) receives the
These were our 10 most popular posts of 2017 E.J. Graff - December 29, 2017 You've had a curious year in 2017 — at least,
Did enough Bernie Sanders supporters vote for Trump to cost Clinton the election? John Sides - August 24, 2017 On Tuesday night, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was in Detroit
Why did Trump win? More whites — and fewer blacks — actually voted. Sean McElwee, Jesse Rhodes, Brian Schaffner, and Bernard Fraga - May 8, 2017 [caption id="attachment_57944" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton arrive at the
Racially biased people are far more likely to oppose black athletes’ protests. Here’s the evidence. Tatishe M. Nteta, Matthew MacWilliams, and Brian Schaffner - April 20, 2017 [caption id="attachment_57017" align="aligncenter" width="960"] San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick,
Trump wants to investigate purported mass voter fraud. We pre-debunked his evidence Stephen Ansolabehere, Samantha Luks, and Brian Schaffner - January 25, 2017 Update: Here is a letter signed by many political scientists
This is what Trump voters said when asked to compare his inauguration crowd with Obama’s Brian Schaffner and Samantha Luks - January 25, 2017 On the first full day of the Trump administration, White
How big is the gap between the donor class and ordinary Americans? Bigger than you think. Sean McElwee, Jesse H. Rhodes, and Brian Schaffner - December 15, 2016 Money's influence is a perennial concern in American politics. And
Who’s voting early? Latino turnout is surging, but white turnout is, too. Brian Schaffner and Bernard Fraga - November 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_48973" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Voters walk into a polling site
Early voting predict who wins. This is good news for Democrats. Brian Schaffner and Anthony Rentsch - November 1, 2016 Early voting in the 2016 election is underway in many
Is America more divided by race or class? Sean McElwee, Jesse Rhodes, and Brian Schaffner - October 12, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47680" align="aligncenter" width="982"] The audience at the first presidential
In 6 graphs, here’s why young women don’t support Hillary Clinton as much as older women do Lori Poloni-Staudinger, Cherie Strachan, and Brian Schaffner - April 11, 2016 Every primary appears to bring Hillary Clinton steadily closer to
New poll shows Trump supporters more likely to fear a majority-minority U.S. Tatishe M. Nteta and Brian Schaffner - March 5, 2016 [caption id="attachment_36767" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump argues
Republican voters actually aren’t divided into ‘establishment’ and ‘outsider’ camps Ray LaRaja, Mia Costa, and Brian Schaffner - November 19, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32103" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidates John Kasich, Jeb
Want to reform campaign finance and reduce corruption? Here’s how. Ray LaRaja and Brian Schaffner - October 26, 2015 [caption id="attachment_31333" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Bea Wiharta/Reuters)[/caption] The Monkey Cage often
Unlimited party fundraising and spending gives you less polarized legislatures? Discuss. Ray LaRaja and Brian Schaffner - July 8, 2015 Lee Drutman’s recent Monkey Cage piece challenges a finding from
Can unlimited contributions to political parties really reduce polarization? Lee Drutman - June 23, 2015 [caption id="attachment_26288" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] The U.S. Capitol Reflecting Pool. (Mark Wilson/Getty Images)[/caption]
How public funding of elections makes politics even more polarized John Sides - January 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_9198" align="aligncenter" width="982"] (Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg)[/caption] Public funding of elections
Americans think the unemployment rate is 32 percent? Not so fast. John Sides - November 16, 2014 [caption id="attachment_18170" align="aligncenter" width="982"] (Steve Helber/AP)[/caption] Over at Vox, Danielle
Can political party super-PACS reduce polarization? Richard Pildes - September 26, 2014 [caption id="attachment_16139" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of
Don’t expect campaign finance reform to reduce polarization Thomas Mann and Anthony Corrado - July 24, 2014 [caption id="attachment_13570" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Don't mistake this for good will
Don't expect campaign finance reform to reduce polarization Thomas Mann and Anthony Corrado - July 24, 2014 [caption id="attachment_13570" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Don't mistake this for good will
Data and analytics have changed campaigns. Now what's next? John Sides - January 23, 2014 [caption id="attachment_5647" align="aligncenter" width="592" special=""] (Carolyn Kaster/Associated Press)[/caption] Lynn Vavreck
Public Opinion and the Senate Votes on Gun Control John Sides - April 18, 2013 Brian Schaffner sends this graph and commentary: The Senate
Ideological Bias and the Jobs Report John Sides - November 4, 2012 A recent UMass poll was in the field when the
How Conservative Is Scott Brown? John Sides - October 10, 2012 A new UMass poll finds Elizabeth Warren leading Scott Brown
Campaign Spending Bans: Do They Work? John Sides - February 23, 2012 bq. This paper seeks to understand the effect of campaign
Did Race Cost Obama in 2008? John Sides - December 2, 2011 Erik recently blogged about a new paper (pdf) by Seth