Which election forecast was the most accurate? Or rather: The least wrong? Pavel Atanasov - November 30, 2016 [caption id="attachment_49524" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A voter casts a ballot at
Do betting markets outperform election polls? Hardly. Thomas Wood - August 9, 2016 [caption id="attachment_44984" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] President Harry S. Truman holds up
Can you trust British polls on whether to leave the E.U.? Will Jennings, Robert Ford, and Mark Pickup - June 3, 2016 [caption id="attachment_41558" align="aligncenter" width="960"] British Prime Minister David Cameron, right,
Here’s what prediction markets think about the Wisconsin results David Rothschild - April 6, 2016 [caption id="attachment_38706" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in
If Republicans nominate a strong conservative, it could hurt them on Election Day. A lot. Matthew Atkinson and Darin DeWitt - September 25, 2015 [caption id="attachment_23055" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Senator Ted Cruz at Liberty University