Andrew Gelman

More Republicans — and fewer Democrats — are responding to pollsters. That could skew the results.

What is The Monkey Cage?“Democracy is the art of running

[caption id="attachment_53392" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A pedestrian is silhouetted by headlights

[caption id="attachment_40883" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Hillary

[caption id="attachment_41151" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Blue donkey Democratic cookies and red

[caption id="attachment_39913" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks

[caption id="attachment_36430" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Kacper Pempel/Reuters)[/caption] How do you know

[caption id="attachment_34081" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] What population sample will bring us

[caption id="attachment_17892" align="aligncenter" width="460"] (Credit: AP/Matt Rourke)[/caption] During the recent

[caption id="attachment_27976" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Bernie Sanders

[caption id="attachment_24081" align="alignnone" width="620" class="align center"] Amazon's Mechanical Turk service

A colleague pointed me to this article by Nafeez Ahmed,

[caption id="attachment_18997" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Iowa's senator-elect Joni Ernst, who surprised

Andrew Gelman wants to see the evidence for the

[caption id="attachment_15102" align="aligncenter" width="600"] X-Files/20th Century Fox[/caption] In a previous

[caption id="attachment_14132" align="aligncenter" width="600"] The home page of YouGov, a

[caption id="attachment_14007" align="aligncenter" width="620"] Catherine Walker marks her ballot in

[caption id="attachment_9876" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Alex Brandon/AP)[/caption] If the 2016

This is a guest post by University of California, Davis,

George Johnson writes in Tuesday's New York Times about the

What is The Monkey Cage? “Democracy is the art of

Joshua Tucker: The following is a guest post from London

As I wrote a couple years ago: (more…)

Symposium magazine ("Where Academia Meets Public Life") has some fun

Symposium is a new online magazine subtitled "Where academia meets

As part of our series on recent NSF-funded political science

Justice Scalia argued in his dissent in Romer that: This

We are delighted to welcome the following guest post by Karthick

bq. In the election for President of the United States,

My recent claim that the gap between Democratic vote share

That taxes, the national debt, or health care reform have

The current issue of _Perspectives on Politics_ includes a symposium

I received the following (unsolicited) email: Dear ANDREW GELMAN, I

Jonathan Bernstein writes: The big, urban states traditionally did very

This is a guest post from Alessandra Casella, an economics

We are once again pleased to welcome back NYU political

From the NY Times: A sales tax of 20 percent

The following is a guest post from Scott Gehlbach, a

The image is from a paper (ungated) by UCSD (political)

Jim Cooper, Democrat of Tennessee, wrote an article for the

Let me just say - if it is not immediately

Kevin Esterling, who is involved in evaluating the America Speaks

In our continuing series of "election reports":https://themonkeycage.org/election_reports/, we are pleased

Some of you may remember that back in February, I

Ethan Zuckerman on methodological challenges in social media research. bq.

I made the mistake of looking up my books on

It's tolerably well known that our colleague, Andrew Gelman, is

We are pleased to announce that Andrew Gelman and Philip

Words and phrases to avoid, courtesy of Andrew Gelman: *

That's what Jodi Kantor says in the New York Times:

"Andrew Gelman responds":http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/04/networks_of_pol.html to my previous post on this topic.

Andy Gelman "links to":http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/03/mps_for_sale.html a "new paper":http://polmeth.wustl.edu/retrieve.php?id=740 on money and

In reference to the Red State Blue State project that

Robin Hanson says that only recently did he come to

The complaints about media coverage of campaigns are well-known: too

Andrew Gelman responds to Justin Wolfers' piece in the Wall

Two recent studies have investigated this question: 1) Based on

Andrew Gelman discusses a paper by Jan Leighley and Jonathan

When I read a New York Times article (or any

Why are we writing this blog? Here is a probably-not-exhaustive