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Has Trump’s approval rating really shot up to 49 percent? Probably not.

Jacob Long - February 6, 2020
More Republicans — and fewer Democrats — are responding to pollsters. That could skew the results.

About The Monkey Cage

John Sides - June 10, 2019
What is The Monkey Cage?“Democracy is the art of running

We have a standard for judging partisan gerrymandering. The Supreme Court should use it.

Michael Latner, Anthony Smith, Anthony McGann, and Alex Keena - February 2, 2017
[caption id="attachment_53392" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A pedestrian is silhouetted by headlights

How to read the election polls — and keep your sanity — in two easy steps

- June 8, 2016
[caption id="attachment_40883" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Presidential candidates Donald Trump and Hillary

New polls show that more Americans prefer Democrats’ policies

Tobias Konitzer and David Rothschild - May 27, 2016
[caption id="attachment_41151" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Blue donkey Democratic cookies and red

Can Trump re-draw the electoral map? There’s one big problem.

John Sides and Andrew Gelman - May 10, 2016
[caption id="attachment_39913" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks

Yes, you can trust international surveys. Mostly.

Michael Robbins - March 26, 2016
[caption id="attachment_36430" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (Kacper Pempel/Reuters)[/caption] How do you know

Does social science have a replication crisis?

Joshua Tucker - March 9, 2016
[caption id="attachment_34081" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] What population sample will bring us

Why Asian Americans don’t vote Republican

Cecilia Mo - November 2, 2015
[caption id="attachment_17892" align="aligncenter" width="460"] (Credit: AP/Matt Rourke)[/caption] During the recent

Can Bernie win in 2016?

Andrew Gelman - August 17, 2015
[caption id="attachment_27976" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Bernie Sanders
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