Could a GOP president take over independent government agencies? Andrew Rudalevige - November 7, 2023 Here's what the law actually says.
Where did the GOP fall short? Its election spending offers some hints. Adam Sheingate - December 7, 2022 The NRSC spent a lot on digital ads in the midterms. My research suggests that may have been a miscalculation.
Can activists stop AT&T from donating to antiabortion politicians? Jane L. Sumner - June 21, 2022 Yes, but companies turn to more subtle ways of influencing policy, research shows
Are U.S. companies punishing Republicans for Jan. 6? Here’s what our research finds. Florian Gawehns and Amy Meli - January 4, 2022 Contributions to members of Congress who supported overturning the 2020 election are down compared to four years ago. But it’s early.
The FEC is allowing ‘foreign entities’ to donate to U.S. referendum campaigns. That’s a problem. Dov Levin - November 18, 2021 Most critics are missing the biggest concern
The WNBA influenced the Georgia Senate race, new research finds Angele Delevoye - November 30, 2020 After Kelly Loeffler attacked Black Lives Matter, the WNBA backed one of her opponents — who pushed her into a January runoff
The Supreme Court just took aim at Congress’s ability to protect federal agencies from partisan politics Patrick Schmidt and Margaret Moran - July 1, 2020 The conservative legal community has been playing a long game aimed at overturning New Deal decisions.
Trump is going back to holding rallies. He might be helping Biden. Jordan Peterson and Boris Heersink - June 17, 2020 His campaign visits in 2016 also mobilized donations by Democrats
Can a woman win the presidency? Even asking the question discourages women from running. Lori Poloni-Staudinger and Cherie Strachan - January 21, 2020 When women run, they win as often as men do. So why don’t more run?
Citizens United turns 10 today. Here’s what we’ve learned about dark money. Abby Wood - January 21, 2020 The Supreme Court believed it wouldn’t lead to corruption. What’s the verdict?
How will the Michael Cohen and Duncan Hunter scandals affect the November election? Here’s what our research finds. Christian Grose and Abby Wood - August 28, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77139" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Michael Cohen leaves federal court in
The Trump administration might be deregulating more than you know (or could know) Susan Yackee and Simon Haeder - August 24, 2018 [caption id="attachment_77075" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A coal-fired power plant in Glenrock,
The lesson of the Steny Hoyer controversy: party insiders still matter after all Hans Hassell - May 1, 2018 [caption id="attachment_72824" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Leading House Democrats appear at a news
There’s more to Russia’s cyber interference than the Mueller probe suggests Ryan Maness and Margarita Jaitner - March 12, 2018 An underlying theme running through special counsel Robert S. Mueller
Trump makes fewer public trips than recent presidents. Will that hurt the Republicans in November? Kathryn Tenpas, James McCann, and Emily Charnock - January 17, 2018 [caption id="attachment_68171" align="aligncenter" width="960"] President Trump meets with members of
Yes, U.S. election integrity could be improved. Here’s why the Pence commission probably won’t do it. German Feierherd and Francisco Cantú - September 18, 2017 In May, President Trump created the Presidential Advisory Commission on Election
Want to change Congress? Change who votes in ‘safe’ Republican or Democratic primaries. Seth Hill - May 4, 2017 A group called No Labels, which aims to support centrist,
How Citizens United gave Republicans a bonanza of seats in U.S. state legislatures Stéphane Wolton, Nour Abdul-Razzak, and Carlo Prato - February 24, 2017 [caption id="attachment_50012" align="aligncenter" width="960"] The U.S. Supreme Court on Nov.
How big is the gap between the donor class and ordinary Americans? Bigger than you think. Sean McElwee, Jesse H. Rhodes, and Brian Schaffner - December 15, 2016 Money's influence is a perennial concern in American politics. And
This new tool allows you to easily visualize 2016 campaign finance data Joshua Tucker - October 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_20250" align="aligncenter" width="1024"] Source: Creative Commons[/caption] My New York
Will Donald Trump cost Republicans the House? It’s very unlikely. John Sides and Eric McGhee - October 18, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47560" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks
The more outside money politicians take, the less well they represent their constituents Anne Baker - August 17, 2016 Do members of Congress shortchange their constituents in favor of
A Trump campaign will only increase the Democrats’ advantage in data and analytics Daniel Kreiss - May 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_39147" align="aligncenter" width="4679"] Donald Trump speaks during a rally
Why Hillary Clinton’s lavish Hollywood fundraiser was smart politics Jack Collens - April 20, 2016 [caption id="attachment_39368" align="aligncenter" width="908"] In this Feb. 11, 2016, photo,
Jeb Bush’s presidential campaign was a success — for its consultants Adam Sheingate / Managing Editor - February 22, 2016 With apologies to Winston Churchill, the tale of the Jeb
How to track money in our multibillion-dollar election John Sides - January 31, 2016 [caption id="attachment_19061" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] (bigstockphoto)[/caption] This week, ProPublica announced that
Trump wants to run his campaign outside the GOP establishment. Here's why that hurts him. - August 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28400" align="aligncenter" width="2200"] Donald Trump answers a question at
Trump wants to run his campaign outside the GOP establishment. Here’s why that hurts him. Sean Cain - August 11, 2015 [caption id="attachment_28400" align="aligncenter" width="2200"] Donald Trump answers a question at
The Democratic advantage in digital, data, and analytics isn’t going away easily Daniel Kreiss - May 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_24717" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Engineers and developers work at President
The Democratic advantage in digital, data, and analytics isn't going away easily John Sides - May 13, 2015 [caption id="attachment_24717" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Engineers and developers work at President
Aaron Schock’s downfall tells us we need to look at political spending as well as giving Mark Schmitt - March 20, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22925" align="alignnone" width="620"] Rep. Aaron Schock (R-Ill.) speaks to reporters
Aaron Schock's downfall tells us we need to look at political spending as well as giving Henry Farrell - March 20, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22925" align="alignnone" width="620"] Rep. Aaron Schock (R-Ill.) speaks to reporters
How campaign finance law makes senators early lame ducks David Karol - March 2, 2015 [caption id="attachment_22206" align="alignnone" width="620"] Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md.) delivers remarks
How political parties ‘clear the field’ in primaries Hans Hassell - December 10, 2014 [caption id="attachment_18889" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) speaks at
How political parties 'clear the field' in primaries John Sides - December 10, 2014 [caption id="attachment_18889" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) speaks at
A constitutional amendment wouldn’t really limit the power of money in politics Mark Schmitt - May 29, 2014 [caption id="attachment_11035" align="aligncenter" width="491" special=""] Citizens United President David Bossie,
Republicans have a 77% chance of taking the Senate John Sides - May 16, 2014 Our new Senate forecast gives the Republicans a 77 percent
The rich are dominating campaigns. Here's why that's about to get worse. Jenny Shen and Adam Bonica - April 23, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Republican activist Shaun McCutcheon,
The rich are dominating campaigns. Here’s why that’s about to get worse. Jenny Shen and Adam Bonica - April 23, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Republican activist Shaun McCutcheon,
The McCutcheon decision could be good news after all Ray LaRaja - April 3, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (Karen Bleier/AFP/Getty Images)[/caption] This is
Why striking down campaign contribution limits might make politics better John Sides - October 16, 2013 [caption id="attachment_1624" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (bigstockphoto)[/caption] This is a guest
No, overturning campaign contribution limits really would be a problem John Sides - October 14, 2013 [caption id="attachment_1624" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (bigstockphoto)[/caption] This is a guest
The Supreme Court might strike down overall contribution limits. And that's okay. John Sides - October 9, 2013 [caption id="attachment_1341" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] (bigstockphoto)[/caption] This is a guest
Reform After the IRS Scandal? Don’t Bet on It. John Sides - May 19, 2013 We welcome this guest post by political scientist Michael Miller,
The Tweets-Votes Curve Andrew Gelman - April 24, 2013 Fabio Rojas points me to this excellently-titled working paper by
Money and the 2012 elections Andrew Gelman - December 21, 2012 Thomas Ferguson, Paul Jorgensen, and Jie Chen write: Only hours
Why Money Still Matters John Sides - November 15, 2012 This is a guest post by political scientist and Sunlight
The big campaign story for the next few days Andrew Gelman - November 3, 2012 Thomas Ferguson writes about the campaign: There’s something chilling that
Michael’s a Republican, Susan’s a Democrat Andrew Gelman - October 2, 2012 Chris Wilson parsed the Federal Election Commission database by first
A case of missing data in politics Andrew Gelman - July 17, 2012 Thomas Ferguson wonders what is the missing-data mechanism operating at
Where Do Political Donations Come From? Henry Farrell - June 1, 2011 "Jenna Bednar and Elisabeth Gerber":http://www-personal.umich.edu/~jbednar/WIP/irod_050211_wfigs.pdf have a very interesting paper
A Hypothesis about the Effect of Citizens United John Sides - February 16, 2010 From a grad student in our department who used to
Do Oral Arguments Affect Supreme Court Justices? John Sides - September 13, 2009 Jeffrey Rosen thinks Elana Kagan's argument regarding Citizens United vs.
The Mindset of Unethical Politicians John Sides - August 27, 2009 Jeff Smith is a friend of mine from our days
Academic Social Scientists Frame Immigration Policy - April 23, 2009 Last week (April 15), Henry posted an interesting entry about
How Many Americans Donated to a Campaign in 2008? John Sides - March 6, 2009 According to the newly released 2008 National Election Study, approximately
A hypothetical claim in search of evidence Henry Farrell - February 3, 2009 Something that occurred to me at a dinner discussion about
More on networks and donations Henry Farrell - April 5, 2008 "Andrew Gelman responds":http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/04/networks_of_pol.html to my previous post on this topic.
Annals of Improbable Research Henry Farrell - April 5, 2008 "Forthcoming":http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu/colbert_bump.pdf from James Fowler in _PS: Political Science and Politics_
How Much Do Presidents Spend on Polling? John Sides - December 26, 2007 Spending per month, in 2005 dollars: Carter: 186,300 Reagan I:
Too Much Money in Campaigns? - December 3, 2007 The NY Times ran an editorial on Sunday lamenting the
Why Endorsements Matter in Presidential Nominations John Sides - November 23, 2007 In the New York Times last week, Michael Powell looked