Good Playlist: Eurovision 2024! ▶️ Alexandra Guisinger - May 10, 2024 You know you want to sing and dance along.
How should we think about a mass exodus of Palestinians from Gaza? Elizabeth N. Saunders and Kelly M. Greenhill - October 20, 2023 Governments and non-state actors use mass migration as a tool of war.
Four reasons Belarus isn’t likely to send troops to Ukraine Tatsiana Kulakevich - September 14, 2022 Fighting Russia’s war would not help Lukashenko stay in power
Cyber hacktivists are busy undermining Putin’s invasion Max Smeets and Brita Achberger - May 12, 2022 Here’s what we know about one group
Will Russians continue to support Putin’s war in Ukraine? William Pyle and Michael Alexeev - March 15, 2022 Patriotic attitudes run high in Russia, our research finds
Putin is gambling his future — and Russia’s Zhaotian Luo and Scott Gehlbach - February 19, 2022 What would an invasion of Ukraine mean for Russia?
If Russia invades Ukraine, what happens next? David Lake - January 22, 2022 Many Ukrainians wouldn’t favor a pro-Russian leader — but would the U.S. support an anti-Russian insurgency?
Kazakhstan called for assistance. Why did Russia dispatch troops so quickly? Alexander Cooley - January 9, 2022 Preserving autocracies is a primary goal for regional organizations like the CSTO.
The E.U. continues to sanction Belarus. Some Belarusians approve. Gwendolyn Sasse and Félix Krawatzek - January 5, 2022 But our surveys reveal why that support may be waning
The Belarus border crisis shows it’s getting easier to ‘weaponize’ refugees Sigrid Lupieri - November 21, 2021 Countries like Belarus are counting on E.U. governments to see refugees as a security threat
The E.U. is furious that Belarus allowed more than 4,000 migrants to cross into Europe Gerasimos Tsourapas - August 12, 2021 As countries in the global north outsource refugee management to the global south, expect more poor countries to ‘weaponize’ migration.
Belarus forced down a plane because it couldn’t shut down an app Aliaksandr Herasimenka - May 28, 2021 Telegram became a cornerstone of last summer’s anti-government protests
Belarus’s hijacking isn’t a show of strength. It’s a sign of weakness. Sofie Bedford, Olga Onuch, and Aliaksandr Herasimenka - May 27, 2021 Poorly informed leaders with few allies are more likely to take risks, the research shows
How can the world hold Belarus accountable? Alexander Cooley - May 25, 2021 Technology has become the ‘long arm’ of authoritarians
The E.U. can’t stick to its Belarus sanctions. Will this time be different? Alexander Lanoszka - May 25, 2021 Further sanctions might harm ordinary Belarusians — and push leaders and businesses closer to Russia
If Belarus believed the Ryanair flight was a threat, it had authority to make it land. That’s a big if. Ashley Nunes - May 23, 2021 Global rules give countries ‘complete and exclusive sovereignty’ over their airspace but also expect them not to manufacture threats
When Belarus forced down a plane, it may have committed state-sponsored hijacking Yuval Weber - May 23, 2021 International treaties outlaw false communications that might endanger a flight
Does the public rally behind leaders who get covid-19? Ryan Carlin - January 21, 2021 We analyzed public opinion ratings for Macron, Trump and others who became ill.
Putin’s arrest of opposition leader Alexei Navalny is a sign of weakness, not strength Samuel Greene - January 18, 2021 Don’t expect mass street protests
Moldova’s new president is likely to seek closer ties with Europe. Russia won’t be pleased. Marius Ghincea - November 23, 2020 The outgoing president favored a strong relationship with Moscow.
Coronavirus is really bad news for Belarus President Lukashenko, for unexpected reasons Samuel Greene and Anna Lyubimtseva - November 12, 2020 People are tuning into dissident news and turning off state TV because they’re desperate for real information
If Putin sends troops to Belarus, don’t expect Russians to applaud Maria Snegovaya - September 14, 2020 Russians don’t like military adventures in bad economic times, my research finds
There’s more to Belarus’s ‘Telegram Revolution’ than a cellphone app Tetyana Lokot, Olga Onuch, Mariëlle Wijermars, and Aliaksandr Herasimenka - September 10, 2020 New surveys show protesters had to be creative to share information.
The Belarus protests erupted because of these 4 things Svitlana Chernykh and Sam R. Bell - August 25, 2020 That’s what we learned from 30 years of global election data
What’s driving the Belarus protests? Kristin Bakke, John O’Loughlin, and Gerard Toal - August 21, 2020 Our survey reveals some clues, as well as generational divides
Belarus’s president looks for his sixth election victory on Sunday. He has a well-used playbook to win. Tatsiana Kulakevich - August 7, 2020 Alexander Lukashenko increasingly relies on law enforcement agencies to repress the opposition.
Belarus votes on Sunday. Our new survey shows what young voters are thinking. Félix Krawatzek - August 7, 2020 In a significant shift, 75 percent of young Belarusians distrust their president
What’s Vladimir Putin’s end game? Other post-Soviet autocrats give a few clues. Timothy Frye - July 2, 2020 Here’s why he will try to stay in power.
The Belarus government is largely ignoring the pandemic. Here’s why. Tatsiana Kulakevich - April 21, 2020 With elections coming, this could be a risky move
Will Russia try to occupy Belarus? Ryhor Astapenia - March 27, 2019 Here are the 4 things you need to know about the two nations’ falling out.
Why is Belarus cracking down on independent journalists — and the Internet? Tatsiana Kulakevich - August 15, 2018 [caption id="attachment_76715" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, top center,
Why would authoritarian Belarus liberalize cryptocurrencies? Tatsiana Kulakevich - January 25, 2018 The rise of virtual currencies is pushing governments around the
100,000 troops will engage in Russia’s Zapad-2017 war games Simon Saradzhyan - September 13, 2017 [caption id="attachment_63490" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A man watches Russian military jets
In Belarus, Europe’s “last dictator” is actually allowing protest. Here’s why. Paul Schuler, Christopher Fariss, and Charles Crabtree - March 24, 2017 [caption id="attachment_55778" align="alignnone" width="960"] A protester shouts slogans and holds
A presidential candidate can’t threaten to imprison his opponent if he wants to live in a democracy Joshua Tucker - October 11, 2016 In the aftermath of the second U.S. presidential debate on
Read this book if you want to know what China’s citizens really think about their government Sam Winter-Levy and Nikita Lalwani - October 4, 2016 [caption id="attachment_47215" align="aligncenter" width="960"] Chinese President Xi Jinping, left, shakes
6 reasons not to worry about Russia invading the Baltics Robert Person - November 12, 2015 [caption id="attachment_32090" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Russian President Vladimir Putin and Serbian
Surprise! Belarus’s Lukashenko wins a fifth term in a landslide! (Okay, no surprise. Here’s what happened.) Matthew Frear - October 22, 2015 [caption id="attachment_31002" align="aligncenter" width="908"] Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan, left, Belarus
Belarus’s president has scheduled the next election. Has he already won his fifth term? Tatsiana Kulakevich - July 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27466" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] A Belarusian detainee, arrested during the
Belarus's president has scheduled the next election. Has he already won his fifth term? - July 15, 2015 [caption id="attachment_27466" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] A Belarusian detainee, arrested during the
Ukraine-Russia: A battle of futures Maria Snegovaya and Akos Lada - April 15, 2014 [caption id="attachment_9448" align="aligncenter" width="876" special=""] AP Photo/ Sergei Poliakov[/caption] Why
Why Ukraine’s Euromaidan is not spreading to other post-Soviet states Nozima Akhrarkhodjaeva and Farid Guliyev - March 22, 2014 [caption id="attachment_8465" align="aligncenter" width="620" special=""] An anti-government protester runs during
Why Crimea might be worse off under Russian rule Tomila Lankina - March 9, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] Volunteers of a self-defense group
How Putin's worldview may be shaping his response in Crimea Joshua Tucker - March 3, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] A woman holds a board
How Putin’s worldview may be shaping his response in Crimea - March 3, 2014 [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="606" special=""] A woman holds a board
Who are the protesters in Ukraine? Joshua Tucker - February 12, 2014 [caption id="attachment_6565" align="aligncenter" width="600" special=""] Protesters clash with police in
2012 Ukrainian Post-Election Report: What the elections in Ukraine tell us about Ukrainian authoritarianism Joshua Tucker - October 30, 2012 Continuing our series of election reports, the following post-election report on
2012 Belarus Parliamentary Elections Post-Election Report: Same as It Ever Was Joshua Tucker - October 22, 2012 Continuing our series of election reports in conjunction with Electoral
Putin in 2012: Expert Analysis Joshua Tucker - September 26, 2011 Following up on my "previous post":http://tmc.org/blog/2011/09/25/putin-in-2012-guest-commentary-2/, here are a number
Belarus Presidential Elections: Observations on the Observations Joshua Tucker - January 3, 2011 The Monkey Cage's "resident Slovakia expert":https://themonkeycage.org/2010/07/2010_slovak_parliamentary_elec.html, "Kevin Deegan-Krause":http://www.pozorblog.com/ (below, in
The Limits of Western Influence over Belarus Joshua Tucker - December 22, 2010 We are pleased to welcome back "Professor Lucan Way":http://www.utoronto.ca/jacyk/Lucan%20way%20Profile.htm of
No Change in Belarus? The Belarusian 2010 Presidential Election Joshua Tucker - December 21, 2010 We are pleased to announce the return of our "Election