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Will Soleimani’s death change Iran’s relationship with the Revolutionary Guard?

Dina Esfandiary - January 8, 2020
Soleimani’s heavy-handed approach of using armed militias and proxies turned local opinion against Iran.

Trump thought escalating the Iran crisis would solve it. That’s not how escalation works

Danielle Lupton - January 7, 2020
Here are four reasons deterrence by escalation is difficult to achieve.

When tensions rise, retaliation isn’t the same as all-out war

Michael Horowitz and Elizabeth N. Saunders - January 7, 2020
"Powder keg" situations rarely explode into war by accident.

How will Iran respond to Soleimani’s killing — and where will the escalation end?

Elisa Ewers and Ariane Tabatabai - January 6, 2020
Expect something more than today’s proxy skirmishes — but less than all-out war.

Don’t expect Congress to rein in Trump’s use of military force in the Middle East

Douglas Kriner - January 6, 2020
Presidents usually want Congress to approve their military decisions. Lawmakers usually want to stay out of it.

Trump threatens ‘sanctions like they’ve never seen’ if Iraq evicts U.S. forces. Can Iraq do it?

Stacie L. Pettyjohn - January 6, 2020
It’s likely that Iraq will expel U.S. forces.

Does Trump need Congress’s approval to go to war with Iran?

Andrew Rudalevige - January 4, 2020
That depends on whether Congress wants to try to stop him.

Attacking Iran will not help Trump win reelection. Here’s why.

Michael Tesler - January 4, 2020
Military crises don’t always trigger a rally around the flag

How terrorism helps — and hurts — Iran

Daniel Byman - January 3, 2020
Why Iran supports terrorist groups — and what the consequences can be.

Designating Iranian military unit a ‘terrorist organization’ will make U.S. relations with Iran more difficult. Here’s how.

Afshon Ostovar - April 8, 2019
It’s a first for the United States to designate a foreign government entity as a terrorist organization.
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