Will Soleimani’s death change Iran’s relationship with the Revolutionary Guard? Dina Esfandiary - January 8, 2020 Soleimani’s heavy-handed approach of using armed militias and proxies turned local opinion against Iran.
Trump thought escalating the Iran crisis would solve it. That’s not how escalation works Danielle Lupton - January 7, 2020 Here are four reasons deterrence by escalation is difficult to achieve.
When tensions rise, retaliation isn’t the same as all-out war Michael Horowitz and Elizabeth N. Saunders - January 7, 2020 "Powder keg" situations rarely explode into war by accident.
How will Iran respond to Soleimani’s killing — and where will the escalation end? Elisa Ewers and Ariane Tabatabai - January 6, 2020 Expect something more than today’s proxy skirmishes — but less than all-out war.
Don’t expect Congress to rein in Trump’s use of military force in the Middle East Douglas Kriner - January 6, 2020 Presidents usually want Congress to approve their military decisions. Lawmakers usually want to stay out of it.
Trump threatens ‘sanctions like they’ve never seen’ if Iraq evicts U.S. forces. Can Iraq do it? Stacie L. Pettyjohn - January 6, 2020 It’s likely that Iraq will expel U.S. forces.
Does Trump need Congress’s approval to go to war with Iran? Andrew Rudalevige - January 4, 2020 That depends on whether Congress wants to try to stop him.
Attacking Iran will not help Trump win reelection. Here’s why. Michael Tesler - January 4, 2020 Military crises don’t always trigger a rally around the flag
How terrorism helps — and hurts — Iran Daniel Byman - January 3, 2020 Why Iran supports terrorist groups — and what the consequences can be.
Designating Iranian military unit a ‘terrorist organization’ will make U.S. relations with Iran more difficult. Here’s how. Afshon Ostovar - April 8, 2019 It’s a first for the United States to designate a foreign government entity as a terrorist organization.