It’s hard for Russia to invade Ukraine when its soldiers don’t want to be there Jason Lyall - March 1, 2022 Here’s what the research says about how poor soldier morale affects military strategy and effectiveness
Thousands of Russians are protesting against the war with Ukraine. Putin’s not likely to listen. Hannah Chapman - March 1, 2022 The Kremlin has many tools to repress opposing voices.
Can Putin keep the oligarchs and Russian elites on his side? Sharon Rivera - March 1, 2022 War with Ukraine may make that harder, my research finds.
In words and deeds, Putin shows he’s rejecting even Soviet-era borders Daniel Treisman - February 25, 2022 His speech this week makes it clear he’s out to restore “historic Russia”
Putin is gambling his future — and Russia’s Zhaotian Luo and Scott Gehlbach - February 19, 2022 What would an invasion of Ukraine mean for Russia?
Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to. John Reuter, Katerina Tertytchnaya, Henry E. Hale, David Szakonyi, and Bryn Rosenfeld - February 11, 2022 For Putin, invading Ukraine comes with political risk at home, these surveys show
Putin likes to talk about Russians and Ukrainians as ‘one people.’ Here’s the deeper history. Jeffrey Mankoff - February 9, 2022 For centuries, Moscow has worried that foreign powers are scheming to separate Ukraine from Russia.
Satellites make it harder for countries to launch surprise attacks. That’s in Ukraine’s favor. Erik Gartzke and Bryan Early - January 14, 2022 But seeing what’s happening on the ground doesn’t help explain Russia’s motives
Biden is threatening Putin with European energy sanctions. That may be difficult to pull off. Emily Holland - December 15, 2021 Europe is counting on a new Russian gas pipeline to alleviate energy shortages
Putin’s fight with Ukraine reflects his deep distrust of the West. There’s a long history behind that. Henry Farrell - December 1, 2021 A new book explains the history of NATO expansion, which Putin wants to end.