Do betting markets outperform election polls? Hardly.
[caption id="attachment_44984" align="aligncenter" width="1484"] President Harry S. Truman holds up
Here’s one important way Bernie Sanders is like Sarah Palin
John Sides - July 29, 2015
[caption id="attachment_27979" align="aligncenter" width="745"] (Photos by J. Scott Applewhite and Craig Ruttle/Associated Press)[/caption]
Here's one important way Bernie Sanders is like Sarah Palin
John Sides - July 29, 2015
[caption id="attachment_27979" align="aligncenter" width="745"] (Photos by J. Scott Applewhite and Craig Ruttle/Associated Press)[/caption]
Too close to call
Andrew Gelman - October 31, 2012
From my online NYT column: For months now people I
Prediction Markets and Polls: What the Research Shows
Joshua Tucker - October 24, 2012
One more interesting point to add to the recent discussion
Is Positive News from Intrade a Good Use of Campaign Resources?
Joshua Tucker - October 23, 2012
I wrote a post last week about the link between
Convergence between Polls and Prediction Markets in US Presidential Election
Joshua Tucker - October 18, 2012
I'm intrigued by the recent convergence between Nate Silver's 2012
“In a sense, PredictWiseQ is Intrade to the 57th power”
Andrew Gelman - October 12, 2012
David Pennock writes: http://PredictWiseQ.com is our (beta) prediction contest which
Innumeracy among political journalists
Andrew Gelman - May 16, 2012
John shoots down David Brooks's claim that "If you look
No Matter How the Court Rules, the Health Reform Battle Will Continue
John Sides - May 6, 2012
This is a guest post from Eric M. Patashnik and