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Poll results depend on pollster choices as much as voters’ decisions

Josh Clinton - October 28, 2024
Simple changes in how to weight a single poll can move the Harris-Trump margin 8 points.

Can young voters help Democrats hold Congress?

Matthew Nelsen and Kumar Ramanathan - November 3, 2022
Both Gen Z and millennials are just as motivated to vote as they were in 2018, the GenForward survey found.

Will Biden and Trump face off again in 2024?

Peter Enns and Jonathon Schuldt - July 13, 2022
Conventional wisdom says it’s too soon to tell. Our research suggests otherwise.

Do many Americans believe in the ‘great replacement’ theory?

Tarah Williams, Roy Whitaker, Nazita Lajevardi, and Evan Stewart - June 6, 2022
The Buffalo shooting showed that at least some people are ready to commit violence for this conspiracy theory

Republicans want to hand-count paper ballots. That’s less accurate.

Charles Stewart III / Managing Editor - May 25, 2022
But expect state legislatures to file bills to ban ballot scanners in 2023 and beyond

Why haven’t U.S. mothers returned to work? The child-care infrastructure they need is still missing.

William J. Scarborough, Leah Ruppanner, and Caitlyn Collins - November 7, 2021
For women with children at home, the Great Resignation is really the Great Push, our research finds

Latina and Black women lost jobs in record numbers. Policies designed for all women don’t necessarily help.

Margaret Teresa Brower and Jamila Michener - February 8, 2021
Here’s what our research found

Don’t trust the exit polls. This explains why.

Robert Griffin - November 9, 2020
Analysts using the National Exit Poll to understand how various groups voted might want to be cautious.

Women earn more and are more likely to have jobs when Democrats run the state legislature

Zoltan L. Hajnal and John Kuk - October 12, 2020
That’s what our study found.

Most voters confident their vote will be counted, poll finds. But partisans disagree on election threats.

Nathaniel Persily and Charles Stewart III - October 6, 2020
Democrats are more worried about voting in person. Republicans are more worried about voting by mail.
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