Despite the 2020 election results, you can still trust polling. Mostly.
Yes, there’s a problem with pre-election polling. But mass opinion polls don’t have that problem.
Why did the polls undercount Trump voters?
It’s not because of ‘shy’ Trump voters, our research suggests
The polls didn’t predict Trump’s win in 2016, but this technique did
Three facts about polling in the 2016 election are well
Why the polls missed in 2016: Was it shy Trump supporters after all?
[caption id="attachment_50682" align="aligncenter" width="960"] A man votes at City Hall
Here’s why you should worry about the polls for the 2016 U.S. elections — and beyond.
[caption id="attachment_29032" align="aligncenter" width="1200"] In this Nov. 4, 1948 file
Here's why you should worry about the polls for the 2016 U.S. elections — and beyond.
[caption id="attachment_29032" align="aligncenter" width="1200"] In this Nov. 4, 1948 file
Straight talk about polling: Probability sampling can be helpful but it's no magic bullet
Mark Blumenthal and Natalie Jackson of Huffpost Pollster write: If
Straight talk about polling: Probability sampling can be helpful but it’s no magic bullet
Mark Blumenthal and Natalie Jackson of Huffpost Pollster write: If
Reporting on polls is improving, but could still be better
[caption id="attachment_20825" align="aligncenter" width="600"] (Source: http://www.funnyjunk.com/funny_pictures/4613599/Statistics+about+statistics/; Credit: http://www.funnyjunk.com/user/lordlolland)[/caption] The following